Avellino v Mantova prediction

Serie B – Italy · Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Avellino v Mantova, Serie B – Italy on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Avellino host Mantova in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 14:00 UK).

Form and the table

Six of Avellino’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Avellino’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Avellino have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.71. Avellino have scored 16 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Avellino have conceded 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Mantova’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Mantova’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Mantova have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.75. Mantova have scored 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Mantova have conceded 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Avellino are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Mantova are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Avellino (fifth) and Mantova (fourth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Avellino the stronger side, 22 rating points above Mantova (Avellino 1581, Mantova 1559, after at least 87 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Mantova 0–2 Avellino.

Team news

Predicted Avellino XI (3-5-2): T. Martinelli, M. Venturi, P. Enrici, A. Izzo, B. Moruzzi, F. Missori, M. Besaggio, M. Palumbo, L. Di Maggio, R. Russo, W. Cheddira — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Russo (5.6 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and two assists) and L. Šimić (4.4 per match over four appearances) have been Avellino’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Avellino (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Russo averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 989 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. L. Šimić averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 298 minutes.

Predicted Mantova XI (3-4-2-1): F. Bardi, A. Castellini, B. Tomašević, S. Cella, F. Benaissa-Yahia, S. Trimboli, R. Kouda, F. Ruocco, R. Ilie, L. Ignacchiti, E. Gliozzi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Ruocco (4.0 per match over 13 appearances, seven goals) and Jonathan Silva (3.7 per match over eight appearances) have been Mantova’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Mantova (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Ruocco averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 952 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Jonathan Silva averages 0.2 key passes per 90 over 598 minutes, with a key pass in one of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Serie B – Italy · Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Head-to-head (last 2): Avellino 1 · draws 1 · Mantova 0 · 1 goals/game
Recent form: Avellino 1W 3D 1L · Mantova 1W 2D 2L

Avellino v Mantova (Serie B – Italy): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.13 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.38

Corners

against 4.63 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 3.88 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.63 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Avellino for / against	Line	Mantova for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.88 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.75 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.75 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	15.13 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Avellino

Avellino Goalkeeper

Avellino — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Martinelli	12	901080 min	363 /90	110.9 /90	00 /90

Avellino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Martinelli n 8	90	2.5 6/5

Avellino Defensive

Avellino — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Izzo	12	851018 min	232 /90	100.9 /90	60.5 /90	524.6 /90	70.6 /90	20.2 /90
P. Enrici	10	89890 min	212.1 /90	181.8 /90	20.2 /90	434.3 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90
Michael Venturi	10	78782 min	222.5 /90	141.6 /90	20.2 /90	505.8 /90	80.9 /90	30.3 /90
T. Cancellotti	5	66331 min	71.9 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	143.8 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
L. Šimić	4	75298 min	61.8 /90	123.6 /90	92.7 /90	288.5 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Avellino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Martinelli n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 3/1	—
A. Izzo n 8	82.3	0.7 4/1	0.8 4/1	—
B. Moruzzi n 8	82.3	0.7 5/0	0.5 4/0	—
R. Russo n 8	80.3	0.8 4/2	2 6/4	—
M. Besaggio n 8	79.5	1.6 8/2	2.1 4/3	—
See more players · Pro

Avellino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Izzo n 8	82.3	2.3 6/5
B. Moruzzi n 8	82.3	1.6 7/4
R. Russo n 8	80.3	1.4 5/3
M. Besaggio n 8	79.5	2.7 8/6
M. Palumbo n 8	72.9	2.6 7/4
See more players · Pro

Avellino Attacking

Avellino — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Russo	12	82989 min	50.5 /90	20.2 /90	191.7 /90	111 /90	292.6 /90	131.2 /90
W. Cheddira	9	62557 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	213.4 /90	101.6 /90	20.3 /90	30.5 /90
A. Favilli	8	46365 min	00 /90	30.7 /90	92.2 /90	20.5 /90	41 /90	00 /90
T. Biasci	4	53212 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.1 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
L. Pandolfi	3	38113 min	00 /90	00 /90	43.2 /90	32.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Avellino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Martinelli n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Izzo n 8	82.3	0.7 3/1	0.3 2/0
B. Moruzzi n 8	82.3	1.6 6/3	0.5 2/1
R. Russo n 8	80.3	2 6/4	1.3 6/2
M. Besaggio n 8	79.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

Avellino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Martinelli n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Izzo n 8	82.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
B. Moruzzi n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
R. Russo n 8	80.3	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
M. Besaggio n 8	79.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Mantova

Mantova Goalkeeper

Mantova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Bardi	13	901170 min	352.7 /90	90.7 /90	00 /90

Mantova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Bardi n 8	90	2.8 7/5

Mantova Defensive

Mantova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Cella	13	901170 min	181.4 /90	131 /90	50.4 /90	534.1 /90	241.8 /90	30.2 /90
A. Castellini	13	891156 min	211.6 /90	171.3 /90	40.3 /90	483.7 /90	171.3 /90	30.2 /90
Bodin Tomašević	12	81976 min	252.3 /90	100.9 /90	50.5 /90	656 /90	171.6 /90	30.3 /90
T. Del Lungo	3	60179 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
A. Meroni	2	3978 min	11.2 /90	22.3 /90	11.2 /90	22.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Mantova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Cella n 8	90	2.4 8/5	0.6 4/1	—
F. Bardi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	1.5 5/3	0.9 6/1	—
A. Castellini n 8	90	1.3 5/1	0.4 3/0	—
F. Ruocco n 8	72.8	1.2 5/2	1.9 6/5	—
See more players · Pro

Mantova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Cella n 8	90	1.1 6/3
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	1.9 8/6
A. Castellini n 8	90	1.8 6/3
F. Ruocco n 8	72.8	0.3 2/0
R. Ilie n 8	57.3	2.4 5/3
See more players · Pro

Mantova Attacking

Mantova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Ruocco	13	73952 min	70.7 /90	00 /90	262.5 /90	131.2 /90	141.3 /90	60.6 /90
R. Ilie	13	60785 min	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	161.8 /90	60.7 /90	232.6 /90	151.7 /90
E. Gliozzi	12	55661 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	192.6 /90	81.1 /90	91.2 /90	30.4 /90
D. Bragantini	10	47474 min	10.2 /90	40.8 /90	112.1 /90	50.9 /90	122.3 /90	50.9 /90
V. Vlahović	7	36249 min	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	124.3 /90	31.1 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Mantova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Bardi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Cella n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
A. Castellini n 8	90	1.3 4/3	0.5 3/1
F. Ruocco n 8	72.8	2.5 7/7	0.9 4/2
See more players · Pro

Mantova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Bardi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Cella n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Castellini n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
F. Ruocco n 8	72.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Avellino v Mantova — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AvellinoDLDWD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

MantovaLWLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Avellino 1 · 1 draw · Mantova 0 · 1 goals/game

2026-04-18 Mantova 0–2 Avellino
2025-10-04 Avellino 0–0 Mantova

League standing · 2026/27

Avellino#5 pos16 pts11 pl+5 GD

Mantova#4 pos19 pts11 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Avellino scored1.45

Mantova scored1.36

Avellino conceded1

Mantova conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Avellino and Mantova?: In their last 2 meetings, Avellino won 1, Mantova won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Avellino and Mantova?: Recent form — Avellino 1W 3D 1L; Mantova 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.