Padova v Empoli prediction

Serie B – Italy · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Stadio Euganeo

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 18:47 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Padova · Empoli

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Padova v Empoli, Serie B – Italy on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.36 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Padova host Empoli in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Padova or Empoli (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Four of Padova’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in six of Padova’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Padova have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.71. Padova have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Padova have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Six of Empoli’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Empoli’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Empoli have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.63. Empoli have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Empoli have conceded 17 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Padova are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Empoli are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Padova (ninth) and Empoli (18th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Padova the stronger side, 149 rating points above Empoli (Padova 1477, Empoli 1328, after at least 84 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Padova 1–0 Empoli.

Team news

Predicted Padova XI (3-5-2): A. Sorrentino, M. Lovato, A. Dellavalle, C. Pastina, E. Zuelli, P. Fusi, A. Capelli, G. Giunti, M. Pompetti, L. Moro, G. Artistico — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Alessandro Dellavalle (4.0 per match over 11 appearances) and C. Pastina (3.5 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Padova’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Padova (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Alessandro Dellavalle averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 990 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. C. Pastina averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 641 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Empoli XI (3-5-2): J. Seghetti, C. Cauz, M. Curto, L. Magnino, N. Corrado, K. Zedadka, E. Saporiti, G. Yepes, F. Bandinelli, B. Popov, J. Ceesay — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, E. Saporiti (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, five goals) and Gerard Yepes (3.6 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Empoli’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Empoli (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), E. Saporiti averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 934 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Gerard Yepes averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 705 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Serie B – Italy · Stadio Euganeo
Referee: Giuseppe Mucera
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Padova 1 · draws 0 · Empoli 1 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Padova 2W 1D 2L · Empoli 0W 2D 3L

Padova v Empoli (Serie B – Italy): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 4.25

Corners

against 6.63 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.13 / 3.63

Shots on target

against 5.75 / 5.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Padova for / against	Line	Empoli for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.25 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.63 for · 19.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12 for · 17.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.13 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.63 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Padova

Padova Goalkeeper

Padova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Sorrentino	11	90990 min	444 /90	80.7 /90	00 /90

Padova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Sorrentino n 8	90	4.3 8/7

Padova Defensive

Padova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Alessandro Dellavalle	11	90990 min	333 /90	222 /90	111 /90	575.2 /90	131.2 /90	40.4 /90
M. Lovato	10	84837 min	101.1 /90	131.4 /90	70.8 /90	404.3 /90	60.6 /90	10.1 /90
C. Pastina	8	80641 min	202.8 /90	101.4 /90	30.4 /90	375.2 /90	71 /90	10.1 /90
F. Sgarbi	5	79393 min	51.1 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	133 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
E. Zuelli	11	84926 min	141.4 /90	50.5 /90	20.2 /90	282.7 /90	101 /90	10.1 /90
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Padova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alessandro Dellavalle n 8	90	1.3 5/3	0.4 3/0	—
A. Sorrentino n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
E. Zuelli n 8	82	1.1 4/2	0.7 5/0	—
P. Fusi n 8	58.1	4.3 7/5	1 5/0	—
M. Lovato n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.6 3/1	—
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Padova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Alessandro Dellavalle n 8	90	3.2 8/7
E. Zuelli n 8	82	1.4 5/3
P. Fusi n 8	58.1	3.5 7/3
M. Lovato n 8	90	1.1 6/2
L. Carissoni n 8	70.4	1.6 5/4
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Padova Attacking

Padova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Moro	9	73658 min	00 /90	00 /90	101.4 /90	10.1 /90	20.3 /90	71 /90
K. Lasagna	7	42292 min	00 /90	00 /90	82.5 /90	10.3 /90	51.5 /90	00 /90
G. Caprari	6	57342 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	71.8 /90	61.6 /90
G. Artistico	5	73364 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	51.2 /90	20.5 /90	41 /90	00 /90
M. Bortolussi	4	39155 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90
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Padova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alessandro Dellavalle n 8	90	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
A. Sorrentino n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Zuelli n 8	82	0.7 3/1	0.1 1/0
P. Fusi n 8	58.1	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
M. Lovato n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Padova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Sorrentino n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alessandro Dellavalle n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Zuelli n 8	82	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
P. Fusi n 8	58.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Lovato n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Empoli

Empoli Goalkeeper

Empoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Seghetti	10	90900 min	373.7 /90	121.2 /90	00 /90

Empoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Seghetti n 8	90	3.6 6/4

Empoli Defensive

Empoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Cauz	9	88795 min	192.2 /90	151.7 /90	20.2 /90	303.4 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
L. Magnino	9	84756 min	192.3 /90	101.2 /90	30.4 /90	333.9 /90	91.1 /90	50.6 /90
M. Curto	8	80640 min	81.1 /90	81.1 /90	50.7 /90	233.2 /90	121.7 /90	20.3 /90
S. Romagnoli	4	56225 min	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	31.2 /90	83.2 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90
Dawid Bembnista	2	68135 min	10.7 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90	117.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Empoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Seghetti n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
E. Saporiti n 8	85.1	0.9 4/2	1.2 3/3	—
B. Popov n 8	61.1	1.1 4/2	1.8 6/3	—
C. Cauz n 8	88.1	0.9 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
N. Corrado n 8	85.9	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0	—
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Empoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Saporiti n 8	85.1	1.1 4/2
B. Popov n 8	61.1	0.6 3/0
C. Cauz n 8	88.1	2.2 8/6
N. Corrado n 8	85.9	1.4 6/3
L. Magnino n 8	83.3	2.4 6/5
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Empoli Attacking

Empoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Popov	10	54540 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	101.7 /90	40.7 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90
J. Ceesay	9	66596 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	101.5 /90	40.6 /90	30.5 /90	60.9 /90
S. Shpendi	9	55499 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	101.8 /90	61.1 /90	40.7 /90	61.1 /90
F. Distefano	6	38228 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.4 /90	31.2 /90
E. Saporiti	10	84844 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	171.8 /90	80.9 /90	171.8 /90	131.4 /90
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Empoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Seghetti n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Saporiti n 8	85.1	1.9 5/4	0.8 4/2
B. Popov n 8	61.1	1.8 6/3	0.7 4/0
C. Cauz n 8	88.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
N. Corrado n 8	85.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
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Empoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Seghetti n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Saporiti n 8	85.1	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
B. Popov n 8	61.1	0.6 3/0	0 0/0
C. Cauz n 8	88.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Corrado n 8	85.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Padova v Empoli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PadovaLLWWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

EmpoliLDLLD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Padova 1 · 0 draws · Empoli 1 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-04-12 Padova 1–0 Empoli
2025-08-23 Empoli 3–1 Padova

League standing · 2026/27

Padova#9 pos14 pts10 pl-1 GD

Empoli#18 pos8 pts10 pl-7 GD

Goals per game

Padova scored1

Empoli scored1

Padova conceded1.1

Empoli conceded1.7

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Padova v Empoli?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Padova v Empoli is Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Padova and Empoli?: In their last 2 meetings, Padova won 1, Empoli won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Padova and Empoli?: Recent form — Padova 2W 1D 2L; Empoli 0W 2D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 18:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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