CearaAmerica Mineiro

Ceara v America Mineiro prediction

Serie B – Brazil ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ceara · America Mineiro · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Ceara v America Mineiro, Serie B – Brazil on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 22:15 GMT.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 54.9% of 144 landed (95% range 46.7–62.8%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Ceara host America Mineiro in Serie B – Brazil on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 22:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

America Mineiro are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Ceara’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Ceara’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Ceara have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.43. Ceara have scored 38 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 36 games). Ceara have conceded 46 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of America Mineiro’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of America Mineiro’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, America Mineiro have no wins, three draws and six defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.33 points per game, scoring 0.56 and conceding 1.67. America Mineiro have scored 26 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 36 games). America Mineiro have conceded 55 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Ceara (16th) and America Mineiro (19th) are 17 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Ceara the stronger side, 303 rating points above America Mineiro (Ceara 1911, America Mineiro 1608, after at least 12 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 1 October 2022, finished Ceara 1–2 America Mineiro.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Fernando (3.9 per match over three appearances) and Luiz Otavio (1.9 per match over three appearances) have been Ceara’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Ceara (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Fernando averages 1.0 tackles per 90 over 1182 minutes, with a tackle in two of the last 10 appearances. Luiz Otavio averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 286 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie B – Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ceara 1 · draws 3 · America Mineiro 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ceara 2W 1D 2L · America Mineiro 0W 2D 3L

Ceara v America Mineiro (Serie B – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5 / 2.8
Corners
against 6.83 / 7.4 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
2.67 / 1.6
Shots on target
against 5.17 / 5.4 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.5 / 2.8
Cards
against 2.33 / 1.8 · 3 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCeara for / againstLineAmerica Mineiro for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
0.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 6.83 against n 6
9.5standard
2.8 for · 7.4 against n 5
Shots
8.17 for · 11.83 against n 6
19.5standard
7.4 for · 18 against n 5
Shots on target
2.67 for · 5.17 against n 6
8.5standard
1.6 for · 5.4 against n 5
Fouls committed
11.83 for · 12.83 against n 6
21.5standard
10.4 for · 7.8 against n 5
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.33 against n 6
3.5standard
2.8 for · 1.8 against n 5

Ceara

Ceara Goalkeeper

Ceara — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Bruno Ferreira15858 min69.3 /9023.1 /9000 /90
Richard13232 min25.6 /9000 /9000 /90
Ceara — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ceara before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Bruno Ferreira n 888.6
3.98/7
Richard n 883.8
3.97/6

Ceara Defensive

Ceara — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alex Silva19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9022 /9000 /90
Eder19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
Fernando19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9088 /9000 /9000 /90
Luiz Otavio19090 min33 /9011 /9011 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
Gustavo Prado19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9022 /9000 /90
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Ceara — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ceara before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Eder n 493.3
12/1
0.21/0
—
Diego n 873.1
0.94/2
1.87/4
—
Bruno Ferreira n 888.6
00/0
0.11/0
—
Pedro Henrique n 849.6
1.64/1
27/2
—
Fernandinho n 847.4
1.96/2
1.45/1
—
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Ceara — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ceara before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Eder n 493.3
00/0
Diego n 873.1
1.25/3
Pedro Henrique n 849.6
1.14/1
Fernandinho n 847.4
1.23/1
Vina n 856
0.42/0

Ceara Attacking

Ceara — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Wendel Silva19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9022 /9011 /90
Fernandinho13636 min00 /9012.5 /9000 /9000 /9012.5 /9012.5 /90
Gustavo Prado19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
Diego18080 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Julio Cesar17979 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
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Ceara — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ceara before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Eder n 493.3
0.73/0
0.52/0
Diego n 873.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
Bruno Ferreira n 888.6
00/0
00/0
Pedro Henrique n 849.6
0.92/2
0.21/0
Vina n 856
2.25/4
0.82/2
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Ceara — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ceara before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Eder n 493.3
00/0
00/0
Diego n 873.1
00/0
00/0
Bruno Ferreira n 888.6
00/0
00/0
Pedro Henrique n 849.6
00/0
0.21/0
Vina n 856
00/0
0.21/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ceara v America Mineiro — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CearaLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
America MineiroLLLDD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ceara 1 · 3 draws · America Mineiro 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2022-10-01 Ceara 1–2 America Mineiro
  • 2022-06-08 America Mineiro 0–2 Ceara
  • 2021-12-05 Ceara 0–0 America Mineiro
  • 2021-08-29 America Mineiro 2–0 Ceara
  • 2018-09-09 America Mineiro 0–0 Ceara
  • 2018-05-14 Ceara 2–2 America Mineiro
League standing · 2026
Ceara#16 pos43 pts36 pl-8 GD
America Mineiro#19 pos26 pts36 pl-29 GD
Goals per game
Ceara scored1.06
America Mineiro scored0.72
Ceara conceded1.28
America Mineiro conceded1.53

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Ceara v America Mineiro?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ceara v America Mineiro is Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Ceara and America Mineiro?
In their last 6 meetings, Ceara won 1, America Mineiro won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ceara and America Mineiro?
Recent form — Ceara 2W 1D 2L; America Mineiro 0W 2D 3L.

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