FC Luzern v FC Sion prediction

Super League · · swissporarena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for FC Luzern v FC Sion, Super League on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 19:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.40 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC Luzern host FC Sion in the Super League (Switzerland) on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

12 of FC Luzern’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

13 of FC Sion’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of FC Luzern’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, FC Luzern have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.71. FC Luzern have scored 18 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC Luzern have conceded 24 goals, the third-most of the 12 clubs.

Both teams scored in 10 of FC Sion’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, FC Sion have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 2.17. FC Sion have scored 24 goals, the third-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC Sion have conceded 17 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs.

FC Luzern (eighth) and FC Sion (third) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Sion the stronger side, 176 rating points above FC Luzern (FC Sion 1713, FC Luzern 1537, after at least 307 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

FC Sion are unbeaten in the last four meetings with FC Luzern. The most recent meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished FC Sion 3–0 FC Luzern.

Team news

Predicted FC Luzern XI (4-4-2): K. Letica, B. Freimann, A. Ciganiks, B. Freimann, R. Dantas, M. Di Giusto, L. Bertone, T. Owusu, M. Zimmermann, D. Mikołajewski, O. Kabwit — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Di Giusto (4.9 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and three assists) and D. Mikołajewski (4.6 per match over nine appearances, four goals and three assists) have been FC Luzern’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Luzern (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Di Giusto averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 965 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. D. Mikołajewski averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 679 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last nine appearances.

Predicted FC Sion XI (4-2-3-1): A. Racioppi, J. Kronig, N. Lavanchy, N. Sow, M. Cipriano, A. Kabacalman, B. Costa, D. Rrudhani, L. Chipperfield, F. Sylla, W. Mokango — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Winsley Boteli Mokango (6.0 per match over 17 appearances, 13 goals and five assists) and Ilyas Chouaref (6.0 per match over 15 appearances, four goals and three assists) have been FC Sion’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Sion (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Winsley Boteli Mokango averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 1195 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Ilyas Chouaref averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 1307 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Super League · swissporarena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Luzern 1 · draws 3 · FC Sion 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Luzern 1W 1D 3L · FC Sion 3W 1D 1L

FC Luzern v FC Sion (Super League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2
Goals
against 2 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
5 / 6.13
Corners
against 6 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 3.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.75
Cards
against 3.13 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Luzern for / againstLineFC Sion for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 2 against n 8
3.75our book
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
18.63 for · 17 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 13.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 15.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.88 against n 8

FC Luzern

FC Luzern Goalkeeper

FC Luzern — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Karlo Letica890720 min324 /9070.9 /9000 /90
S. Simoni396288 min165 /9082.5 /9000 /90
FC Luzern — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Luzern before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Karlo Letica n 890
48/6
S. Simoni n 396
53/3

FC Luzern Defensive

FC Luzern — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bung Hua Freimann986770 min161.9 /90131.5 /9060.7 /90445.1 /9091.1 /9050.6 /90
A. Ciganiks984754 min172 /90101.2 /9040.5 /90404.8 /9081 /9040.5 /90
R. Dantas973655 min131.8 /9081.1 /9040.5 /90375.1 /9071 /9010.1 /90
B. Freimann791636 min121.7 /90152.1 /9060.8 /90385.4 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90
P. Dorn786603 min203 /90131.9 /9050.7 /90334.9 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
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FC Luzern — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Luzern before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Di Giusto n 886
0.86/0
0.84/1
—
Mio Zimmermann n 871.9
1.46/2
1.15/1
—
L. Bertone n 891.5
1.26/3
0.63/2
—
Bung Hua Freimann n 883.5
1.25/4
0.94/2
—
A. Ciganiks n 891.5
0.95/2
0.74/2
—
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FC Luzern — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Luzern before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Di Giusto n 886
16/2
Mio Zimmermann n 871.9
3.98/7
L. Bertone n 891.5
1.16/2
Bung Hua Freimann n 883.5
27/6
A. Ciganiks n 891.5
2.17/5
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FC Luzern Attacking

