Vila NovaCriciuma

Vila Nova v Criciuma prediction

Serie B – Brazil · · Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Both teams to score: No the free pick for Vila Nova v Criciuma, Serie B – Brazil on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT.

Free pick
Both teams to score: No
Best price: 1.85 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 2 of 2 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: No landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Vila Nova host Criciuma in Serie B – Brazil on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 23:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Both teams to score: No.

The key numbers

Vila Nova are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Vila Nova’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Vila Nova’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Vila Nova have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.17. Vila Nova have scored 52 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 36 games). Vila Nova have conceded 38 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Six of Criciuma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Criciuma’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Criciuma have two wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.89 points per game, scoring 0.67 and conceding 2.00. Criciuma have scored 38 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 36 games). Criciuma have conceded 30 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Vila Nova (third) and Criciuma (fourth) are one point apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Vila Nova the stronger side, 62 rating points above Criciuma (Vila Nova 1445, Criciuma 1383, after at least 30 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Vila Nova XI (4-2-3-1): Dalberson, W. Formiga, T. Pagnussat, P. Romano, Hayner, J. Vieira, M. Gabriel, W. Maranhão, N. Camargo, J. Todinho, Dellatorre — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Predicted Criciuma XI (4-4-2): K. Moroso, Rodrigo, M. Hermes, L. Castan, Marcinho, D. Gonçalves, M. Trindade, E. Morelli, Juninho, N. Pessoa, J. Carlos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie B – Brazil · Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga
  • Referee: Bruno Arleu
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Vila Nova 0W 3D 2L · Criciuma 3W 0D 2L

Vila Nova v Criciuma (Serie B – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.88
Goals
against 1 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
6.5 / 6.38
Corners
against 4.75 / 6.38 · 2 of the last 2 over 9.5
over 4 matches
4.5 / 2.25
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 2 over 8.5
over 4 matches
3 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.5 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 2 over 3.5
over 4 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVila Nova for / againstLineCriciuma for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1 against n 8
2.25our book
0.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 4.75 against n 4
9.5standard
6.38 for · 6.38 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 9.75 against n 4
19.5standard
8.38 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.25 against n 4
8.5standard
2.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 8 against n 4
21.5standard
10.5 for · 6 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2.5 against n 4
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Vila Nova v Criciuma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Vila NovaLLDDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
CriciumaLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026
Vila Nova#3 pos63 pts36 pl+14 GD
Criciuma#4 pos62 pts36 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Vila Nova scored1.44
Criciuma scored1.06
Vila Nova conceded1.06
Criciuma conceded0.83

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Vila Nova v Criciuma?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Vila Nova v Criciuma is Both teams to score: No (best price 1.85 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Vila Nova and Criciuma?
Recent form — Vila Nova 0W 3D 2L; Criciuma 3W 0D 2L.

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