Asteras Tripolis v Kalamata prediction

Super League 1 · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Asteras Tripolis v Kalamata, Super League 1 on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 2.10 at Betfair

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Asteras Tripolis host Kalamata in the Super League 1 (Greece) on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Kalamata have conceded 18 goals, the most of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game).

Form and the table

Eight of Asteras Tripolis’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Asteras Tripolis’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Asteras Tripolis have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.88. Asteras Tripolis have scored eight goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Asteras Tripolis have conceded 17 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 14 clubs.

Five of Kalamata’s last 9 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (56%). Both teams scored in six of Kalamata’s last 9 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Kalamata have one win, one draw and two defeats in their last 4 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.25. Kalamata have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game).

Asteras Tripolis are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Asteras Tripolis (12th) and Kalamata (eighth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Kalamata the stronger side, 159 rating points above Asteras Tripolis (Kalamata 1629, Asteras Tripolis 1470, after at least nine rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Asteras Tripolis XI (3-4-3): N. Papadopoulos, F. Brorsson, D. Laskaris, J. Silva, E. González, D. Kourbelis, G. Kotsiras, A. Mendez, F. Macheda, J. Bartolo, K. Ketu — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Bartolo (4.0 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and J. Silva (3.7 per match over five appearances) have been Asteras Tripolis’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Asteras Tripolis (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Bartolo averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 576 minutes, with a shot in five of the last seven appearances. J. Silva averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last five appearances.

Predicted Kalamata XI (4-2-3-1): N. Vasiljević, P. Kaloutsikidis, S. Stroungis, Rodrigues, J. Alonso, G. Piñeiro, A. Mendes Moreira, E. Hamza, A. Sigurdsson, D. Diarra, D. Kurminowski — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, K. Vargas (5.8 per match over four appearances, three goals) and Rodrigues (4.2 per match over nine appearances) have been Kalamata’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kalamata (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), K. Vargas averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 496 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Rodrigues averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 1098 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Super League 1 · Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
Referee: Anastasios Papapetrou
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Asteras Tripolis 1W 2D 2L · Kalamata 2W 1D 2L

Asteras Tripolis v Kalamata (Super League 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 2.75

Corners

against 5.88 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 4.63

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 3

Cards

against 2.25 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Asteras Tripolis for / against	Line	Kalamata for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	2.75 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.88 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.88 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.63 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.75 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.13 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Asteras Tripolis

Asteras Tripolis Goalkeeper

Asteras Tripolis — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Papadopoulos	7	90630 min	182.6 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90
V. Chatziemmanouil	2	90180 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Asteras Tripolis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Asteras Tripolis before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Papadopoulos n 8	90	2.5 5/3
V. Chatziemmanouil n 4	90	3.8 3/2

Asteras Tripolis Defensive

Asteras Tripolis — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Brorsson	8	85677 min	81.1 /90	50.7 /90	20.3 /90	212.8 /90	111.5 /90	20.3 /90
D. Laskaris	6	84505 min	81.4 /90	81.4 /90	30.5 /90	295.2 /90	101.8 /90	20.4 /90
J. Silva	5	90450 min	112.2 /90	122.4 /90	30.6 /90	326.4 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90
K. Chrisopoulos	4	90360 min	71.8 /90	61.5 /90	10.3 /90	215.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
A. Mendez	9	90806 min	91 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90	323.6 /90	151.7 /90	10.1 /90
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Asteras Tripolis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Asteras Tripolis before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Mendez n 8	89.5	1.6 7/3	1.1 6/3	—
G. Kotsiras n 8	89	1.3 6/3	0.4 2/1	—
Eder González n 8	82.8	0.4 3/0	1.8 7/4	—
D. Kourbelis n 8	73	2.2 6/5	2.3 7/6	—
F. Macheda n 8	68.9	1.1 4/3	0.7 3/1	—
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Asteras Tripolis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Asteras Tripolis before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Mendez n 8	89.5	1.1 6/3
G. Kotsiras n 8	89	3.2 8/7
Eder González n 8	82.8	2.7 7/5
D. Kourbelis n 8	73	2.5 7/5
F. Macheda n 8	68.9	0.5 3/0
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Asteras Tripolis Attacking

