Londrina v Nautico Recife prediction

Serie B – Brazil · Wed, 11 Nov 2026 22:00 GMT · Estádio Municipal Jacy Scaff

Updated 10 Nov 2026, 02:13 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Londrina · Nautico Recife · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Londrina v Nautico Recife, Serie B – Brazil on Wed, 11 Nov 2026 22:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.73 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 502 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Londrina host Nautico Recife in Serie B – Brazil on Wednesday 11 November (kick-off 22:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

10 of Londrina’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Londrina’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Londrina have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.13. Londrina have scored 45 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 37 games). Londrina have conceded 58 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Nautico Recife’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Nautico Recife’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Nautico Recife have no wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 1.83. Nautico Recife have scored 40 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 37 games). Nautico Recife have conceded 49 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.

Londrina have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Londrina (18th) and Nautico Recife (15th) are 14 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Nautico Recife the stronger side, 129 rating points above Londrina (Nautico Recife 1410, Londrina 1281, after at least 189 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished Nautico Recife 2–1 Londrina.

Team news

Predicted Londrina XI (4-1-4-1): M. Kozlinski, Wallace, C. Rodrigues, K. Leonardo, Heron, G. Meurer, L. Marques, Tarik, Herbert, Artur, I. Bahia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kauê Leonardo (4.4 per match over three appearances) and Victor Hugo (3.0 per match over four appearances) have been Londrina’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Londrina (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Kauê Leonardo averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 270 minutes. Victor Hugo averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 276 minutes.

Predicted Nautico Recife XI (4-2-3-1): G. Guruceaga, R. Lopes, Alberto, Wanderson, I. Fernandes, Samuel, Wenderson, J. Carlos, Vinícius, B. Borasi, K. da Costa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Samuel (1.1 per match over three appearances) and Reginaldo Lopes (1.0 per match over three appearances) have been Nautico Recife’s most influential players 2026, all competitions.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 11 Nov 2026 22:00 GMT · Serie B – Brazil · Estádio Municipal Jacy Scaff
Referee: Helena de Siqueira, Andreza
Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Londrina 4 · draws 1 · Nautico Recife 1 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Londrina 1W 1D 3L · Nautico Recife 1W 1D 3L

Londrina v Nautico Recife (Serie B – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 10 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.63

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3.5 / 3.67

Corners

against 5.25 / 4.33 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 3 matches

3.5 / 4

Shots on target

against 8.25 / 7 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 3 matches

2.25 / 4.33

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.33 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 3 matches

242

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Londrina for / against	Line	Nautico Recife for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.5 for · 5.25 against n 4 Last 5	9.5standard	3.67 for · 4.33 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 19.5 against n 4 Last 5	19.5standard	11.33 for · 16.33 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 8.25 against n 4 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 7 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.75 for · 13.75 against n 4 Last 5	21.5standard	10.33 for · 9 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.75 against n 4 Last 5	3.5standard	4.33 for · 2.33 against n 3 Last 5

Londrina

Londrina Goalkeeper

Londrina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Mauricio Kozlinski	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Luan	1	9090 min	1616 /90	22 /90	00 /90

Londrina Defensive

Londrina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Wallace	5	90450 min	51 /90	81.6 /90	10.2 /90	224.4 /90	71.4 /90	20.4 /90
Caio Rodrigues	4	90360 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	61.5 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90
Kauê Leonardo	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	51.7 /90	31 /90	165.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90
Heron	2	85170 min	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	63.2 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90
Kevyn	2	54107 min	10.8 /90	32.5 /90	00 /90	75.9 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
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Londrina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Londrina before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Wallace n 5	90	1.4 4/2	1 3/2	—
Caio Rodrigues n 4	90	1 4/0	0.5 2/0	—
Herbert n 4	76.8	1.5 3/2	1.5 4/1	—
Geovane Meurer n 4	76.5	2.1 4/2	1.2 3/1	—
Lucas Marques n 4	74	1.2 3/1	1.2 4/0	—
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Londrina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Londrina before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Wallace n 5	90	1 3/2
Caio Rodrigues n 4	90	0.5 1/1
Herbert n 4	76.8	0.9 2/1
Geovane Meurer n 4	76.5	2.1 3/2
Lucas Marques n 4	74	1.5 4/1
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Londrina Attacking

