SassuoloLecce

Sassuolo v Lecce result

Full-time · Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sassuolo · Lecce · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce — Lecce won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Sassuolo: 3.05 to 1.30 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 10th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Lecce won 3–2 at Sassuolo in Serie A on Sunday 17 May.

The goals

Lecce led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Lecce: W. Cheddira (14’; 25’, assisted by L. Banda) and Nikola Štulić (90’, assisted by Omri Gandelman); Sassuolo: Armand Laurienté (20’, assisted by Pedro Felipe) and Andrea Pinamonti (82’, assisted by U. Garcia).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nikola Štulić’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

F. La Penna showed five yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sassuolo: Tarik Muharemović (77’); Lecce: Y. Ramadani (54’), Danilo Veiga (81’), Tiago Gabriel (85’) and Antonino Gallo (90+1’).

What it changes

Sassuolo move down from 10th to 11th (37 league matches played). Sassuolo have scored five goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Sassuolo have conceded five goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Lecce stay 17th after this result (37 league matches played). Lecce have scored six goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Lecce have conceded five goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 37, across 10 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, W. Cheddira (Lecce) 10.9, Armand Laurienté (Sassuolo) 9.4 and Pedro Felipe (Sassuolo) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).

Next up

Sassuolo next travel to AS Roma on 7 November 2026.

Lecce next travel to Lazio on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sassuolo: AS Roma v Sassuolo, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Lecce: Lazio v Lecce, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce · Serie A
  • Referee: F. La Penna
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sassuolo 3 · draws 2 · Lecce 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sassuolo 2W 1D 2L · Lecce 1W 2D 2L

Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.5
Goals
against 1 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
4 / 3.5
Corners
against 5.63 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 2.38
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.5 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 yellows
Referee · F. La Penna
27.57 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSassuolo for / againstLineLecce for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
2.25our book
0.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.5 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
9.75 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
2.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 14.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: F. La Penna — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.43 red cards, 27.57 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Sassuolo

Sassuolo Goalkeeper

Sassuolo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Murić32902880 min1193.7 /90431.3 /9010 /90
S. Turati690540 min152.5 /9061 /9000 /90
Sassuolo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Murić n 890
3.57/4
S. Turati n 690
2.54/2

Sassuolo Defensive

Sassuolo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Walukiewicz36822965 min531.6 /90250.8 /90110.3 /901173.6 /90381.2 /9070.2 /90
J. Idzes34893009 min280.8 /90411.2 /90230.7 /90982.9 /90321 /9020.1 /90
T. Muharemović32892835 min481.5 /90481.5 /90311 /901394.4 /90250.8 /9060.2 /90
Josh Doig28711998 min341.5 /90221 /90140.6 /90934.2 /90180.8 /9050.2 /90
W. Coulibaly1561915 min232.3 /9080.8 /9050.5 /90464.5 /90151.5 /9020.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Sassuolo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Walukiewicz n 887.1
1.56/3
0.53/1
—
A. Laurienté n 877.8
1.75/4
1.96/3
S. Pierotti
J. Idzes n 883.8
0.85/1
0.32/0
—
I. Koné n 875.3
13/2
1.87/3
Y. Ramadani
A. Pinamonti n 867.5
0.74/0
1.26/1
—
See more players · Pro
Sassuolo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Walukiewicz n 887.1
1.56/4
A. Laurienté n 877.8
17/0
J. Idzes n 883.8
0.94/3
I. Koné n 875.3
1.56/4
A. Pinamonti n 867.5
00/0
See more players · Pro

Sassuolo Attacking

Sassuolo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Laurienté36702519 min60.2 /9090.3 /90501.8 /90250.9 /90521.9 /90271 /90
A. Pinamonti33752466 min80.3 /9030.1 /90552 /90281 /90170.6 /9050.2 /90
A. Fadera26411071 min20.2 /9010.1 /90100.8 /9050.4 /9080.7 /90110.9 /90
D. Berardi25761898 min80.4 /9050.2 /90341.6 /90200.9 /90361.7 /90100.5 /90
M'Bala Nzola939348 min10.3 /9010.3 /9061.6 /9041 /9041 /9051.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Sassuolo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Walukiewicz n 887.1
0.11/0
00/0
A. Laurienté n 877.8
1.95/4
0.74/1
J. Idzes n 883.8
0.11/0
00/0
I. Koné n 875.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
A. Pinamonti n 867.5
2.28/3
16/0
See more players · Pro
Sassuolo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Walukiewicz n 887.1
00/0
00/0
A. Laurienté n 877.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
J. Idzes n 883.8
00/0
00/0
I. Koné n 875.3
0.11/0
00/0
A. Pinamonti n 867.5
0.53/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Lecce

Lecce Goalkeeper

Lecce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Falcone37903330 min1092.9 /90481.3 /9020.1 /90
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
37/4

Lecce Defensive

Lecce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Gallo37813001 min591.8 /90140.4 /9070.2 /901123.4 /9070.2 /9020.1 /90
Tiago Gabriel36893209 min641.8 /90441.2 /90210.6 /902286.4 /90250.7 /9050.1 /90
Danilo Veiga36832971 min952.9 /90310.9 /90140.4 /902146.5 /90421.3 /9070.2 /90
Kialonda Gaspar23861983 min251.1 /90211 /90221 /901014.6 /90130.6 /9060.3 /90
J. Siebert18851533 min221.3 /90150.9 /90211.2 /90653.8 /90211.2 /9030.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
A. Gallo n 882.4
00/0
0.53/1
—
S. Pierotti n 886.9
2.57/7
14/3
A. Laurienté
Tiago Gabriel n 890
0.32/0
0.93/2
—
Y. Ramadani n 886.8
0.64/1
1.87/4
I. Koné
See more players · Pro
Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Gallo n 882.4
16/1
S. Pierotti n 886.9
3.18/6
Tiago Gabriel n 890
1.96/3
Y. Ramadani n 886.8
3.17/7
Danilo Veiga n 884.6
2.78/6
See more players · Pro

