Vitoria v Juventude result

Full-time · Vitoria 2–2 Juventude

Serie A – Brazil ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Vitoria · Juventude

The model’s pre-match pick

Vitoria 2–2 Juventude — this Serie A – Brazil match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1559 landed (95% range 73.1–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Vitoria and Juventude drew 2–2 in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 16 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Vitoria out-shot Juventude 18 to 13 and created the better chances, 2.39 xG to 1.87 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Vitoria led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Vitoria: Renato Kayzer (32’, assisted by Aitor Cantalapiedra; 46’); Juventude: Igor Formiga (81’, assisted by Nenê) and Nenê (90’ pen). Cipriano (10’) and Neris (66’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nenê’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Raphael Claus, Brazil showed four yellow cards and two reds — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Vitoria: Lucas Halter (87’); Juventude: Abner (49’), Marcelo Hermes (52’) and Wilker Ángel (77’).

What it changes

Vitoria are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Renato Kayzer (Vitoria) 8.8, Nenê (Juventude) 8.0 and Igor Formiga (Juventude) 6.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Vitoria or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1174 of 1559).

Next up

Vitoria next host Atletico Paranaense on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Vitoria: Vitoria v Atletico Paranaense, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Vitoria 2–2 Juventude · Serie A – Brazil
  • Referee: Raphael Claus, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Vitoria 1 · draws 1 · Juventude 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Vitoria 1W 3D 1L · Juventude 1W 0D 4L

Vitoria 2–2 Juventude (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 0.63
Goals
against 1 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 3.38
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 3.25
Cards
against 2.25 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.93 yellows
Referee · Raphael Claus, Brazil
2 home / 1.93 away
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameVitoria for / againstLineJuventude for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 18.5 against n 8
19.5standard
9.38 for · 16.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 6 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 15.13 against n 8
21.5standard
16 for · 15.25 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
3.25 for · 3 against n 8

Referee: Raphael Claus, Brazil — 3.93 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 22.67 fouls over 15 matches (2 to the home side, 1.93 to the away side).

Vitoria
Vitoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pepê n 832.9
4.45/4
3.15/2
Caique Goncalves
R. Lopez n 826.3
3.95/3
1.73/1
—
Carlinhos n 841.5
3.86/5
0.31/0
—
Ricardo n 856
37/4
0.63/0
Caique Goncalves
Fabricio n 832.3
2.85/2
1.42/1
—
Vitoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Erick n 848.9
3.78/4
2.16/2
R. Lopez n 826.3
3.43/3
2.13/2
Carlinhos n 841.5
2.75/4
0.83/0
Osvaldo n 847.6
1.73/1
0.92/1
Fabricio n 832.3
1.72/2
0.72/0
Vitoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Erick n 848.9
0.52/0
00/0
R. Lopez n 826.3
0.41/0
00/0
Renato Kayzer n 874.8
0.32/0
00/0
Ronald n 865.4
00/0
0.32/0
Carlinhos n 841.5
0.31/0
00/0
Vitoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pepê n 832.9
3.14/2
Ronald n 865.4
2.97/5
R. Lopez n 826.3
2.65/1
Gabriel Baralhas n 888.8
1.97/5
Willian Oliveira n 872.3
1.96/4
Vitoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Arcanjo n 890
3.67/3
Juventude
Juventude — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Matheus Babi n 823.3
4.46/2
1.53/0
—
Caique Goncalves n 875
2.97/4
2.35/4
Ricardo
Hudson n 370
2.63/1
00/0
—
Gilberto n 854
2.36/4
13/1
—
Gabriel Taliari n 855.1
26/3
2.27/3
—
Juventude — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gilberto n 854
1.93/2
1.52/2
Matheus Babi n 823.3
1.53/0
0.51/0
Mandaca n 878
1.35/2
0.64/0
Ênio n 861.5
1.34/2
0.21/0
Gabriel Taliari n 855.1
1.25/1
0.63/0
Juventude — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Matheus Babi n 823.3
0.51/0
00/0
Gabriel Taliari n 855.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Gilberto n 854
0.41/1
00/0
Nenê n 829.6
00/0
0.41/0
Marcelo Hermes n 891.6
00/0
0.22/0
Juventude — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Caique Goncalves n 875
3.98/6
Ewerthon n 872.1
2.36/3
Mandaca n 878
2.27/5
Rodrigo Sam n 859
2.15/4
E. Batalla n 857.6
27/3
Juventude — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Marcão n 785.6
5.97/6
Gustavo n 885.1
4.18/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VitoriaJuventude
51%Possession49%
2.39Expected goals (xG)1.87
18Shots13
4Shots on target4
7Shots off target4
7Blocked shots5
7Shots inside the box11
4Corners6
2Offsides3
9Fouls14
1Yellow cards3
1Red cards1
2Saves2
374Passes358
87%Pass accuracy85%

Vitoria player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Arcanjo9000000006.9
Lucas Braga9000000506.9
Lucas Halter90000002Y6.7
Ramon9000101006.6
Pepê9000001307.5
Ricardo8400310006.9
Renato Kayzer8420220008.2
Erick7200204007.7
Aitor Cantalapiedra7201115008
Osvaldo6700101007.3
Neris66000001R6.3
Edu sub2400000006.3
Felipe Cardoso sub1900000106.3
Fabricio sub1900001005.6
Ruben Rodrigues sub1700000006.3
R. Lopez sub1700100006.3

Juventude player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jandrei9000000006.5
Abner90000010Y6.5
Marcelo Hermes90000024Y6.7
Jadson9000100206.9
Mandaca9000310206.9
Caique Goncalves7300000106.9
Gabriel Taliari6700100106.5
Reginaldo Lopes4500001006.9
Gabriel Veron4500001006.5
E. Batalla1100000006.3
Cipriano10000000R3
Wilker Ángel sub80000000Y6.9
Igor Formiga sub4510111207.6
D. Giraldo sub4500000006.7
Ênio sub2400002007
Nenê sub1811221007.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Vitoria v Juventude — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VitoriaWDDDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
JuventudeLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Vitoria 1 · 1 draw · Juventude 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-03-29 Juventude 2–0 Vitoria
  • 2024-09-21 Vitoria 1–0 Juventude
  • 2024-06-11 Juventude 1–1 Vitoria
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Vitoria#15 pos45 pts38 pl-17 GD
Juventude#19 pos35 pts38 pl-34 GD
Goals per game
Vitoria scored0.92
Juventude scored0.92
Vitoria conceded1.37
Juventude conceded1.82

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Vitoria v Juventude?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Vitoria v Juventude was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Vitoria and Juventude?
In their last 3 meetings, Vitoria won 1, Juventude won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vitoria and Juventude?
Recent form — Vitoria 1W 3D 1L; Juventude 1W 0D 4L.

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