Free model picks
Serie B (Brazil) predictions
10 Serie B fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Botafogo SP v Londrina (Thu, 05 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT). 10 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Novorizontino lead the table on 67 points after 36 games, 2 points clear of Juventude.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming Serie B fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.2% across 6M+ graded predictions (all markets, player markets included) — the full win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
This Round at a Glance
- Strongest favourite among the free picks: Goias v Ponte Preta (Sun, 08 Nov 2026 22:15 GMT) — the free pick is Goias to win.
- Closest call: Operario-PR v Sport Recife (Fri, 06 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT) — the smallest gap of the round between the two sides’ chances of winning, by the model.
- Likeliest draw: Vila Nova v Criciuma (Sat, 07 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT) — the highest draw chance of the round, by the model.
Each line ranks the model’s own probabilities for the round’s 10 matches (from Thu, 05 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT); the favourite and goals lines rank the free picks only. The probabilities themselves, and every market, are on each match page with Pro.
Sport Recife are winless in their last 18 (all competitions we cover)
Atletico Goianiense have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 (all competitions we cover)
What the Data Says About Serie B
TACTIX lists 10 upcoming Serie B fixtures in the next ten days, 10 of them with a free model pick — the single strongest lean in the 62–80% probability band — shown with the best bookmaker price at build time. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.2% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included); the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 5 Nov 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
10 fixtures in Serie B fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Botafogo SP v Londrina (Thu, 05 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT). TACTIX’s free pick is posted on 10 of the 10 fixtures in the next 10 days; the remaining markets on every match are Pro.
The table so far
Novorizontino lead Serie B on 67 points from 36 games, two points clear of Juventude (this season so far). Serie B is averaging 2.34 goals a game across 360 matches, this season so far.
Spotted something wrong? Report an error.
Serie B Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64 | 31 | +33 | 67 |
| 2 | Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 25 | +22 | 65 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 38 | +14 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 30 | +8 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 43 | 31 | +12 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 54 | 51 | +3 | 55 |
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 55 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 48 | 39 | +9 | 55 |
| 9 | Atletico Goianiense | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42 | 33 | +9 | 55 |
| 10 | São Bernardo | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 40 | +11 | 52 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 51 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 48 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33 | 30 | +3 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42 | 41 | +1 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 78 | -57 | 15 |
Current Serie B standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
How These Picks Work
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
Responsible Gambling
Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. 18+. Please gamble responsibly — see our responsible-gambling policy (BeGambleAware, GamCare, GAMSTOP).
Other Competitions
Get today’s picks by email
The day’s free model picks — each with its confidence tier and the tier’s settled record — in one email at 07:30 UK. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
See the Full Forecast
Win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets for every fixture.