NovorizontinoFortaleza EC

Novorizontino v Fortaleza EC prediction

Serie B – Brazil · · Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home to score the free pick for Novorizontino v Fortaleza EC, Serie B – Brazil on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 19:10 GMT.

Free pick
Home to score
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home to score in the last 90 days, 80% of 4805 landed (95% range 78.8–81.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Novorizontino host Fortaleza EC in Serie B – Brazil on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 19:10 UK); the model’s free pick is Novorizontino to score, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Novorizontino have scored 64 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 36 games).

Form and the table

Four of Novorizontino’s last 9 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (44%). Both teams scored in two of Novorizontino’s last 9 results in all competitions (22%). At home, Novorizontino have one win, no draws and two defeats in their last 3 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.00. Novorizontino have conceded 31 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 36 games).

Nine of Fortaleza EC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Fortaleza EC’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Fortaleza EC have four wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.44. Fortaleza EC have scored 43 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 36 games). Fortaleza EC have conceded 31 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Novorizontino are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Novorizontino have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Novorizontino (first) and Fortaleza EC (fifth) are five points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Novorizontino the stronger side, 134 rating points above Fortaleza EC (Novorizontino 1696, Fortaleza EC 1562, after at least nine rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Maílton (3.9 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) and G. Fuentes (3.5 per match over three appearances) have been Fortaleza EC’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Fortaleza EC (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Maílton averages 0.8 tackles per 90 over 434 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances. G. Fuentes averages 3.9 tackles per 90 over 276 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie B – Brazil · Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
  • Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Novorizontino 2W 1D 2L · Fortaleza EC 3W 1D 1L

Novorizontino v Fortaleza EC (Serie B – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.5 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3 / 5.13
Corners
against 4.2 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
1.4 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 1.4 / 3.88 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.2 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.4 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNovorizontino for / againstLineFortaleza EC for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 4.2 against n 5
9.5standard
5.13 for · 2.88 against n 8
Shots
3.8 for · 3.4 against n 5
19.5standard
9.63 for · 9.88 against n 8
Shots on target
1.4 for · 1.4 against n 5
8.5standard
3.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
4.2 for · 3.2 against n 5
21.5standard
11.63 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.2 for · 1.4 against n 5
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC Goalkeeper

Fortaleza EC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Vinícius Silvestre294187 min73.4 /9010.5 /9000 /90
João Ricardo293186 min83.9 /9052.4 /9000 /90
Brenno19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Fortaleza EC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortaleza EC before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Vinícius Silvestre n 491.8
4.44/4
João Ricardo n 890.8
4.37/6
Brenno n 895.1
3.87/6

Fortaleza EC Defensive

Fortaleza EC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Lucas Gazal593463 min40.8 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90132.5 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
Maílton587434 min40.8 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90183.7 /9081.7 /9020.4 /90
E. Brítez392277 min20.6 /9041.3 /9000 /90196.2 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
G. Fuentes392276 min123.9 /9031 /9010.3 /90175.5 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90
Neris262124 min32.2 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9053.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Fortaleza EC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortaleza EC before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lucas Gazal n 894
0.85/2
00/0
—
Maílton n 586.8
1.73/2
1.23/1
—
Pierre n 867.5
0.82/1
0.73/1
—
Lucas Sasha n 872.3
2.28/4
0.84/1
—
J. Miritello n 469.3
2.34/3
0.62/0
—
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Fortaleza EC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortaleza EC before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Lucas Gazal n 894
0.75/1
Maílton n 586.8
0.84/0
Pierre n 867.5
2.26/3
Lucas Sasha n 872.3
1.45/3
J. Miritello n 469.3
0.31/0
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Fortaleza EC Attacking

Fortaleza EC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Miritello469277 min20.6 /9000 /9061.9 /9031 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Luiz Fernando461243 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9031.1 /9031.1 /90
Vitinho440158 min10.6 /9000 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9021.1 /90
T. Pochettino385255 min00 /9000 /9041.4 /9010.4 /9031.1 /9020.7 /90
Rodriguinho359177 min10.5 /9010.5 /9042 /9010.5 /9042 /9010.5 /90
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Fortaleza EC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortaleza EC before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Gazal n 894
00/0
00/0
Maílton n 586.8
1.95/2
13/1
Pierre n 867.5
00/0
00/0
Lucas Sasha n 872.3
00/0
00/0
J. Miritello n 469.3
1.94/1
13/0
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Fortaleza EC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortaleza EC before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Gazal n 894
00/0
0.11/0
Maílton n 586.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Pierre n 867.5
00/0
00/0
Lucas Sasha n 872.3
00/0
00/0
J. Miritello n 469.3
0.62/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Novorizontino v Fortaleza EC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NovorizontinoLLWWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Fortaleza ECWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026
Novorizontino#1 pos67 pts36 pl+33 GD
Fortaleza EC#5 pos62 pts36 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
Novorizontino scored1.78
Fortaleza EC scored1.19
Novorizontino conceded0.86
Fortaleza EC conceded0.86

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Novorizontino v Fortaleza EC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Novorizontino v Fortaleza EC is Home to score.
What is the recent form of Novorizontino and Fortaleza EC?
Recent form — Novorizontino 2W 1D 2L; Fortaleza EC 3W 1D 1L.

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