PadovaPescara

Padova v Pescara result

Full-time · Padova 1–0 Pescara

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Euganeo

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Padova · Pescara

The model’s pre-match pick

Padova 1–0 Pescara — Padova won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Padova beat Pescara 1–0 at Stadio Euganeo in Serie B – Italy on Friday 1 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Pescara created the better chances, 1.22 xG to 0.63 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Padova: C. Pastina (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Pastina’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

G. Collu showed six yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Padova: P. Fusi (45+2’), F. Belli (63’) and Lorenzo Villa (79’); Pescara: A. Cagnano (42’), L. Insigne (90’) and D. Merola (90+7’).

What it changes

Pescara are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Pastina (Padova) 8.8, A. Sorrentino (Padova) 7.2 and P. Fusi (Padova) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Padova or Pescara (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Padova next travel to Arezzo on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Padova: Arezzo v Padova, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Padova 1–0 Pescara · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Euganeo · Padova
  • Referee: G. Collu
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Padova 1 · draws 1 · Pescara 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Padova 2W 0D 3L · Pescara 1W 2D 2L

Padova 1–0 Pescara (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 2
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.25
Corners
against 5.75 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePadova for / againstLinePescara for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
10.75 for · 16.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
2.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.25 for · 14.63 against n 8
21.5standard
18.13 for · 16.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: G. Collu.

Padova

Padova Defensive

Padova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Capelli n 882.1
0.85/1
0.84/2
L. Valzania
P. Fusi n 870
3.57/7
12/2
L. Valzania
M. Bortolussi n 873.1
0.52/1
2.98/7
—
K. Varas n 881.1
1.26/3
2.26/4
L. Valzania
C. Faedo n 861.9
2.26/4
0.74/0
—
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Padova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Capelli n 882.1
15/2
P. Fusi n 870
3.58/5
M. Bortolussi n 873.1
0.53/0
K. Varas n 881.1
2.16/3
C. Faedo n 861.9
3.37/5
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Padova Attacking

Padova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Capelli n 882.1
0.52/1
0.31/1
P. Fusi n 870
0.53/0
0.32/0
M. Bortolussi n 873.1
1.23/3
0.82/1
K. Varas n 881.1
0.75/0
00/0
C. Faedo n 861.9
0.73/1
0.21/0
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Padova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Capelli n 882.1
0.11/0
00/0
P. Fusi n 870
00/0
00/0
M. Bortolussi n 873.1
0.21/0
00/0
K. Varas n 881.1
00/0
00/0
C. Faedo n 861.9
00/0
00/0
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Pescara

Pescara Defensive

Pescara — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pescara before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Antonio Di Nardo n 883
1.45/2
0.52/2
—
L. Valzania n 877.9
1.65/3
1.45/2
K. Varas
R. Capellini n 887
1.86/4
0.54/0
—
G. Letizia n 869.3
14/1
1.14/1
—
S. Desplanches n 883.1
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Pescara — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pescara before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Antonio Di Nardo n 883
0.31/1
L. Valzania n 877.9
2.26/4
R. Capellini n 887
14/2
G. Letizia n 869.3
2.67/4
S. Desplanches n 883.1
00/0
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Pescara Attacking

Pescara — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pescara before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Antonio Di Nardo n 883
2.46/6
1.85/3
L. Valzania n 877.9
0.96/0
0.43/0
R. Capellini n 887
0.65/0
0.32/0
G. Letizia n 869.3
0.53/0
0.32/0
S. Desplanches n 883.1
00/0
00/0
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Pescara — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pescara before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Antonio Di Nardo n 883
0.73/2
0.11/0
L. Valzania n 877.9
0.11/0
00/0
R. Capellini n 887
00/0
00/0
G. Letizia n 869.3
0.21/0
00/0
S. Desplanches n 883.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PadovaPescara
37%Possession63%
0.63Expected goals (xG)1.22
11Shots11
4Shots on target5
3Shots off target5
4Blocked shots1
5Shots inside the box6
3Corners6
5Offsides0
21Fouls14
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
5Saves4
272Passes476
70%Pass accuracy83%

Padova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Sorrentino9000000008.9
F. Belli90000002Y6.7
L. Villa90000002Y6.7
C. Pastina9010210508.9
L. Crisetig9000000107.2
K. Varas9000102106.9
A. Capelli8300211206.9
G. Favale8300000106.6
M. Bortolussi7400001006.7
P. Fusi66001137Y7.3
G. Caprari6500111207.2
A. Seghetti sub2500000006.5
L. Di Maggio sub2400000006.3
F. Di Mariano sub1600000006.9
P. Ghiglione sub1400000106.9
Jonathan Silva sub1400000106.3

Pescara Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Saio9000000007.2
G. Letizia9000100107.2
R. Capellini9000000006.6
D. Bettella9000000106.9
A. Cagnano90001100Y5.9
G. Brugman9000101106.7
L. Insigne90001120Y6.3
L. Valzania8800200106.3
Lamine Dabo5500000006.5
L. Meazzi5500000206.7
Antonio Di Nardo2100000006.3
Flavio Russo sub6900112006.2
F. Caligara sub3500003006.9
G. Olzer sub3500322006.6
D. Merola sub9000000Y6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Padova v Pescara — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PadovaLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
PescaraLWLDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Padova 1 · 1 draw · Pescara 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-11-29 Pescara 0–1 Padova
  • 2019-02-23 Pescara 2–0 Padova
  • 2018-10-02 Padova 2–2 Pescara
League standing · 2025/26
Padova#10 pos46 pts38 pl-10 GD
Pescara#20 pos35 pts38 pl-15 GD
Goals per game
Padova scored1.03
Pescara scored1.34
Padova conceded1.29
Pescara conceded1.74

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Padova v Pescara?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Padova v Pescara was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Padova and Pescara?
In their last 3 meetings, Padova won 1, Pescara won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Padova and Pescara?
Recent form — Padova 2W 0D 3L; Pescara 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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