Fortaleza EC v Vila Nova prediction

The match

Fortaleza EC host Vila Nova in Serie B – Brazil on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Fortaleza EC or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Five of Fortaleza EC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in nine of Fortaleza EC’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Fortaleza EC have one win, seven draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.00. Fortaleza EC have scored 43 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Fortaleza EC have conceded 31 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Five of Vila Nova’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Vila Nova’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Vila Nova have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.29. Vila Nova have scored 52 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Vila Nova have conceded 38 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Fortaleza EC are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Vila Nova are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Fortaleza EC (fifth) and Vila Nova (third) are one point apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Fortaleza EC the stronger side, 40 rating points above Vila Nova (Fortaleza EC 1654, Vila Nova 1614, after at least 74 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 22 July 2026, finished Vila Nova 2–1 Fortaleza EC.

Team news

Predicted Fortaleza EC XI (3-4-3): J. Ricardo, Bastos, T. Cardona, L. Gazal, Rodriguinho, Pierre, Jaílson, Paulinho, P. Henrique, Chico, P. Baya — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Maílton (4.5 per match over nine appearances, three goals and one assist) and Rodriguinho (3.4 per match over eight appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Fortaleza EC’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Fortaleza EC (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Maílton averages 0.7 tackles per 90 over 756 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last nine appearances. Rodriguinho averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 611 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Vila Nova XI (4-4-2): H. Leite, J. Costa, D. Mendes, Higor, I. Cariús, Janderson, E. Galdino, M. Gabriel, J. Vieira, A. Luís, Dudu — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Janderson (6.2 per match over three appearances, two goals) and Marquinhos Gabriel (1.2 per match over three appearances) have been Vila Nova’s most influential players 2026, all competitions.