FC Lugano v FC Thun result

Full-time · FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun

Super League · Sat, 04 Apr 2026 17:00 BST · Stadio di Cornaredo

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Lugano · FC Thun · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun — FC Lugano won this Super League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

FC Lugano beat FC Thun 1–0 at Stadio di Cornaredo in the Super League (Switzerland) on Saturday 4 April. FC Lugano have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — FC Lugano: Daniel Dos Santos (59’, assisted by Renato Steffen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daniel Dos Santos’s goal on 59 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: FC Lugano 1.66, FC Thun 1.39, from 15 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. von Mandach showed five yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Lugano: Antonios Papadopoulos (42’) and Yanis Cimignani (56’); FC Thun: Genís Montolio (5’), Michael Heule (64’) and Niklas Steffen (90+3’).

What it changes

FC Lugano are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daniel Dos Santos (FC Lugano) 8.4, A. Saipi (FC Lugano) 5.6 and Renato Steffen (FC Lugano) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or FC Thun, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

FC Lugano next travel to Getafe on 22 October 2026.

FC Thun next host HNK Hajduk Split on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Lugano: Getafe v FC Lugano, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for FC Thun: FC Thun v HNK Hajduk Split, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun · Super League
Venue: Stadio di Cornaredo · Lugano
Referee: J. von Mandach
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): FC Lugano 2 · draws 2 · FC Thun 2 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: FC Lugano 1W 2D 2L · FC Thun 3W 1D 1L

FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun (Super League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 2.63

Goals

against 1.25 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.14 / 7.67

Corners

against 4.86 / 4 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3.43 / 6.5

Shots on target

against 3.86 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.71 / 2.33

Cards

against 2 / 2.67 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

3.62 yellows

Referee · J. von Mandach

1.85 home / 1.77 away

over 13 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	FC Lugano for / against	Line	FC Thun for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.14 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	7.67 for · 4 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	10 for · 12.29 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	16.5 for · 15 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	3.43 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	6.5 for · 3.5 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 12.43 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	15.83 for · 13 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.71 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.33 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: J. von Mandach — 3.62 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 20.69 fouls over 13 matches (1.85 to the home side, 1.77 to the away side).

Home 1.85Away 1.77

FC Lugano

FC Lugano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Pihlstrom n 8	25.3	2.7 6/0	2.7 4/2	—
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud n 8	41.4	2.2 3/2	0.8 2/1	—
M. Zanotti n 8	87.6	1.7 7/3	2.2 7/5	—
Joao Carbone n 5	32.4	1.7 2/1	0.6 1/0	—
U. Bislimi n 8	84.3	1.5 6/3	0.4 3/0	—

FC Lugano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Behrens n 8	66.6	2.4 7/5	1.2 6/1
E. Pihlstrom n 8	25.3	2.2 4/1	0 0/0
H. Mahou n 8	36	1.6 4/1	0.3 1/0
U. Bislimi n 8	84.3	1.1 5/2	0.4 3/0
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud n 8	41.4	1.1 4/0	0.5 2/0

FC Lugano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Behrens n 8	66.6	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
A. Kendouci n 8	36.8	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
R. Steffen n 8	77.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Daniel Dos Santos n 8	73.6	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
G. Koutsias n 8	60.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

FC Lugano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Pihlstrom n 8	25.3	3.1 4/2
L. Mai n 8	68.9	2.8 7/5
Martim Marques n 8	66.8	2.4 6/4
M. Zanotti n 8	87.6	2.1 7/4
A. Kendouci n 8	36.8	2.1 4/3

FC Lugano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Saipi n 8	90	3.2 6/4
D. von Ballmoos n 8	90	3.1 6/5

FC Thun

FC Thun — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Gutbub n 8	11.1	4 4/0	0 0/0	—
V. Matoshi n 8	64.5	2.6 7/4	0.7 3/1	—
B. Labeau n 8	76.3	2.4 8/6	1.3 4/3	—
N. Reichmuth n 8	32.3	2.4 4/1	1.4 4/0	—
Franz-Ethan Meichtry n 8	38.3	2.1 4/3	0.9 3/0	—

