CatanzaroBari

Catanzaro v Bari result

Full-time · Catanzaro 2–3 Bari

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Catanzaro · Bari · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Catanzaro 2–3 Bari — Bari won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1731 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bari won 3–2 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo in Serie B – Italy on Friday 8 May. Catanzaro have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bari led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Catanzaro: B. Verrengia (12’, assisted by M. D'Alessandro) and N. Koffi (90’ pen); Bari: G. Moncini (23’, assisted by E. Rao) and K. Piscopo (40’; 50’, assisted by M. Dorval).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with K. Piscopo’s goal on 40 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Catanzaro out-shot Bari 9 to 8 and created the better chances, 2.07 xG to 1.01 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

S. Sozza showed two yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Catanzaro: D. Buglio (16’); Bari: K. Piscopo (26’).

What it changes

Catanzaro stay fifth after this result (38 league matches played). Catanzaro have scored 62 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Catanzaro have conceded 51 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Bari stay 17th after this result (38 league matches played). Bari have scored 38 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Bari have conceded 60 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Piscopo (Bari) 8.1, B. Verrengia (Catanzaro) 7.2 and E. Bashi (Catanzaro) 6.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Catanzaro are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Bari, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Catanzaro or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1325 of 1731).

Next up

Catanzaro next host Palermo on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Catanzaro: Catanzaro v Palermo, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Catanzaro 2–3 Bari · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo · Catanzaro
  • Referee: S. Sozza
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Catanzaro 2 · draws 3 · Bari 0 · 3.4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Catanzaro 1W 3D 1L · Bari 2W 0D 3L

Catanzaro 2–3 Bari (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.75
Corners
against 4.38 / 6.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCatanzaro for / againstLineBari for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 6.75 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
8.38 for · 17.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 6 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 16.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: S. Sozza.

Catanzaro

Catanzaro Defensive

Catanzaro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 1 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Pigliacelli n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
Matias Antonini n 889.6
1.15/3
0.85/1
—
C. Favasuli n 888
0.94/2
2.37/6
—
S. Pontisso n 882.3
0.54/0
1.16/2
—
P. Iemmello n 885
0.42/1
0.43/0
—
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Catanzaro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 1 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 890
00/0
Matias Antonini n 889.6
16/2
C. Favasuli n 888
3.28/6
S. Pontisso n 882.3
14/3
P. Iemmello n 885
0.32/0
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Catanzaro Attacking

Catanzaro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 1 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 890
00/0
00/0
Matias Antonini n 889.6
0.42/1
00/0
C. Favasuli n 888
0.84/2
0.43/0
S. Pontisso n 882.3
14/2
0.43/0
P. Iemmello n 885
1.66/4
0.53/1
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Catanzaro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 1 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 890
00/0
00/0
Matias Antonini n 889.6
00/0
00/0
C. Favasuli n 888
00/0
0.42/1
S. Pontisso n 882.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
P. Iemmello n 885
0.42/1
0.43/0
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Bari

Bari Goalkeeper

Bari — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Cerofolini37903335 min1524.1 /90581.6 /9000 /90
Bari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 1 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Cerofolini n 890
56/6

Bari Defensive

Bari — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Nikolaou23781797 min261.3 /90110.6 /90160.8 /90753.8 /90191 /9040.2 /90
C. Odenthal15871310 min281.9 /90130.9 /90141 /90865.9 /90221.5 /9030.2 /90
V. Mantovani1282984 min90.8 /9070.6 /9070.6 /90615.6 /9060.5 /9010.1 /90
M. Braunöder29742147 min682.9 /90170.7 /90180.8 /901385.8 /90492.1 /9050.2 /90
G. Maggiore23701608 min251.4 /90171 /9040.2 /90975.4 /90362 /9040.2 /90
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Bari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 1 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
00/0
—
G. Moncini n 875.4
1.26/2
0.42/1
—
M. Dorval n 865.6
1.96/3
0.53/0
—
Emanuele Rao n 869.5
0.84/1
1.66/3
—
M. Braunöder n 865.4
1.97/4
1.56/1
—
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Bari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 1 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Moncini n 875.4
00/0
M. Dorval n 865.6
3.17/6
Emanuele Rao n 869.5
0.64/0
M. Braunöder n 865.4
2.46/5
L. Dickmann n 869.3
2.47/5
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Bari Attacking

