FC Lugano v FC Basel 1893 prediction

Super League · · AIL Arena

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for FC Lugano v FC Basel 1893, Super League on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:30 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 246 landed (95% range 72.5–82.8%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC Lugano host FC Basel 1893 in the Super League (Switzerland) on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 15:30 UK); the model’s free pick is FC Lugano to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

FC Lugano have conceded nine goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

FC Lugano are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. FC Basel 1893 are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. FC Lugano have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

12 of FC Lugano’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 10 of FC Lugano’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, FC Lugano have seven wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.75 points per game, scoring 2.88 and conceding 0.75. FC Lugano have scored 34 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

12 of FC Basel 1893’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in nine of FC Basel 1893’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, FC Basel 1893 have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.29. FC Basel 1893 have scored 17 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC Basel 1893 have conceded 20 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

FC Lugano (first) and FC Basel 1893 (seventh) are 17 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Lugano the stronger side, 485 rating points above FC Basel 1893 (FC Lugano 1921, FC Basel 1893 1435, after at least 341 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

FC Lugano are unbeaten in the last five meetings with FC Basel 1893. The most recent meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished FC Basel 1893 1–3 FC Lugano.

Team news

Predicted FC Lugano XI (3-5-2): D. von Ballmoos, L. Mai, H. Delcroix, A. Papadopoulos, A. Grgic, Y. Cimignani, B. Karimov, D. Dos Santos, U. Bislimi, D. Moncada, A. Ajeti — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kevin Behrens (4.8 per match over 12 appearances, nine goals and two assists) and Anto Grgic (4.0 per match over 19 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been FC Lugano’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Lugano (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kevin Behrens averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 719 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Anto Grgic averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1594 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted FC Basel 1893 XI (4-2-3-1): M. Salvi, F. Daniliuc, A. Victory, M. Cissé, K. Tsunemoto, Metinho, X. Shaqiri, K. Olaigbe, B. Omeragić, J. Harder, Ž. Celar — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Sow (8.1 per match over four appearances, three goals and two assists) and A. Sow (6.1 per match over four appearances, one goal and two assists) have been FC Basel 1893’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Basel 1893 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Sow averages 4.0 shots per 90 over 312 minutes. A. Sow averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 345 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Super League · AIL Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Lugano 4 · draws 1 · FC Basel 1893 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Lugano 5W 0D 0L · FC Basel 1893 1W 1D 3L

FC Lugano v FC Basel 1893 (Super League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 2.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4
Corners
against 5.63 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 5.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFC Lugano for / againstLineFC Basel 1893 for / against
Goals scored
3.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
17.38 for · 15.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.25 for · 18.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.75 for · 15.13 against n 8
Cards shown
3.38 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.63 against n 8

FC Lugano

FC Lugano Goalkeeper

FC Lugano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. von Ballmoos18881583 min543.1 /90160.9 /9000 /90
F. Gebhardt268135 min42.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
FC Lugano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Lugano before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. von Ballmoos n 884.4
3.97/6

FC Lugano Defensive

FC Lugano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Papadopoulos18861548 min271.6 /90281.6 /9070.4 /90764.4 /90251.5 /9030.2 /90
L. Mai17841426 min241.5 /90281.8 /90100.6 /90664.2 /90181.1 /9030.2 /90
M. Zanotti16651040 min262.3 /9080.7 /9020.2 /90635.5 /90282.4 /9050.4 /90
H. Delcroix12891063 min171.4 /90141.2 /9060.5 /90494.1 /9080.7 /9000 /90
Joel Bichsel683495 min91.6 /9071.3 /9030.5 /90356.4 /9071.3 /9000 /90
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FC Lugano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Lugano before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Grgic n 888.9
0.64/1
0.63/2
—
Y. Cimignani n 878
0.73/1
0.43/0
—
Daniel Dos Santos n 876.1
16/1
2.18/4
—
D. von Ballmoos n 884.4
00/0
00/0
—
A. Papadopoulos n 890
0.94/2
0.85/1
—
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FC Lugano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Lugano before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Grgic n 888.9
1.15/2
Y. Cimignani n 878
1.46/3
Daniel Dos Santos n 876.1
1.56/3
A. Papadopoulos n 890
1.86/5
U. Bislimi n 885.9
2.18/6
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FC Lugano Attacking

