America MineiroAvai

America Mineiro v Avai prediction

Serie B – Brazil · · Arena Independência

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for America Mineiro v Avai, Serie B – Brazil on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

America Mineiro host Avai in Serie B – Brazil on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Six of America Mineiro’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in four of America Mineiro’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, America Mineiro have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.00. America Mineiro have scored 26 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). America Mineiro have conceded 55 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Six of Avai’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Avai’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Avai have three wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.38. Avai have scored 33 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Avai have conceded 46 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

America Mineiro have won their last three matches in all competitions. Avai are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Avai have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. America Mineiro (19th) and Avai (17th) are 11 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have America Mineiro the stronger side, 45 rating points above Avai (America Mineiro 1417, Avai 1372, after at least 226 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 July 2026, finished Avai 2–1 America Mineiro.

Team news

Predicted America Mineiro XI (4-4-2): B. Brígido, R. Silva, R. Barcelos, T. Ostchega, E. Santos, Barreto, G. Parede, M. Segovia, P. Victor, W. Bigode, J. Jimenez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered.

Predicted Avai XI (4-4-2): B. Ferreira, D. Teixeira, J. Maciel, Wallison, G. Aquino, J. Lucas, Z. Ricardo, D. Penha, P. Vitor, L. Gamalho, Gaspar — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bruno Ferreira (4.3 per match over three appearances) and Daniel Penha (4.3 per match over three appearances) have been Avai’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Avai (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Bruno Ferreira averages 4.1 saves per 90 over 328 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie B – Brazil · Arena Independência
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): America Mineiro 2 · draws 2 · Avai 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: America Mineiro 3W 0D 2L · Avai 2W 1D 2L

America Mineiro v Avai (Serie B – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind America Mineiro v Avai — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
America MineiroLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
AvaiWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
America Mineiro 2 · 2 draws · Avai 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-07-21 Avai 2–1 America Mineiro
  • 2025-09-02 America Mineiro 2–0 Avai
  • 2025-04-26 Avai 3–0 America Mineiro
  • 2024-10-12 Avai 2–2 America Mineiro
  • 2024-06-26 America Mineiro 1–1 Avai
  • 2022-07-31 America Mineiro 3–1 Avai
League standing · 2026
America Mineiro#19 pos26 pts36 pl-29 GD
Avai#17 pos37 pts36 pl-13 GD
Goals per game
America Mineiro scored0.72
Avai scored0.92
America Mineiro conceded1.53
Avai conceded1.28

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win America Mineiro v Avai?
TACTIX’s free model pick for America Mineiro v Avai is Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between America Mineiro and Avai?
In their last 6 meetings, America Mineiro won 2, Avai won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of America Mineiro and Avai?
Recent form — America Mineiro 3W 0D 2L; Avai 2W 1D 2L.

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