FC Luzern — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Mikołajewski975679 min40.5 /9030.4 /90222.9 /9070.9 /90141.9 /9030.4 /90
O. Kabwit664386 min30.7 /9000 /90112.6 /9071.6 /9071.6 /9040.9 /90
N. Toggenburger632191 min10.5 /9000 /9073.3 /9031.4 /9041.9 /9031.4 /90
Oscar Kabwit571354 min00 /9010.3 /9071.8 /9010.3 /9082 /9020.5 /90
B. Beenga439156 min00 /9021.2 /9074 /9031.7 /9042.3 /9052.9 /90
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FC Luzern — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Luzern before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Di Giusto n 886
3.16/6
1.26/2
Mio Zimmermann n 871.9
0.83/2
0.32/0
L. Bertone n 891.5
0.94/3
0.53/1
Bung Hua Freimann n 883.5
0.54/0
0.11/0
A. Ciganiks n 891.5
16/2
0.42/1
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FC Luzern — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Luzern before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Di Giusto n 886
0.32/0
0.32/0
Mio Zimmermann n 871.9
00/0
00/0
L. Bertone n 891.5
00/0
00/0
Bung Hua Freimann n 883.5
00/0
00/0
A. Ciganiks n 891.5
0.42/1
00/0
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FC Sion

FC Sion Goalkeeper

FC Sion — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Racioppi17911544 min472.7 /90251.5 /9000 /90
FC Sion — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Sion before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Racioppi n 890
2.46/2

FC Sion Defensive

FC Sion — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Kronig17911544 min301.7 /90130.8 /90100.6 /90533.1 /90100.6 /9010.1 /90
N. Lavanchy17911544 min281.6 /90211.2 /9020.1 /90523 /90140.8 /9040.2 /90
N. Sow16911454 min472.9 /90241.5 /90100.6 /901006.2 /90181.1 /9030.2 /90
Marquinhos Cipriano1078781 min131.5 /90101.2 /9020.2 /90252.9 /9010.1 /9000 /90
N. Hefti1073726 min162 /9070.9 /9030.4 /90283.5 /9091.1 /9020.2 /90
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FC Sion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Sion before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kronig n 890
0.94/1
0.43/0
—
N. Lavanchy n 890
0.94/3
16/2
—
A. Racioppi n 890
00/0
0.65/0
—
A. Kabacalman n 884.6
0.41/1
0.94/3
—
Winsley Boteli Mokango n 869.9
0.52/1
3.78/7
—
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FC Sion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Sion before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kronig n 890
28/4
N. Lavanchy n 890
1.87/5
A. Kabacalman n 884.6
1.97/3
Winsley Boteli Mokango n 869.9
0.32/0
R. Nivokazi n 827.6
1.62/2
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FC Sion Attacking

FC Sion — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Winsley Boteli Mokango17681154 min131 /9050.4 /90473.7 /90211.6 /90191.5 /90221.7 /90
R. Nivokazi1744745 min30.4 /9030.4 /90222.7 /9091.1 /90131.6 /9030.4 /90
T. Berdayes1438532 min30.5 /9010.2 /90152.5 /9091.5 /90132.2 /9081.4 /90
J. Lukembila1432448 min30.6 /9040.8 /90132.6 /9061.2 /90132.6 /9071.4 /90
A. Kabacalman17811378 min10.1 /9010.1 /9080.5 /9040.3 /90161 /9050.3 /90
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FC Sion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Sion before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kronig n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
N. Lavanchy n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Racioppi n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Kabacalman n 884.6
0.54/0
0.32/0
Winsley Boteli Mokango n 869.9
3.27/6
15/1
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FC Sion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Sion before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Racioppi n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Kronig n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Lavanchy n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Kabacalman n 884.6
0.11/0
00/0
Winsley Boteli Mokango n 869.9
0.63/1
0.52/1
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Luzern v FC Sion — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC LuzernDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2.2 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
FC SionWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Luzern 1 · 3 draws · FC Sion 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-08-02 FC Sion 3–0 FC Luzern
  • 2026-02-07 FC Sion 0–0 FC Luzern
  • 2026-01-24 FC Sion 1–1 FC Luzern
  • 2025-10-04 FC Luzern 3–3 FC Sion
  • 2025-02-23 FC Luzern 2–1 FC Sion
  • 2024-11-10 FC Sion 4–2 FC Luzern
League standing · 2026/27
FC Luzern#8 pos12 pts11 pl-6 GD
FC Sion#3 pos22 pts11 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
FC Luzern scored1.64
FC Sion scored2.18
FC Luzern conceded2.18
FC Sion conceded1.55

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win FC Luzern v FC Sion?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Luzern v FC Sion is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Luzern and FC Sion?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Luzern won 1, FC Sion won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Luzern and FC Sion?
Recent form — FC Luzern 1W 1D 3L; FC Sion 3W 1D 1L.

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