Cesena v Catanzaro prediction

Serie B – Italy · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Stadio Dino Manuzzi

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cesena · Catanzaro · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Cesena v Catanzaro, Serie B – Italy on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.78 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Cesena host Catanzaro in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Catanzaro have conceded 22 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Catanzaro have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Catanzaro are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Cesena’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Cesena’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Cesena have one win, five draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.43. Cesena have scored 11 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Cesena have conceded 14 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Catanzaro’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Catanzaro’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Catanzaro have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.75. Catanzaro have scored 11 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Cesena (12th) and Catanzaro (20th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cesena the stronger side, 39 rating points above Catanzaro (Cesena 1422, Catanzaro 1382, after at least 129 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Cesena 3–1 Catanzaro.

Team news

Predicted Cesena XI (4-2-3-1): A. Siano, A. Ciofi, G. Frabotta, M. Mangraviti, J. Gelli, D. Bisoli, R. Pagano, E. Bohinen, M. Guidi, X. Druiventak, C. Shpendi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, X. Druiventak (4.2 per match over three appearances, one assist) and C. Shpendi (4.1 per match over 11 appearances, eight goals and one assist) have been Cesena’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cesena (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Shpendi averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 962 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Catanzaro XI (3-5-2): M. Pigliacelli, M. Imperiale, M. Antonini, M. Ruggero, J. Petriccione, G. Alesi, A. Candela, M. Dorval, F. Tchaouna, P. Iemmello, N. Koffi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Pigliacelli (3.2 per match over 11 appearances) and G. Alesi (3.1 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) have been Catanzaro’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Catanzaro (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Pigliacelli averages 3.2 saves per 90 over 990 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last 10 appearances. G. Alesi averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 819 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Serie B – Italy · Stadio Dino Manuzzi
Referee: Maco Di Loreto
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 5): Cesena 2 · draws 0 · Catanzaro 3 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Cesena 1W 2D 2L · Catanzaro 0W 3D 2L

Cesena v Catanzaro (Serie B – Italy): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1

Goals

against 1.5 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.13 / 4.75

Corners

against 4.75 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 3.5

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2

Cards

against 1.5 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Cesena for / against	Line	Catanzaro for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.5 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.38 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.5 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Maco Di Loreto.

Cesena

Cesena Goalkeeper

Cesena — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Siano	11	90990 min	393.5 /90	100.9 /90	00 /90

Cesena — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Siano n 8	90	3 8/7

Cesena Defensive

Cesena — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Ciofi	11	85930 min	70.7 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90	222.1 /90	80.8 /90	00 /90
M. Ilić	10	83826 min	91 /90	212.3 /90	40.4 /90	414.5 /90	121.3 /90	30.3 /90
G. Frabotta	10	60603 min	131.9 /90	81.2 /90	71 /90	355.2 /90	91.3 /90	30.4 /90
J. Gelli	9	82738 min	151.8 /90	91.1 /90	50.6 /90	496 /90	91.1 /90	10.1 /90
M. Mangraviti	9	74662 min	91.2 /90	40.5 /90	50.7 /90	293.9 /90	30.4 /90	10.1 /90
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Cesena — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Siano n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
A. Ciofi n 8	82.5	0.7 3/1	1.1 5/2	—
C. Shpendi n 8	86.4	2.2 8/5	0.8 4/1	—
D. Bisoli n 8	78.4	0.3 2/0	0.9 4/1	—
M. Ilić n 8	81.5	1.4 8/1	0.7 3/1	—
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Cesena — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Ciofi n 8	82.5	1 5/2
C. Shpendi n 8	86.4	0.5 2/2
D. Bisoli n 8	78.4	1.4 5/3
M. Ilić n 8	81.5	1.2 4/4
R. Pagano n 8	81.6	2.2 7/4
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Cesena Attacking

