FC St. Gallen v FC Lugano prediction

Super League · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT · Stadio di Cornaredo

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 11:43 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC St. Gallen · FC Lugano · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for FC St. Gallen v FC Lugano, Super League on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.48 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC St. Gallen host FC Lugano in the Super League (Switzerland) on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

FC Lugano have conceded 10 goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games).

FC Lugano are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. FC Lugano have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of FC St. Gallen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of FC St. Gallen’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, FC St. Gallen have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 2.00. FC St. Gallen have scored 19 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games). FC St. Gallen have conceded 22 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs.

13 of FC Lugano’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 11 of FC Lugano’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, FC Lugano have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 1.29. FC Lugano have scored 36 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games).

FC St. Gallen (fifth) and FC Lugano (first) are 15 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Lugano the stronger side, 260 rating points above FC St. Gallen (FC Lugano 1924, FC St. Gallen 1665, after at least 342 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

FC Lugano are unbeaten in the last six meetings with FC St. Gallen, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 16 September 2026, finished FC Lugano 4–1 FC ST. Gallen.

Team news

Predicted FC St. Gallen XI (3-1-4-2): L. Zigi, J. Stanić, T. Gaal, C. Okoroji, M. Stevanovic, L. Daschner, H. Vandermersch, L. Görtler, C. Witzig, A. Balde, A. Hunziker — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lukas Görtler (5.4 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and two assists) and Chima Okoroji (4.3 per match over 15 appearances, six assists) have been FC St. Gallen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC St. Gallen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lukas Görtler averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1063 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Chima Okoroji averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 1258 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted FC Lugano XI (3-4-1-2): D. von Ballmoos, L. Mai, A. Papadopoulos, H. Delcroix, Y. Cimignani, A. Grgic, U. Bislimi, B. Karimov, D. Dos Santos, A. Ajeti, K. Behrens — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kevin Behrens (4.4 per match over 14 appearances, nine goals and two assists) and Daniel Dos Santos (4.0 per match over 21 appearances, seven goals and three assists) have been FC Lugano’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Lugano (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kevin Behrens averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 808 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Daniel Dos Santos averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1402 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT · Super League · Stadio di Cornaredo
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): FC St. Gallen 3 · draws 2 · FC Lugano 1 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: FC St. Gallen 3W 0D 2L · FC Lugano 5W 0D 0L

FC St. Gallen v FC Lugano (Super League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 3.5

Goals

against 1.63 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

6.75 / 4.38

Corners

against 4.75 / 6 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.75 / 6.25

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 2.88

Cards

against 2.63 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	FC St. Gallen for / against	Line	FC Lugano for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	3.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17.5 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.5 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.75 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.25 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	16.63 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.25 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.88 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

FC St. Gallen

FC St. Gallen Goalkeeper

FC St. Gallen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Zigi	14	911272 min	392.8 /90	241.7 /90	00 /90
L. Watkowiak	2	68136 min	96 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90

FC St. Gallen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Gallen before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Zigi n 8	90	3.6 7/5
L. Watkowiak n 4	79	4.3 4/3

FC St. Gallen Defensive

FC St. Gallen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Okoroji	15	841258 min	282 /90	191.4 /90	50.4 /90	694.9 /90	110.8 /90	30.2 /90
J. Stanić	15	811217 min	352.6 /90	141 /90	80.6 /90	1077.9 /90	332.4 /90	30.2 /90
J. Ruiz	13	60783 min	313.6 /90	50.6 /90	20.2 /90	617 /90	70.8 /90	00 /90
C. Kleine-Bekel	8	68540 min	142.3 /90	71.2 /90	10.2 /90	386.3 /90	132.2 /90	10.2 /90
T. Gaal	4	90360 min	61.5 /90	61.5 /90	10.3 /90	266.5 /90	112.8 /90	00 /90
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FC St. Gallen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Gallen before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Daschner n 8	76.9	1.3 5/2	0.4 3/0	—
M. Stevanovic n 8	76.8	0.4 3/0	0.6 4/0	—
H. Vandermersch n 8	72.4	1.2 6/2	1.9 6/4	—
A. Balde n 8	65.5	0.3 1/1	1.7 5/3	—
C. Okoroji n 8	82.5	1 3/2	1.1 4/3	—
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FC St. Gallen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Gallen before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Daschner n 8	76.9	0.7 5/0
M. Stevanovic n 8	76.8	3.7 8/6
H. Vandermersch n 8	72.4	1.9 5/3
A. Balde n 8	65.5	0.7 4/0
C. Okoroji n 8	82.5	1.9 7/4
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FC St. Gallen Attacking

