Modena v Avellino result
The model’s pre-match pick
Modena 1–1 Avellino — this Serie B match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.
The result
Modena and Avellino drew 1–1 at Stadio Alberto Braglia in Serie B on Sunday 31 August.
Avellino are winless in their last four matches.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Avellino: D. Sounas (54’); Modena: G. Defrel (63’). A. Cagnano (74’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with G. Defrel’s goal on 63 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Modena 0.00, Avellino 0.00, from 22 shots to 3 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Luca Massimi, Italy showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 6.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Modena: G. Defrel (42’) and L. Magnino (90+3’); Avellino: A. Cagnano (41’), C. Patierno (70’), A. Cagnano (74’), D. Sounas (90’) and C. Manzi (90+6’).
What it changes
Modena stay third after this result (two league matches played).
Avellino move up from 19th to 15th (shared) (two league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Sounas (Avellino) 8.9, D. Tonoli (Modena) 3.6 and M. Palumbo (Avellino) 3.4 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Modena or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1122 of 1490).
Next up
Modena next host Cesena on 24 October 2026.
Avellino next travel to Cesena on 18 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Modena: Modena v Cesena, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Avellino: Cesena v Avellino, Sunday 18 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Modena 1–1 Avellino · Serie B
- Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia · Modena
- Referee: Luca Massimi, Italy
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Modena 1W 1D 3L · Avellino 1W 1D 3L
Modena 1–1 Avellino (Serie B): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Modena | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| 66% | Possession | 34% |
| 22 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 13 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 14 | Shots inside the box | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 401 | Passes | 217 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 68% |
Modena player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Chichizola | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Tonoli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Adorni | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Bryant Nieling | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| S. Santoro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| E. Gliozzi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Pyyhtiä | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Zampano | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| F. Gerli | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| G. Defrel | 71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| Gady Beyuku | 59 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Zanimacchia sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Sersanti sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Pedro Mendes sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Magnino sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| F. Di Mariano sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Avellino player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Iannarilli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| T. Cancellotti | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Manzi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| L. Šimić | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| D. Sounas | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | Y | 8.9 |
| M. Palumbo | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| F. Lescano | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| A. Cagnano | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | RY | 6.2 |
| M. Besaggio | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Insigne | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Kumi sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| R. Russo sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Fontanarosa sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Milani sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| V. Crespi sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Modena v Avellino — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Modena vs Avellino?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Modena v Avellino was Home or Draw.
- What is the recent form of Modena and Avellino?
- Recent form — Modena 1W 1D 3L; Avellino 1W 1D 3L.
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