Goias v Ponte Preta prediction

Serie B – Brazil · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 22:15 GMT

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Goias v Ponte Preta, Serie B – Brazil on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 22:15 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 274 landed (95% range 73.2–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Goias host Ponte Preta in Serie B – Brazil on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 22:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Goias to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Ponte Preta have scored 21 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 36 games). Ponte Preta have conceded 78 goals, the most of the 20 clubs.

Form and the table

Five of Goias’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Goias’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Goias have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.57. Goias have scored 38 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 36 games). Goias have conceded 41 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Ponte Preta’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Ponte Preta’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Ponte Preta have four wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 11 away matches in all competitions — 1.18 points per game, scoring 1.18 and conceding 1.27.

Goias (seventh) and Ponte Preta (20th) are 40 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Goias the stronger side, 223 rating points above Ponte Preta (Goias 1539, Ponte Preta 1316, after at least 10 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Goias XI (4-4-2): Tadeu, Nicolas, L. Ribeiro, R. Soares, L. Fellipe, F. Machado, L. Lima, Luquinhas, Lourenço, A. Ramon, J. Ferreira — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nicolas (4.4 per match over three appearances, one goal) and Tadeu (3.8 per match over three appearances) have been Goias’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Goias (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Nicolas averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 270 minutes. Tadeu averages 5.3 saves per 90 over 270 minutes.

Predicted Ponte Preta XI (4-2-3-1): D. Silva, L. Cunha, Pacheco, Kevyson, D. Braz, Tarik, B. Borges, R. de Souza, Élvis, Baianinho, W. Pottker — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 22:15 GMT · Serie B – Brazil
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Goias 2W 2D 1L · Ponte Preta 2W 0D 3L

Goias v Ponte Preta (Serie B – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.13

Goals

against 1 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.83 / 5

Corners

against 6.17 / 2.67 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 3 matches

3.83 / 3

Shots on target

against 4.67 / 2 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 3 matches

2.67 / 4

Cards

against 3 / 4.33 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 3 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Goias for / against	Line	Ponte Preta for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.83 for · 6.17 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 2.67 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	9.17 for · 13.67 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	11 for · 7.67 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	3.83 for · 4.67 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	3 for · 2 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.33 for · 11 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	14.33 for · 9.67 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	2.67 for · 3 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	4 for · 4.33 against n 3 Last 5

Goias

Goias Goalkeeper

Goias — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Tadeu	3	90270 min	165.3 /90	31 /90	00 /90

Goias — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Goias before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Tadeu n 8	92.3	3.5 7/6

Goias Defensive

Goias — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Nicolas	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	124 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90
Rodrigo Soares	3	58175 min	21 /90	00 /90	00 /90	63.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Lucas Ribeiro	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
Luis Fellipe	2	90180 min	00 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	42 /90	21 /90	00 /90
Diego Caito	2	4895 min	10.9 /90	21.9 /90	00 /90	76.6 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90
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Goias — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Goias before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Nicolas n 3	90	1.7 3/2	0.7 2/0	—
Tadeu n 8	92.3	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
Filipe Machado n 3	89.3	0.7 2/0	0.7 2/0	—
Lucas Lima n 3	70.3	2.1 3/2	1.3 2/1	—
Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira n 3	66.3	1.8 2/1	1.4 2/1	—
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Goias — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Goias before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Nicolas n 3	90	2.3 3/3
Filipe Machado n 3	89.3	0 0/0
Lucas Lima n 3	70.3	1.7 1/1
Lourenço n 3	66.3	0.9 1/1
Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira n 3	66.3	0 0/0
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Goias Attacking

Goias — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira	3	66199 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.9 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
Anselmo Ramon	3	54161 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
Gegê	2	74148 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	10.6 /90
Bruno Sávio	2	3671 min	00 /90	11.3 /90	45.1 /90	00 /90	22.5 /90	11.3 /90
E. García	1	2727 min	00 /90	00 /90	13.3 /90	13.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Goias — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Goias before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Nicolas n 3	90	0.7 1/1	0.3 1/0
Tadeu n 8	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Filipe Machado n 3	89.3	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Lucas Lima n 3	70.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lourenço n 3	66.3	1.8 2/2	0.5 1/0
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Goias — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Goias before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Nicolas n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Tadeu n 8	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Filipe Machado n 3	89.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lucas Lima n 3	70.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lourenço n 3	66.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta Goalkeeper

Ponte Preta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Diogo Silva	1	9090 min	33 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Ponte Preta Defensive

Ponte Preta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Kevyson	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	11 /90	44 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Lucas Cunha	1	9090 min	00 /90	22 /90	22 /90	22 /90	00 /90	11 /90
Pacheco	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90	33 /90	22 /90	00 /90
David Braz	1	5555 min	23.3 /90	46.5 /90	11.6 /90	23.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Sergio Palacios	1	3434 min	12.6 /90	00 /90	12.6 /90	25.3 /90	12.6 /90	12.6 /90
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Ponte Preta Attacking

Ponte Preta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
William Pottker	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	33 /90	11 /90	00 /90	22 /90
David da Hora	1	3535 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.6 /90
Tarik	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90	00 /90
Bryan Borges	1	8484 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90
Élvis	1	7575 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Goias v Ponte Preta — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

GoiasDWWDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Ponte PretaWLLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

League standing · 2026

Goias#7 pos55 pts36 pl-3 GD

Ponte Preta#20 pos15 pts36 pl-57 GD

Goals per game

Goias scored1.06

Ponte Preta scored0.58

Goias conceded1.14

Ponte Preta conceded2.17

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Goias v Ponte Preta?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Goias v Ponte Preta is Home win.
What is the recent form of Goias and Ponte Preta?: Recent form — Goias 2W 2D 1L; Ponte Preta 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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