FC St. Gallen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Balde	16	681091 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	433.5 /90	191.6 /90	201.6 /90	352.9 /90
A. Hunziker	13	56731 min	50.6 /90	10.1 /90	253.1 /90	121.5 /90	141.7 /90	81 /90
N. Scherrer	9	33295 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	61.8 /90	41.2 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
D. Besio	8	45362 min	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	71.7 /90	61.5 /90	61.5 /90	41 /90
L. Daschner	16	741188 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	231.7 /90	131 /90	403 /90	90.7 /90
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FC St. Gallen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Gallen before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Daschner n 8	76.9	1.3 6/2	0.4 2/1
M. Stevanovic n 8	76.8	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
H. Vandermersch n 8	72.4	0.9 4/2	0.5 3/0
A. Balde n 8	65.5	3.3 8/5	1.4 5/3
C. Okoroji n 8	82.5	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
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FC St. Gallen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Gallen before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Daschner n 8	76.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Stevanovic n 8	76.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Vandermersch n 8	72.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Balde n 8	65.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
C. Okoroji n 8	82.5	0 0/0	0.5 3/1
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FC Lugano

FC Lugano Goalkeeper

FC Lugano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. von Ballmoos	20	881759 min	603.1 /90	140.7 /90	00 /90
F. Gebhardt	2	68135 min	42.7 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90

FC Lugano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Lugano before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. von Ballmoos n 8	83.9	4.3 7/7

FC Lugano Defensive

FC Lugano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Papadopoulos	20	861724 min	291.5 /90	301.6 /90	80.4 /90	824.3 /90	251.3 /90	30.2 /90
L. Mai	19	821561 min	261.5 /90	291.7 /90	90.5 /90	714.1 /90	201.2 /90	40.2 /90
M. Zanotti	17	661130 min	312.5 /90	90.7 /90	10.1 /90	735.8 /90	322.5 /90	60.5 /90
H. Delcroix	13	861114 min	161.3 /90	141.1 /90	50.4 /90	494 /90	90.7 /90	00 /90
Joel Bichsel	7	76534 min	91.5 /90	71.2 /90	30.5 /90	355.9 /90	81.3 /90	00 /90
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FC Lugano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Lugano before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Grgic n 8	79.6	0.4 3/0	0.8 3/2	—
Y. Cimignani n 8	79.3	0.9 4/1	0.7 4/1	—
Daniel Dos Santos n 8	69.8	1 5/1	1.8 6/3	—
D. von Ballmoos n 8	83.9	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
A. Papadopoulos n 8	89.5	0.6 2/2	0.6 4/1	—
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FC Lugano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Lugano before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Grgic n 8	79.6	1.3 5/2
Y. Cimignani n 8	79.3	1.3 6/2
Daniel Dos Santos n 8	69.8	1.5 6/3
A. Papadopoulos n 8	89.5	1.9 6/6
U. Bislimi n 8	83.5	1.8 7/5
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FC Lugano Attacking

FC Lugano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Moncada	18	44793 min	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	313.5 /90	111.2 /90	91 /90	111.2 /90
R. Steffen	15	691037 min	20.2 /90	40.3 /90	232 /90	70.6 /90	373.2 /90	80.7 /90
E. Pihlstrom	15	48721 min	40.5 /90	00 /90	202.5 /90	111.4 /90	40.5 /90	131.6 /90
K. Behrens	14	58808 min	91 /90	20.2 /90	293.2 /90	161.8 /90	121.3 /90	70.8 /90
A. Ajeti	11	39431 min	61.3 /90	00 /90	163.3 /90	112.3 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90
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FC Lugano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Lugano before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Grgic n 8	79.6	1.3 6/2	0.4 3/0
Y. Cimignani n 8	79.3	1.4 6/3	0.4 3/0
Daniel Dos Santos n 8	69.8	2.7 7/5	1.3 5/2
D. von Ballmoos n 8	83.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Papadopoulos n 8	89.5	0.5 2/1	0.1 1/0
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FC Lugano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Lugano before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Grgic n 8	79.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Y. Cimignani n 8	79.3	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Daniel Dos Santos n 8	69.8	0.6 3/1	0.5 3/0
D. von Ballmoos n 8	83.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Papadopoulos n 8	89.5	0 0/0	0.5 4/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC St. Gallen v FC Lugano — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FC St. GallenLWWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

FC LuganoWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

FC St. Gallen 3 · 2 draws · FC Lugano 1 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-09-16 FC Lugano 4–1 FC ST. Gallen
2026-05-10 FC Lugano 1–2 FC ST. Gallen
2026-03-17 FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Lugano
2025-11-26 FC Lugano 1–3 FC ST. Gallen
2025-09-13 FC ST. Gallen 1–0 FC Lugano
2025-04-13 FC Lugano 1–1 FC ST. Gallen

League standing · 2026/27

FC St. Gallen#5 pos19 pts12 pl-3 GD

FC Lugano#1 pos34 pts12 pl+26 GD

Goals per game

FC St. Gallen scored1.58

FC Lugano scored3

FC St. Gallen conceded1.83

FC Lugano conceded0.83

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win FC St. Gallen v FC Lugano?: TACTIX’s free model pick for FC St. Gallen v FC Lugano is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.48 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between FC St. Gallen and FC Lugano?: In their last 6 meetings, FC St. Gallen won 3, FC Lugano won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC St. Gallen and FC Lugano?: Recent form — FC St. Gallen 3W 0D 2L; FC Lugano 5W 0D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 11:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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