Cesena — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Shpendi	11	84928 min	80.8 /90	10.1 /90	212 /90	131.3 /90	141.4 /90	50.5 /90
A. Fiori	9	59533 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	203.4 /90	81.4 /90	71.2 /90	50.8 /90
L. D'Andrea	7	46321 min	00 /90	20.6 /90	61.7 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	61.7 /90
A. Debenedetti	6	23139 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90
M. Caprini	2	3876 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.6 /90	33.6 /90	00 /90	22.4 /90
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Cesena — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Siano n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Ciofi n 8	82.5	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
C. Shpendi n 8	86.4	2.1 7/7	1.4 7/3
D. Bisoli n 8	78.4	1 4/2	0 0/0
M. Ilić n 8	81.5	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
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Cesena — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Siano n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Ciofi n 8	82.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Shpendi n 8	86.4	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
D. Bisoli n 8	78.4	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
M. Ilić n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Catanzaro

Catanzaro Goalkeeper

Catanzaro — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Pigliacelli	10	90900 min	343.4 /90	141.4 /90	00 /90

Catanzaro — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Pigliacelli n 8	90	2.8 6/5

Catanzaro Defensive

Catanzaro — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Matias Antonini	10	84837 min	101.1 /90	192 /90	50.5 /90	414.4 /90	151.6 /90	30.3 /90
M. Ruggero	10	73729 min	141.7 /90	60.7 /90	70.9 /90	344.2 /90	121.5 /90	20.2 /90
M. Imperiale	8	75603 min	71 /90	81.2 /90	40.6 /90	253.7 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90
R. Frosinini	5	40201 min	62.7 /90	20.9 /90	10.4 /90	146.3 /90	52.2 /90	00 /90
B. Verrengia	4	74297 min	30.9 /90	51.5 /90	10.3 /90	82.4 /90	41.2 /90	00 /90
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Catanzaro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Pigliacelli n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
J. Petriccione n 8	84.9	0.4 3/0	2.3 8/5	—
Matias Antonini n 8	82.1	1.5 6/3	0.3 2/0	—
P. Iemmello n 8	83	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
M. Ruggero n 8	71.4	1.1 5/2	0.2 1/0	—
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Catanzaro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Petriccione n 8	84.9	0.9 6/1
Matias Antonini n 8	82.1	1 6/1
P. Iemmello n 8	83	0.4 2/1
M. Ruggero n 8	71.4	1.9 6/4
G. Alesi n 8	79.4	1.8 7/4
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Catanzaro Attacking

Catanzaro — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Iemmello	10	83827 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	212.3 /90	70.8 /90	101.1 /90	80.9 /90
N. Koffi	8	71569 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	121.9 /90	40.6 /90	81.3 /90	60.9 /90
E. Pecorino	5	44218 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	114.5 /90	62.5 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90
F. Di Francesco	4	48192 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90	73.3 /90	10.5 /90
M. D'Alessandro	4	37148 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	21.2 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90
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Catanzaro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Petriccione n 8	84.9	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0
Matias Antonini n 8	82.1	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
P. Iemmello n 8	83	2.3 8/5	0.5 3/1
M. Ruggero n 8	71.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Catanzaro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Petriccione n 8	84.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Matias Antonini n 8	82.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
P. Iemmello n 8	83	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Ruggero n 8	71.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cesena v Catanzaro — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CesenaLDLWD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

CatanzaroLDLDD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 5

Cesena 2 · 0 draws · Catanzaro 3 · 3 goals/game

2026-03-21 Cesena 3–1 Catanzaro
2025-12-27 Catanzaro 2–0 Cesena
2025-05-17 Catanzaro 1–0 Cesena
2025-02-01 Catanzaro 4–2 Cesena
2024-08-28 Cesena 2–0 Catanzaro

League standing · 2026/27

Cesena#12 pos12 pts10 pl-3 GD

Catanzaro#20 pos6 pts10 pl-11 GD

Goals per game

Cesena scored1.1

Catanzaro scored1.1

Cesena conceded1.4

Catanzaro conceded2.2

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Cesena v Catanzaro?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Cesena v Catanzaro is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.78 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Cesena and Catanzaro?: In their last 5 meetings, Cesena won 2, Catanzaro won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cesena and Catanzaro?: Recent form — Cesena 1W 2D 2L; Catanzaro 0W 3D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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