Londrina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Igor Bahia	4	57229 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	62.4 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
João Coni	4	26103 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	32.6 /90	21.7 /90
William Pottker	2	75149 min	00 /90	00 /90	53 /90	21.2 /90	21.2 /90	10.6 /90
Pablo Dyego	2	3773 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.5 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90
Gilberto	1	6060 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90	11.5 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90
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Londrina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Londrina before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Wallace n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Caio Rodrigues n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Herbert n 4	76.8	3.2 4/4	1.5 3/1
Geovane Meurer n 4	76.5	0.9 2/1	0.3 1/0
Lucas Marques n 4	74	1.2 3/1	0.3 1/0
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Londrina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Londrina before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Wallace n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Caio Rodrigues n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Herbert n 4	76.8	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Geovane Meurer n 4	76.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lucas Marques n 4	74	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Nautico Recife

Nautico Recife Goalkeeper

Nautico Recife — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Guruceaga	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	–	00 /90
Muriel	1	9090 min	66 /90	–	00 /90

Nautico Recife — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nautico Recife before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Muriel n 3	92.7	4.5 3/3

Nautico Recife Defensive

Nautico Recife — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Reginaldo Lopes	3	71212 min	31.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	83.4 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
Wanderson	3	53158 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90
Alberto	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	42 /90	21 /90	00 /90
Igor Fernandes	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	105 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Luiz Paulo	2	65130 min	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	42.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Nautico Recife — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nautico Recife before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Samuel n 3	75	1.6 2/2	0 0/0	—
Reginaldo Lopes n 3	70.7	0.8 1/1	0.4 1/0	—
Wanderson n 3	52.7	1.1 2/0	0.6 1/0	—
Wenderson n 3	65	1.4 2/1	0.9 2/0	—
Igor Fernandes n 4	92	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0	—
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Nautico Recife — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nautico Recife before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Samuel n 3	75	1.6 2/1
Reginaldo Lopes n 3	70.7	1.3 2/1
Wanderson n 3	52.7	0 0/0
Wenderson n 3	65	3.2 2/1
Igor Fernandes n 4	92	0.5 2/0

Nautico Recife Attacking

Nautico Recife — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Paulo Sérgio	1	5858 min	00 /90	00 /90	23.1 /90	23.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Samuel	3	75225 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
Wenderson	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90	31.5 /90
Jean Carlos	2	85169 min	00 /90	00 /90	73.7 /90	31.6 /90	31.6 /90	42.1 /90
Vinícius	2	84168 min	00 /90	00 /90	84.3 /90	00 /90	52.7 /90	21.1 /90
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Nautico Recife — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nautico Recife before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Samuel n 3	75	0.8 1/1	0.4 1/0
Reginaldo Lopes n 3	70.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
Wanderson n 3	52.7	0.6 1/0	0 0/0
Wenderson n 3	65	1.4 1/1	0.5 1/0
Igor Fernandes n 4	92	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Nautico Recife — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nautico Recife before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Samuel n 3	75	0 0/0	0 0/0
Reginaldo Lopes n 3	70.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
Wanderson n 3	52.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
Igor Fernandes n 4	92	0 0/0	0 0/0
Wenderson n 3	65	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Londrina v Nautico Recife — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LondrinaDWLLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Nautico RecifeLDLWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Londrina 4 · 1 draw · Nautico Recife 1 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-07-23 Nautico Recife 2–1 Londrina
2022-07-23 Nautico Recife 1–2 Londrina
2022-04-10 Londrina 2–0 Nautico Recife
2021-09-22 Nautico Recife 1–2 Londrina
2021-06-23 Londrina 0–0 Nautico Recife
2017-11-11 Nautico Recife 1–2 Londrina

League standing · 2026

Londrina#18 pos32 pts37 pl-13 GD

Nautico Recife#15 pos46 pts37 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Londrina scored1.22

Nautico Recife scored1.08

Londrina conceded1.57

Nautico Recife conceded1.32

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Londrina v Nautico Recife?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Londrina v Nautico Recife is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.73 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Londrina and Nautico Recife?: In their last 6 meetings, Londrina won 4, Nautico Recife won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Londrina and Nautico Recife?: Recent form — Londrina 1W 1D 3L; Nautico Recife 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 10 Nov 2026, 02:13 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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