CatanzaroSpezia

Catanzaro v Spezia result

Full-time · Catanzaro 4–2 Spezia

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Catanzaro 4–2 Spezia — Catanzaro won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 5 of 7 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Catanzaro beat Spezia 4–2 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 25 April. Catanzaro have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Catanzaro: J. Petriccione (24’, assisted by Costantino Favasuli), Fellipe Jack (63’, assisted by Costantino Favasuli) and F. Pittarello (78’, assisted by T. Cassandro; 82’, assisted by F. Di Francesco); Spezia: M. Valoti (44’, assisted by G. Lapadula) and G. Lapadula (90’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Fellipe Jack’s goal on 63 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Catanzaro 1.74, Spezia 2.06, from 14 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Piccinini showed four yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Catanzaro: J. Petriccione (66’); Spezia: G. Di Serio (45’), P. Hristov (75’) and M. Valoti (80’).

What it changes

It is Catanzaro’s first win over Spezia since 23 February 2025, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 36, across 10 matches. Catanzaro are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, G. Lapadula (Spezia) 9.2, F. Pittarello (Catanzaro) 9.1 and M. Valoti (Spezia) 7.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Spezia are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Catanzaro.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Catanzaro next host Palermo on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Catanzaro: Catanzaro v Palermo, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Catanzaro 4–2 Spezia · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo · Catanzaro
  • Referee: M. Piccinini
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Catanzaro 1 · draws 2 · Spezia 3 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Catanzaro 0W 4D 1L · Spezia 1W 1D 3L

Catanzaro 4–2 Spezia (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.75 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.25
Corners
against 4.25 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.5 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.2 yellows
Referee · M. Piccinini
34 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCatanzaro for / againstLineSpezia for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 16.63 against n 8
21.5standard
16.63 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: M. Piccinini — 5.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 34 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Catanzaro

Catanzaro Defensive

Catanzaro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Pigliacelli n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
Matias Antonini n 889.9
1.56/4
1.35/3
P. Beruatto
C. Favasuli n 888
15/2
2.27/6
G. Di Serio
P. Iemmello n 885
0.42/1
0.43/0
—
S. Pontisso n 875.4
0.94/1
0.74/1
G. Di Serio
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Catanzaro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 890
00/0
Matias Antonini n 889.9
1.17/2
C. Favasuli n 888
3.58/6
P. Iemmello n 885
0.32/0
S. Pontisso n 875.4
1.35/4
See more players · Pro

Catanzaro Attacking

Catanzaro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 890
00/0
00/0
Matias Antonini n 889.9
0.42/1
00/0
C. Favasuli n 888
0.63/2
0.32/0
P. Iemmello n 885
1.66/4
0.53/1
S. Pontisso n 875.4
0.74/1
0.64/0
See more players · Pro
Catanzaro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 890
00/0
00/0
Matias Antonini n 889.9
00/0
00/0
C. Favasuli n 888
00/0
0.11/0
P. Iemmello n 885
0.42/1
0.43/0
S. Pontisso n 875.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

Spezia

Spezia Defensive

Spezia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spezia before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Aurelio n 883
0.74/1
0.32/0
—
G. Artistico n 888
1.47/2
2.27/6
—
A. Matějů n 877.6
2.86/5
1.45/2
—
P. Beruatto n 871.8
0.32/0
0.53/0
Matias Antonini
G. Di Serio n 854.5
2.16/3
2.14/4
S. Pontisso
See more players · Pro
Spezia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spezia before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Aurelio n 883
0.53/1
G. Artistico n 888
0.42/1
A. Matějů n 877.6
1.76/5
P. Beruatto n 871.8
1.45/4
G. Di Serio n 854.5
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

Spezia Attacking

Spezia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spezia before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Aurelio n 883
0.86/0
0.54/0
G. Artistico n 888
2.77/4
1.45/3
A. Matějů n 877.6
0.73/1
0.32/0
P. Beruatto n 871.8
0.83/2
0.32/0
G. Di Serio n 854.5
1.75/3
0.83/1
See more players · Pro
Spezia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spezia before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Aurelio n 883
0.43/0
0.32/0
G. Artistico n 888
0.53/1
0.11/0
A. Matějů n 877.6
00/0
00/0
P. Beruatto n 871.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
G. Di Serio n 854.5
0.21/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CatanzaroSpezia
64%Possession36%
1.74Expected goals (xG)2.06
14Shots12
8Shots on target4
1Shots off target6
5Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box8
9Corners2
1Offsides1
10Fouls20
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves4
410Passes225
85%Pass accuracy68%

Catanzaro Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Pigliacelli9000000007.3
T. Cassandro9001101107.5
Matias Antonini9000001006.5
C. Favasuli9002112106.9
G. Alesi9000000107.3
F. Pittarello9020330108.2
F. Di Francesco8901004007.5
S. Pontisso7800001007
M. Liberali7800221106.3
Fellipe Jack7710110207.6
J. Petriccione71101110Y7.9
Fabio Rispoli sub1900000006.6
R. Frosinini sub1300000106.2
M. Pompetti sub1200000006.3
P. Nuamah sub1200000006.7
Gonçalo Esteves sub800000106.5

Spezia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Mascardi9000000007.3
A. Matějů9000001106.6
P. Hristov90000014Y6.3
G. Aurelio9000000005.9
M. Valoti90103212Y8.3
G. Lapadula9011323007.3
L. Sernicola8700100305.9
C. Comotto8700001206.7
P. Beruatto7800100106.2
G. Di Serio67001010Y6.2
Á. Nagy6700001306.5
A. Romano sub2300100006.3
L. Skjellerup sub2300000006
E. Adamo sub1200001006.5
A. Bellemo sub1000000006.5
L. Vignali sub1000000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Catanzaro v Spezia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CatanzaroLDDDD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
SpeziaDLLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Catanzaro 1 · 2 draws · Spezia 3 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-08-30 Spezia 0–0 Catanzaro
  • 2025-05-25 Spezia 2–1 Catanzaro
  • 2025-05-21 Catanzaro 0–2 Spezia
  • 2025-02-23 Spezia 0–1 Catanzaro
  • 2024-12-21 Catanzaro 0–1 Spezia
  • 2024-02-03 Spezia 1–1 Catanzaro
League standing · 2025/26
Catanzaro#5 pos59 pts38 pl+11 GD
Spezia#19 pos35 pts38 pl-16 GD
Goals per game
Catanzaro scored1.63
Spezia scored1.13
Catanzaro conceded1.34
Spezia conceded1.55

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Catanzaro v Spezia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Catanzaro v Spezia was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Catanzaro and Spezia?
In their last 6 meetings, Catanzaro won 1, Spezia won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Catanzaro and Spezia?
Recent form — Catanzaro 0W 4D 1L; Spezia 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+