Henan Jianye v Shandong Luneng result

Full-time · Henan Jianye 0–1 Shandong Luneng

Super League – China · · Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Henan Jianye 0–1 Shandong Luneng — Shandong Luneng won this Super League – China match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 637 times (65.8%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Shandong Luneng won 1–0 at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium in the Super League – China on Saturday 11 April.

The goals

Shandong Luneng led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Shandong Luneng: Valeri Qazaishvili (42’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Valeri Qazaishvili’s goal on 42 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Henan Jianye 0.61, Shandong Luneng 0.71, from 8 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Zhang Lei showed one yellow card — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Shandong Luneng: Wenneng Xie (60’).

What it changes

Henan Jianye are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lucas Maia (Henan Jianye) 5.4, Zeca (Shandong Luneng) 5.3 and Valeri Qazaishvili (Shandong Luneng) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.9% of the time in the last 90 days (418 of 634).

Next up

Henan Jianye next host Beijing Guoan on 24 October 2026.

Shandong Luneng next travel to Wuhan Three Towns on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Henan Jianye: Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Shandong Luneng: Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Henan Jianye 0–1 Shandong Luneng · Super League – China
  • Venue: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium · Zhengzhou
  • Referee: Zhang Lei
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Henan Jianye 1 · draws 3 · Shandong Luneng 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Henan Jianye 2W 1D 2L · Shandong Luneng 3W 0D 2L

Henan Jianye 0–1 Shandong Luneng (Super League – China): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.57 / 7.63
Corners
against 6.43 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.29 / 6.88
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.86 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4 yellows
Referee · Zhang Lei
1.57 home / 2.43 away
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 April 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHenan Jianye for / againstLineShandong Luneng for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.57 for · 6.43 against n 7
9.5standard
7.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
12.86 for · 13.43 against n 7
19.5standard
16.75 for · 11.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.29 for · 4 against n 7
8.5standard
6.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.86 for · 13.71 against n 7
21.5standard
16.75 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.43 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Zhang Lei — 4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 28.71 fouls over 7 matches (1.57 to the home side, 2.43 to the away side).

Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Yang Yilin n 818.4
3.13/1
1.83/0
—
Lu Yongtao n 861
2.86/5
1.14/2
—
Abraham Halik n 827.3
2.14/1
00/0
—
Chao He n 840.4
26/1
1.13/1
Guilherme Madruga
Abdurasul Abudulam n 833.8
23/3
2.35/1
—
Henan Jianye — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gustavo n 885.5
2.98/8
1.26/2
Liu Xinyu n 828.4
23/1
0.82/0
Yang Yilin n 818.4
1.83/0
1.83/0
Jordi Mboula n 865.6
1.75/1
0.93/1
Felippe Cardoso n 886
1.45/3
0.74/1
Henan Jianye — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Felippe Cardoso n 886
0.43/0
0.54/0
Frank Acheampong n 878.8
0.64/0
0.11/0
Gustavo n 885.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Yihao Zhong n 879
0.32/0
0.11/0
Liu Xinyu n 828.4
0.41/0
00/0
Henan Jianye — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Abraham Halik n 827.3
5.86/4
Huang Ruifeng n 884.6
3.68/7
Yang Yilin n 818.4
3.13/2
Yihao Zhong n 879
37/6
Xu Haofeng n 871.6
2.77/4
Henan Jianye — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gouming Wang n 890
2.64/3
Chenglong Shi n 339.7
0.80/0
Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Guilherme Madruga n 888.3
2.88/6
1.56/3
Chao He
Pedro Delgado n 849.3
2.77/3
1.86/2
—
Cryzan n 891
2.67/5
2.88/7
—
Zeca n 887.1
2.58/6
1.35/4
—
Pedro Álvaro n 888.8
2.27/6
1.17/1
—
Shandong Luneng — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Cryzan n 891
2.78/7
1.57/5
Valeri Qazaishvili n 890.9
2.47/6
1.56/5
R. Merkies n 838
2.46/2
1.24/0
Zeca n 887.1
1.75/5
0.95/2
Pedro Delgado n 849.3
1.64/1
0.21/0
Shandong Luneng — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Cryzan n 891
0.54/0
0.64/1
Valeri Qazaishvili n 890.9
0.74/2
0.11/0
Zeca n 887.1
0.43/0
0.31/1
R. Merkies n 838
0.62/0
00/0
Liuyu Duan n 870.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
Shandong Luneng — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Yang Liu n 885.4
3.26/6
Zheng Zheng n 837.5
36/2
Zeshi Chen n 616
2.83/0
Cryzan n 891
2.68/7
Guilherme Madruga n 888.3
2.37/5
Shandong Luneng — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dalei Wang n 891
3.36/5

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Henan JianyeShandong Luneng
59%Possession41%
0.61Expected goals (xG)0.71
8Shots8
2Shots on target2
3Shots off target4
3Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box4
4Corners3
3Offsides2
11Fouls19
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves2
464Passes320
82%Pass accuracy78%

Henan Jianye player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gouming Wang9000000006.5
Yeljan Shinar9000002106.9
Iago Maidana9000000207.2
Lucas Maia9000001307.7
Chao He9000000106.9
Shangyuan Wang9000100107.2
Yihao Zhong8700111107.5
Xu Haofeng7500001406.6
Jordi Mboula7500000106.9
Nebijan Muhmet4500100006.2
Bruno Nazário3800001107.3
Abdurasul Abudulam sub5200110006.6
Gustavo sub4500100106.9
Yixin Liu sub1500000006.7
Yang Yilin sub1500000006.3
Osman Ekber sub1000000006.9

Shandong Luneng player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Dalei Wang9000000007.2
Peng Xiao9000000307.5
Pedro Álvaro9000000107.3
Zhunyi Gao9000000007
Guilherme Madruga9000201306.3
Chen Pu9000100307
Zeca9000003206.9
Wenneng Xie89001011Y6.5
Zhengyu Huang8900110106.3
Valeri Qazaishvili7810110107.9
Zeshi Chen7100001206.6
Liuyu Duan sub1900000106.5
R. Merkies sub1200000006.5
Songchen Shi sub10000000–
Yuanyi Li sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Henan Jianye v Shandong Luneng — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Henan JianyeLWWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Shandong LunengWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Henan Jianye 1 · 3 draws · Shandong Luneng 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-06-30 Henan Jianye 2–2 Shandong Luneng
  • 2025-02-23 Shandong Luneng 0–0 Henan Jianye
  • 2024-08-21 Shandong Luneng 3–1 Henan Jianye
  • 2024-07-28 Henan Jianye 1–0 Shandong Luneng
  • 2024-04-09 Shandong Luneng 2–2 Henan Jianye
  • 2023-11-04 Shandong Luneng 5–1 Henan Jianye
League standing · 2026
Henan Jianye#14 pos28 pts28 pl-3 GD
Shandong Luneng#4 pos41 pts28 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Henan Jianye scored1.25
Shandong Luneng scored1.86
Henan Jianye conceded1.36
Shandong Luneng conceded1.57

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Henan Jianye v Shandong Luneng?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Henan Jianye v Shandong Luneng was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Henan Jianye and Shandong Luneng?
In their last 6 meetings, Henan Jianye won 1, Shandong Luneng won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Henan Jianye and Shandong Luneng?
Recent form — Henan Jianye 2W 1D 2L; Shandong Luneng 3W 0D 2L.

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