FC Lugano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Moncada1745772 min70.8 /9020.2 /90293.4 /90111.3 /9091 /9091 /90
R. Steffen15691037 min20.2 /9040.3 /90232 /9070.6 /90373.2 /9080.7 /90
E. Pihlstrom1351663 min40.5 /9000 /90192.6 /90101.4 /9040.5 /90131.8 /90
K. Behrens1260719 min91.1 /9020.3 /90273.4 /90141.8 /90111.4 /9050.6 /90
A. Ajeti938344 min61.6 /9000 /90133.4 /90102.6 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
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FC Lugano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Lugano before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Grgic n 888.9
1.36/3
0.54/0
Y. Cimignani n 878
1.45/3
0.42/1
Daniel Dos Santos n 876.1
1.96/3
0.94/1
D. von Ballmoos n 884.4
00/0
00/0
A. Papadopoulos n 890
1.34/3
0.32/0
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FC Lugano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Lugano before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Grgic n 888.9
0.11/0
00/0
Y. Cimignani n 878
0.32/0
0.11/0
Daniel Dos Santos n 876.1
0.42/1
0.32/0
D. von Ballmoos n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
A. Papadopoulos n 890
00/0
0.43/0
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FC Basel 1893

FC Basel 1893 Goalkeeper

FC Basel 1893 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Salvi886685 min233 /90131.7 /9000 /90
J. Omlin479315 min92.6 /9010.3 /9000 /90
FC Basel 1893 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Basel 1893 before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Salvi n 885.6
35/4
J. Omlin n 884.4
2.34/3

FC Basel 1893 Defensive

FC Basel 1893 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Daniliuc11911000 min90.8 /90141.3 /9060.5 /90373.3 /90100.9 /9010.1 /90
A. Victory1091910 min121.2 /90222.2 /90151.5 /90636.2 /90111.1 /9030.3 /90
K. Tsunemoto1083830 min232.5 /90171.8 /9060.7 /90444.8 /9050.5 /9000 /90
M. Cissé867535 min81.3 /90101.7 /9020.3 /90213.5 /9081.3 /9030.5 /90
C. Michelin468270 min41.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90227.3 /9031 /9010.3 /90
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FC Basel 1893 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Basel 1893 before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Daniliuc n 889.8
1.15/1
0.43/0
—
Žan Celar n 886.3
15/2
0.84/2
—
K. Olaigbe n 873.9
27/4
1.47/2
—
X. Shaqiri n 867.5
14/2
1.86/4
—
A. Victory n 890.5
1.26/4
1.26/3
—
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FC Basel 1893 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Basel 1893 before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Daniliuc n 889.8
17/1
Žan Celar n 886.3
0.43/0
K. Olaigbe n 873.9
0.83/1
X. Shaqiri n 867.5
0.53/0
A. Victory n 890.5
1.56/3
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FC Basel 1893 Attacking

FC Basel 1893 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Žan Celar1186951 min60.6 /9010.1 /90191.8 /90111 /90100.9 /9040.4 /90
P. Otele1049486 min10.2 /9000 /90142.6 /9020.4 /9050.9 /90122.2 /90
A. Sow486345 min10.3 /9020.5 /9051.3 /9020.5 /9061.6 /9071.8 /90
A. Sow478312 min30.9 /9020.6 /90144 /9072 /9051.4 /9072 /90
G. Koloto428113 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /9010.8 /9021.6 /90
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FC Basel 1893 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Basel 1893 before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Daniliuc n 889.8
0.95/2
0.11/0
Žan Celar n 886.3
1.87/5
0.95/2
K. Olaigbe n 873.9
1.25/3
0.53/0
X. Shaqiri n 867.5
1.87/3
0.52/1
A. Victory n 890.5
0.74/1
0.11/0
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FC Basel 1893 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Basel 1893 before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Daniliuc n 889.8
00/0
0.11/0
Žan Celar n 886.3
0.54/0
0.11/0
K. Olaigbe n 873.9
0.32/0
0.51/1
X. Shaqiri n 867.5
0.31/1
0.21/0
A. Victory n 890.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Lugano v FC Basel 1893 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC LuganoWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FC Basel 1893LWLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Lugano 4 · 1 draw · FC Basel 1893 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-09-06 FC Basel 1893 1–3 FC Lugano
  • 2026-05-17 FC Lugano 4–0 FC Basel 1893
  • 2026-02-15 FC Basel 1893 1–1 FC Lugano
  • 2025-11-09 FC Basel 1893 0–1 FC Lugano
  • 2025-08-10 FC Lugano 3–1 FC Basel 1893
  • 2025-05-10 FC Lugano 2–5 FC Basel 1893
League standing · 2026/27
FC Lugano#1 pos31 pts11 pl+25 GD
FC Basel 1893#7 pos14 pts11 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
FC Lugano scored3.09
FC Basel 1893 scored1.55
FC Lugano conceded0.82
FC Basel 1893 conceded1.82

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win FC Lugano v FC Basel 1893?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Lugano v FC Basel 1893 is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Lugano and FC Basel 1893?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Lugano won 4, FC Basel 1893 won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Lugano and FC Basel 1893?
Recent form — FC Lugano 5W 0D 0L; FC Basel 1893 1W 1D 3L.

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