SpeziaSudtirol

Spezia v Sudtirol result

Full-time · Spezia 6–1 Sudtirol

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Alberto Picco

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Spezia · Sudtirol · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Spezia 6–1 Sudtirol — Spezia won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 5 of 7 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Spezia beat Sudtirol 6–1 at Stadio Alberto Picco in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 18 April. Sudtirol are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Spezia led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Spezia: M. Valoti (8’ pen), G. Di Serio (25’), P. Beruatto (33’, assisted by M. Valoti), G. Lapadula (70’, assisted by P. Beruatto), L. Sernicola (73’) and Giuseppe Aurelio (82’, assisted by M. Valoti); Sudtirol: E. Pecorino (20’, assisted by M. Frigerio). K. Zedadka (23’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s eight key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with G. Di Serio’s goal on 25 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Spezia 3.49, Sudtirol 0.36, from 19 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Abisso showed one yellow card and one red — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sudtirol: S. Merkaj (30’).

What it changes

Spezia have scored 42 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games). Spezia have conceded 58 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sudtirol have scored 37 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games). Sudtirol have conceded 47 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Spezia’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 35, across 10 matches. Sudtirol have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Valoti (Spezia) 17.5, P. Beruatto (Spezia) 9.2 and L. Sernicola (Spezia) 7.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Sudtirol next host Cremonese on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sudtirol: Sudtirol v Cremonese, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Spezia 6–1 Sudtirol · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco · La Spezia
  • Referee: R. Abisso
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Spezia 2 · draws 2 · Sudtirol 1 · 3.4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Spezia 0W 1D 4L · Sudtirol 0W 3D 2L

Spezia 6–1 Sudtirol (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.63
Corners
against 2.25 / 4.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 3 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.4 yellows
Referee · R. Abisso
34.4 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSpezia for / againstLineSudtirol for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
14 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.25 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
21.5standard
16.25 for · 14.75 against n 8
Cards shown
3.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: R. Abisso — 4.4 yellow cards a game, 0.6 red cards, 34.4 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Spezia

Spezia Defensive

Spezia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spezia before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Aurelio n 877.4
0.63/1
0.11/0
—
G. Artistico n 888
1.47/2
2.27/6
—
A. Matějů n 871
2.56/4
1.44/2
—
P. Beruatto n 871.8
0.83/1
0.53/0
S. Molina
G. Di Serio n 857.5
2.56/4
2.35/5
S. Merkaj
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Spezia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spezia before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Aurelio n 877.4
0.32/0
G. Artistico n 888
0.42/1
A. Matějů n 871
1.65/4
P. Beruatto n 871.8
1.35/3
G. Di Serio n 857.5
0.21/0
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Spezia Attacking

Spezia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spezia before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Aurelio n 877.4
16/1
0.43/0
G. Artistico n 888
2.77/4
1.45/3
A. Matějů n 871
0.83/1
0.32/0
P. Beruatto n 871.8
0.83/2
0.21/0
G. Di Serio n 857.5
1.65/3
13/2
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Spezia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spezia before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Aurelio n 877.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
G. Artistico n 888
0.53/1
0.11/0
A. Matějů n 871
00/0
00/0
P. Beruatto n 871.8
00/0
00/0
G. Di Serio n 857.5
0.21/0
00/0
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Sudtirol

Sudtirol Defensive

Sudtirol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Tronchin n 875.1
2.14/4
1.26/1
—
M. Adamonis n 882.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
S. Merkaj n 889.5
38/7
1.87/3
G. Di Serio
F. Tait n 857.5
1.25/1
1.44/2
—
S. Molina n 887.5
0.54/0
1.35/3
P. Beruatto
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Sudtirol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Tronchin n 875.1
3.67/6
M. Adamonis n 882.3
00/0
S. Merkaj n 889.5
0.32/0
F. Tait n 857.5
1.85/2
S. Molina n 887.5
0.94/1
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Sudtirol Attacking

Sudtirol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Tronchin n 875.1
0.74/1
00/0
M. Adamonis n 882.3
00/0
00/0
S. Merkaj n 889.5
1.87/5
1.15/4
F. Tait n 857.5
0.42/0
0.42/0
S. Molina n 887.5
0.54/0
00/0
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Sudtirol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Tronchin n 875.1
00/0
00/0
M. Adamonis n 882.3
00/0
00/0
S. Merkaj n 889.5
0.32/0
00/0
F. Tait n 857.5
0.21/0
00/0
S. Molina n 887.5
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SpeziaSudtirol
66%Possession34%
3.49Expected goals (xG)0.36
19Shots5
9Shots on target1
6Shots off target3
4Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box3
3Corners3
4Offsides1
16Fouls13
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
0Saves3
477Passes227
83%Pass accuracy63%

Spezia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Mascardi9000000006.5
A. Matějů9000000206.3
P. Hristov9000000107.2
G. Aurelio9010110207.3
P. Beruatto9011213209.2
G. Lapadula9010432006.9
M. Valoti8312313309.9
A. Romano7500101307.2
L. Sernicola7410112308
G. Di Serio4510210007.2
F. Bandinelli2600000006.5
C. Comotto sub6400112006.7
Á. Nagy sub4500000106.7
L. Vignali sub1600000206.9
A. Bellemo sub1500000006.7
Emanuele Lorenzelli sub900000006.7

Sudtirol Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Adamonis9000000005.9
F. Davi9000001205.2
N. Pietrangeli9000100004.9
F. Veseli9000100205.3
S. Molina9000000205.9
M. Frigerio7701001406.6
S. Merkaj61000000Y5.6
J. Martini4500001206.9
E. Pecorino4510110007.6
D. Črnigoj2800000006.2
K. Zedadka23000001R3.7
S. Davì sub6200000005.5
F. Tait sub4500000006.7
D. Casiraghi sub4500001006.5
R. Odogwu sub2900100006.7
Filipe Bordon sub1300000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Spezia v Sudtirol — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SpeziaLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
SudtirolDLLDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Spezia 2 · 2 draws · Sudtirol 1 · 3.4 goals/game
  • 2026-01-10 Sudtirol 2–1 Spezia
  • 2025-02-28 Sudtirol 1–1 Spezia
  • 2024-11-24 Spezia 3–0 Sudtirol
  • 2024-03-09 Spezia 2–1 Sudtirol
  • 2023-08-20 Sudtirol 3–3 Spezia
League standing · 2025/26
Spezia#19 pos35 pts38 pl-16 GD
Sudtirol#16 pos41 pts38 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Spezia scored1.13
Sudtirol scored1
Spezia conceded1.55
Sudtirol conceded1.26

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Spezia v Sudtirol?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Spezia v Sudtirol was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Spezia and Sudtirol?
In their last 5 meetings, Spezia won 2, Sudtirol won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Spezia and Sudtirol?
Recent form — Spezia 0W 1D 4L; Sudtirol 0W 3D 2L.

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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