FC Thun — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Dursun n 8	21.8	4.1 3/3	2.1 2/1
M. Gutbub n 8	11.1	4 3/1	2 2/0
N. Reichmuth n 8	32.3	2.8 8/0	1 3/0
C. Ibayi n 8	33	2.4 3/2	1.4 3/1
L. Bertone n 8	89.8	1.9 6/5	1.1 5/3

FC Thun — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Imeri n 8	51	0.4 2/0	1.1 3/2
N. Reichmuth n 8	32.3	0.7 2/0	0.3 1/0
F. Fehr n 8	79.6	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0
L. Bertone n 8	89.8	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
E. Rastoder n 8	76.5	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0

FC Thun — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Rupp n 8	19.5	8.7 7/4
N. Reichmuth n 8	32.3	3.1 5/3
K. Imeri n 8	51	2.6 4/4
M. Kait n 8	73.9	2.4 6/3
M. Heule n 8	85.9	2.2 7/4

FC Thun — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Steffen n 8	90	1.9 4/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC Lugano		FC Thun
57%	Possession	43%
1.66	Expected goals (xG)	1.39
15	Shots	13
4	Shots on target	6
5	Shots off target	6
6	Blocked shots	1
9	Shots inside the box	10
3	Corners	5
2	Offsides	0
9	Fouls	15
2	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
6	Saves	3
436	Passes	318
78%	Pass accuracy	74%

FC Lugano player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Saipi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.9
A. Papadopoulos	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	7.2
L. Mai	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.2
H. Delcroix	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
U. Bislimi	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7.5
A. Grgic	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
G. Koutsias	89	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
M. Zanotti	84	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.9
R. Steffen	84	0	1	2	1	3	0	0	6.9
Daniel Dos Santos	84	1	0	2	1	2	2	0	9
Y. Cimignani	71	0	0	3	1	1	0	Y	6.6
Martim Marques sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
E. Alioski sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud sub	11	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
Mattia Bottani sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
E. Pihlstrom sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

FC Thun player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
N. Steffen	90	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
F. Fehr	90	1	1	1	2	0	7.2
Genís Montolio	90	1	1	0	2	Y	6.6
J. Bamert	90	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
M. Heule	90	1	0	0	1	Y	7.3
E. Rastoder	90	1	1	1	0	0	6.9
M. Kait	86	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
L. Bertone	79	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
Franz-Ethan Meichtry	67	2	1	2	0	0	6.6
K. Imeri	67	2	0	1	0	0	5.9
B. Labeau	66	0	0	2	0	0	5.9
F. Dursun sub	24	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
V. Matoshi sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
N. Reichmuth sub	23	1	1	1	1	0	6.6
J. Roth sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Gutbub sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FC Lugano v FC Thun — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FC LuganoLWLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

FC ThunWDWWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

FC Lugano 2 · 2 draws · FC Thun 2 · 2.33 goals/game

2025-11-22 FC Thun 0–1 FC Lugano
2025-07-27 FC Lugano 1–2 FC Thun
2020-07-15 FC Lugano 1–1 FC Thun
2020-02-09 FC Thun 3–2 FC Lugano
2019-11-24 FC Thun 0–3 FC Lugano
2019-07-28 FC Lugano 0–0 FC Thun

League standing · 2025/26

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

FC Lugano#3 pos57 pts33 pl+12 GD

FC Thun#1 pos74 pts33 pl+38 GD

Goals per game

FC Lugano scored1.52

FC Thun scored2.27

FC Lugano conceded1.15

FC Thun conceded1.12

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Lugano v FC Thun?: TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Lugano v FC Thun was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Lugano and FC Thun?: In their last 6 meetings, FC Lugano won 2, FC Thun won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Lugano and FC Thun?: Recent form — FC Lugano 1W 2D 2L; FC Thun 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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