Bari — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Moncini36722596 min100.3 /9020.1 /90401.4 /90200.7 /90180.6 /90110.4 /90
M. Dorval33792615 min10 /9060.2 /90120.4 /9050.2 /90361.2 /90461.6 /90
Emanuele Rao31521599 min60.3 /9010.1 /90261.5 /90130.7 /90150.8 /90251.4 /90
C. Gytkjær1850901 min30.3 /9000 /90151.5 /9080.8 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90
M. Çuni1131341 min10.3 /9000 /9092.4 /9071.8 /9030.8 /9071.8 /90
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Bari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 1 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Moncini n 875.4
1.27/1
0.74/1
M. Dorval n 865.6
0.32/0
00/0
Emanuele Rao n 869.5
1.66/3
1.13/3
M. Braunöder n 865.4
0.53/0
0.32/0
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Bari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 1 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Moncini n 875.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
M. Dorval n 865.6
00/0
0.21/0
Emanuele Rao n 869.5
0.52/1
0.21/0
M. Braunöder n 865.4
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CatanzaroBari
75%Possession25%
2.07Expected goals (xG)1.01
9Shots8
6Shots on target3
2Shots off target4
1Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box7
8Corners0
2Offsides0
13Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves4
591Passes193
91%Pass accuracy68%

Catanzaro Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Marietta9000000005.9
E. Bashi9000000407.7
B. Verrengia9010110307.2
M. Pompetti9000000106.9
Fabio Rispoli9000110007.2
N. Koffi9010321006.9
M. D'Alessandro7901003006.9
R. Oudin6900101006.9
N. Brighenti5200000006.2
Gonçalo Esteves5200000106.7
D. Buglio52000001Y6.5
T. Cassandro sub3800110207.2
F. Di Francesco sub3800001006.6
G. Alesi sub3800110006.3
M. Liberali sub2100001006.6
P. Nuamah sub1100001106.9

Bari Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Cerofolini9000000006.9
V. Mantovani9000000006.3
C. Odenthal9000000006.3
D. Nikolaou9000000006.3
R. Pagano9000001206.5
M. Dorval9001002107.2
G. Maggiore8900001306.9
G. Moncini7910210006.9
Emanuele Rao7801202107.2
K. Piscopo69203201Y8.5
Tomás Esteves6900000006.5
Moussa Mane sub2100000006.5
F. Artioli sub2100000006.3
N. Bellomo sub1200000006.7
M. Çuni sub1100000106.2
L. Dickmann sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Catanzaro v Bari — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CatanzaroDDDWL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
BariWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Catanzaro 2 · 3 draws · Bari 0 · 3.4 goals/game
  • 2025-12-19 Bari 1–2 Catanzaro
  • 2025-04-06 Catanzaro 3–3 Bari
  • 2024-10-18 Bari 1–1 Catanzaro
  • 2024-02-27 Catanzaro 2–0 Bari
  • 2023-09-24 Bari 2–2 Catanzaro
League standing · 2025/26
Catanzaro#5 pos59 pts38 pl+11 GD
Bari#17 pos40 pts38 pl-22 GD
Goals per game
Catanzaro scored1.63
Bari scored1
Catanzaro conceded1.34
Bari conceded1.58

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Catanzaro v Bari?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Catanzaro v Bari was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Catanzaro and Bari?
In their last 5 meetings, Catanzaro won 2, Bari won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Catanzaro and Bari?
Recent form — Catanzaro 1W 3D 1L; Bari 2W 0D 3L.

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