Asteras Tripolis — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Macheda	9	63568 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	121.9 /90	40.6 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90
J. Bartolo	7	82576 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	142.2 /90	91.4 /90	152.3 /90	132 /90
Kalvin Ketu	7	67470 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	91.7 /90	61.1 /90	61.1 /90	30.6 /90
Ricardinho	6	51306 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	41.2 /90	20.6 /90	30.9 /90	00 /90
B. Mbunga Kimpioka	4	41163 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90	52.8 /90	42.2 /90
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Asteras Tripolis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Asteras Tripolis before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Mendez n 8	89.5	0.9 6/1	0.1 1/0
G. Kotsiras n 8	89	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
Eder González n 8	82.8	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
D. Kourbelis n 8	73	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
F. Macheda n 8	68.9	1.6 6/2	0.5 3/0
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Asteras Tripolis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Asteras Tripolis before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Mendez n 8	89.5	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
G. Kotsiras n 8	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
Eder González n 8	82.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
D. Kourbelis n 8	73	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Macheda n 8	68.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Kalamata

Kalamata Goalkeeper

Kalamata — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Giannis Gelios	5	90450 min	132.6 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
Nikola Vasiljević	4	90360 min	123 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90

Kalamata — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kalamata before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Giannis Gelios n 5	90	2.6 4/3
Nikola Vasiljević n 4	90	3 3/3

Kalamata Defensive

Kalamata — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Stefanos Stroungis	9	89802 min	171.9 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	475.3 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90
Petros Kaloutsikidis	9	88788 min	171.9 /90	131.5 /90	20.2 /90	394.5 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
Rodrigues	9	87785 min	293.3 /90	161.8 /90	30.3 /90	606.9 /90	101.1 /90	20.2 /90
Julio Alonso	8	81647 min	172.4 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90	334.6 /90	91.3 /90	40.6 /90
I. Chatzitheodoridis	4	47189 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	115.2 /90	31.4 /90	10.5 /90
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Kalamata — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kalamata before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Stefanos Stroungis n 8	89	0.8 5/1	0.8 4/2	—
Petros Kaloutsikidis n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.6 5/0	—
Rodrigues n 8	87.9	1.2 7/2	0.6 3/2	—
A. Mendes Moreira n 8	85.9	1.2 5/2	2 6/4	—
Julio Alonso n 8	80.9	1.3 7/2	1.7 7/4	—
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Kalamata — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kalamata before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Stefanos Stroungis n 8	89	2.1 7/4
Petros Kaloutsikidis n 8	90	2 7/5
Rodrigues n 8	87.9	3.3 8/8
A. Mendes Moreira n 8	85.9	0.8 5/1
Julio Alonso n 8	80.9	2.4 7/5
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Kalamata Attacking

Kalamata — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Jovanny Bolívar	7	62435 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	112.3 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90	20.4 /90
D. Kurminowski	4	68272 min	51.7 /90	00 /90	82.6 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Lucas Pasquoto	2	51101 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90
Josete Miranda	1	1515 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	16 /90
A. Mendes Moreira	9	86777 min	00 /90	30.3 /90	172 /90	40.5 /90	151.7 /90	101.2 /90
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Kalamata — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kalamata before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Stefanos Stroungis n 8	89	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
Petros Kaloutsikidis n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 1/1
Rodrigues n 8	87.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Mendes Moreira n 8	85.9	2.1 8/5	0.5 4/0
Julio Alonso n 8	80.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Kalamata — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kalamata before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Stefanos Stroungis n 8	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
Petros Kaloutsikidis n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
Rodrigues n 8	87.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Mendes Moreira n 8	85.9	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
Julio Alonso n 8	80.9	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Asteras Tripolis v Kalamata — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Asteras TripolisDWLDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game

KalamataLWWLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Asteras Tripolis#12 pos6 pts9 pl-9 GD

Kalamata#8 pos11 pts9 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Asteras Tripolis scored0.89

Kalamata scored1.56

Asteras Tripolis conceded1.89

Kalamata conceded2

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Asteras Tripolis v Kalamata?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Asteras Tripolis v Kalamata is Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.10 at Betfair).
What is the recent form of Asteras Tripolis and Kalamata?: Recent form — Asteras Tripolis 1W 2D 2L; Kalamata 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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