Lecce Attacking

Lecce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Štulić28591657 min30.2 /9000 /90201.1 /9080.4 /90181 /9040.2 /90
R. Sottil19551047 min10.1 /9020.2 /9090.8 /9020.2 /90242.1 /90121 /90
F. Camarda1940762 min10.1 /9010.1 /9091.1 /9040.5 /9050.6 /9030.4 /90
Tete Morente1756950 min00 /9000 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90100.9 /90111 /90
W. Cheddira1556843 min10.1 /9010.1 /90131.4 /9060.6 /9070.7 /9030.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Gallo n 882.4
00/0
00/0
S. Pierotti n 886.9
0.85/1
0.43/0
Tiago Gabriel n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
Y. Ramadani n 886.8
0.97/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Gallo n 882.4
00/0
0.43/0
S. Pierotti n 886.9
00/0
0.11/0
Tiago Gabriel n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Y. Ramadani n 886.8
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SassuoloLecce
74%Possession26%
2.02Expected goals (xG)0.86
15Shots11
6Shots on target6
6Shots off target4
3Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box9
2Corners8
2Offsides2
7Fouls13
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves4
634Passes208
86%Pass accuracy68%

Sassuolo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Turati9000000006.3
W. Coulibaly9000000206.2
Pedro Felipe9001001206.9
T. Muharemović90000000Y6.3
U. Garcia9001004106.2
K. Thorstvedt9000102006.6
A. Laurienté8810422309.2
I. Koné7200101107.2
D. Berardi7200110007.2
N. Matić6300000106.6
M'Bala Nzola6300100006.2
L. Lipani sub2700001106.9
A. Pinamonti sub2710330008
D. Bakola sub1800001307
C. Volpato sub1800100006.3
C. Frangella sub900000006.5

Lecce Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Falcone9000000006.9
J. Siebert9000000106.2
Tiago Gabriel90000001Y6.3
A. Gallo90000010Y6.2
O. Ngom9000000206.3
L. Coulibaly9000002006.2
Danilo Veiga85000012Y6.7
Y. Ramadani85001012Y6.6
W. Cheddira8020331109.5
S. Pierotti7900100106.6
L. Banda6301221006.7
G. Jean sub2700000006.2
K. N’Dri sub1200100006.2
N. Štulić sub1210110007.2
O. Gandelman sub1101001106.9
F. Camarda sub1000100006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sassuolo v Lecce — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SassuoloLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
LecceLDDWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sassuolo 3 · 2 draws · Lecce 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Lecce 0–0 Sassuolo
  • 2024-09-24 Lecce 0–2 Sassuolo
  • 2024-04-21 Sassuolo 0–3 Lecce
  • 2023-10-06 Lecce 1–1 Sassuolo
  • 2023-02-25 Lecce 0–1 Sassuolo
  • 2022-08-20 Sassuolo 1–0 Lecce
League standing · 2025/26
Sassuolo#11 pos49 pts38 pl-4 GD
Lecce#17 pos38 pts38 pl-22 GD
Goals per game
Sassuolo scored1.21
Lecce scored0.74
Sassuolo conceded1.32
Lecce conceded1.32

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Sassuolo 3.05 xG from 15 shots, Lecce 1.30 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ismaël Koné 10' · 0.54 xGM'Bala Nzola 54' · 0.51 xGCristian Volpato 94' · 0.31 xGAndrea Pinamonti 93' · 0.23 xGWalid Cheddira 31' · 0.21 xGM'Bala Nzola 59' · 0.12 xGAndrea Pinamonti 85' · 0.12 xGWalid Cheddira 1' · 0.09 xGLameck Banda 56' · 0.08 xGSantiago Pierotti 36' · 0.07 xGLameck Banda 6' · 0.07 xGArmand Lauriente 22' · 0.05 xGKristian Thorstvedt 81' · 0.05 xGArmand Lauriente 38' · 0.04 xGArmand Lauriente 42' · 0.04 xGKonan N’Dri 94' · 0.04 xGIsmaël Koné 0' · 0.03 xGFrancesco Camarda 86' · 0.03 xGDomenico Berardi 12' · 0.02 xGYlber Ramadani 43' · 0.02 xGWoyo Coulibaly 47' · 0.02 xGAndrea Pinamonti 81' · 0.60 xG · goalArmand Lauriente 19' · 0.37 xG · goalWalid Cheddira 13' · 0.35 xG · goalNikola Stulic 95' · 0.30 xG · goalWalid Cheddira 24' · 0.04 xG · goal
Sassuolo (attacking right)Lecce (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Sassuolo1523.05
Lecce1131.30

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Sassuolo 1.10, Lecce 0.84. At full time, Sassuolo led on xG, 3.05 to 1.30. The widest gap was 2.10 xG to Sassuolo, in the 94th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.01.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lecce 13 minGoal - Sassuolo 19 minGoal - Lecce 24 minGoal - Sassuolo 81 minGoal - Lecce 95 min
Sassuolo 3.05 xGLecce 1.30 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sassuolo v Lecce?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sassuolo v Lecce was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and Lecce?
In their last 6 meetings, Sassuolo won 3, Lecce won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sassuolo and Lecce?
Recent form — Sassuolo 2W 1D 2L; Lecce 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+