Lausanne v FC Thun prediction

Super League · · Stade de la Tuilière

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Lausanne v FC Thun, Super League on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lausanne host FC Thun in the Super League (Switzerland) on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 15:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Lausanne have scored seven goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

FC Thun have conceded 30 goals, the most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Lausanne are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions. FC Thun have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Lausanne’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Lausanne’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Lausanne have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.43. Lausanne have conceded 17 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

11 of FC Thun’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of FC Thun’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, FC Thun have two wins, no draws and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 3.25. FC Thun have scored 19 goals, the sixth-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Lausanne have failed to score in their last four matches in all competitions. Lausanne (12th) and FC Thun (ninth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Thun the stronger side, 119 rating points above Lausanne (FC Thun 1397, Lausanne 1278, after at least 163 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 September 2026, finished FC Thun 0–0 Lausanne.

Team news

Predicted Lausanne XI (3-4-3): M. Mastil, A. Sow, N. Cozza, É. Youté, M. Poaty, B. Soppy, F. Mollet, O. Custodio, O. Janneh, E. Molébé, N. Butler-Oyedeji — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Brandon Soppy (3.9 per match over 10 appearances) and Kevin Mouanga (3.7 per match over three appearances) have been Lausanne’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lausanne (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Brandon Soppy averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 837 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Kevin Mouanga averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 548 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances.

Predicted FC Thun XI (4-4-2): N. Steffen, F. Fehr, J. Bamert, N. Burgy, T. Strannegård, J. Roth, N. Reichmuth, M. Kait, N. Zoukit, B. Labeau, F. Dursun — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Fabio Fehr (4.9 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and four assists) and Fabio Saiz (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been FC Thun’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Thun (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Fabio Fehr averages 3.7 tackles per 90 over 1003 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Fabio Saiz averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 683 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Super League · Stade de la Tuilière
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lausanne 1 · draws 2 · FC Thun 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lausanne 0W 0D 5L · FC Thun 1W 0D 4L

Lausanne v FC Thun (Super League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.75 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5.38
Corners
against 5.75 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLausanne for / againstLineFC Thun for / against
Goals scored
0.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
10.25 for · 16.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.38 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
18.13 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8

Lausanne

Lausanne Goalkeeper

Lausanne — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Mastil1190990 min383.5 /90121.1 /9000 /90
Lausanne — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lausanne before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Mastil n 890
3.66/5

Lausanne Defensive

Lausanne — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Morgan Poaty1189984 min242.2 /90131.2 /9020.2 /90595.4 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90
Abdou Karim Sow1090900 min121.2 /9020.2 /9090.9 /90646.4 /90202 /9040.4 /90
Brandon Soppy1084837 min333.5 /9080.9 /9040.4 /90737.8 /90171.8 /9030.3 /90
N. Cozza672433 min71.5 /90102.1 /9030.6 /90173.5 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
É. Youté488350 min51.3 /9082.1 /9010.3 /90194.9 /9071.8 /9020.5 /90
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Lausanne — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lausanne before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Mastil n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Morgan Poaty n 889.3
0.94/2
1.66/5
—
Omar Janneh n 870.5
3.27/7
0.63/1
—
Abdou Karim Sow n 890
2.18/6
0.84/1
—
Brandon Soppy n 882.1
1.85/5
2.58/6
—
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Lausanne — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lausanne before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Morgan Poaty n 889.3
2.18/7
Omar Janneh n 870.5
0.21/0
Abdou Karim Sow n 890
14/2
Brandon Soppy n 882.1
2.98/8
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji n 851.3
1.82/2
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Lausanne Attacking

Lausanne — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Omar Janneh1175825 min10.1 /9010.1 /90171.9 /9060.7 /9020.2 /9050.5 /90
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji1056555 min10.2 /9000 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9050.8 /90111.8 /90
E. Molébé852417 min10.2 /9000 /90102.2 /9051.1 /9061.3 /9091.9 /90
I. Bah Mendes647279 min10.3 /9000 /9041.3 /9020.6 /9041.3 /90103.2 /90
Seydou Traore634206 min00 /9010.4 /9062.6 /9020.9 /9031.3 /9010.4 /90
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Lausanne — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lausanne before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Mastil n 890
00/0
00/0
Morgan Poaty n 889.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Omar Janneh n 870.5
1.65/4
0.53/0
Abdou Karim Sow n 890
0.95/2
0.43/0
Brandon Soppy n 882.1
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Lausanne — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lausanne before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Mastil n 890
00/0
00/0
Morgan Poaty n 889.3
00/0
00/0
Omar Janneh n 870.5
0.21/0
00/0
Abdou Karim Sow n 890
00/0
00/0
Brandon Soppy n 882.1
00/0
00/0
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FC Thun

FC Thun Goalkeeper

FC Thun — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Steffen14911275 min443.1 /90211.5 /9010.1 /90
FC Thun — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Thun before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Steffen n 890
2.46/5

FC Thun Defensive

FC Thun — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Bamert13861117 min201.6 /90252 /9060.5 /90604.8 /90231.9 /9020.2 /90
F. Fehr1181886 min373.8 /90131.3 /9080.8 /90636.4 /90121.2 /9050.5 /90
N. Burgy990812 min131.4 /9040.4 /9080.9 /90364 /90111.2 /9020.2 /90
Tom Strannegård870563 min172.7 /9061 /9000 /90365.8 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90
Lucien Dähler681484 min40.7 /9081.5 /9020.4 /90101.9 /9061.1 /9000 /90
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FC Thun — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Thun before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Steffen n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
J. Roth n 882.9
1.87/3
1.45/3
—
N. Reichmuth n 875.5
2.58/4
1.86/5
—
J. Bamert n 881.5
2.57/4
1.26/2
—
B. Labeau n 885.3
2.47/5
1.16/2
—
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FC Thun — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Thun before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Roth n 882.9
15/2
N. Reichmuth n 875.5
2.76/4
J. Bamert n 881.5
1.86/5
B. Labeau n 885.3
0.74/1
N. Zoukit n 861
3.37/5
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FC Thun Attacking

FC Thun — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Labeau1372934 min40.4 /9000 /90181.7 /90101 /90131.3 /90101 /90
F. Dursun1159645 min20.3 /9040.6 /90142 /9030.4 /90111.5 /9010.1 /90
Noah Christoffersson633200 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9000 /9031.4 /9000 /90
M. Gutbub453211 min10.4 /9020.9 /9041.7 /9020.9 /9041.7 /9000 /90
Simon Lengen448193 min10.5 /9000 /9041.9 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
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FC Thun — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Thun before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Steffen n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Roth n 882.9
0.31/1
00/0
N. Reichmuth n 875.5
2.46/3
0.93/2
J. Bamert n 881.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
B. Labeau n 885.3
1.76/5
0.74/1
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FC Thun — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Thun before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Steffen n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Roth n 882.9
00/0
00/0
N. Reichmuth n 875.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Bamert n 881.5
0.11/0
00/0
B. Labeau n 885.3
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lausanne v FC Thun — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LausanneLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
FC ThunWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lausanne 1 · 2 draws · FC Thun 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-09-02 FC Thun 0–0 Lausanne
  • 2026-02-12 FC Thun 5–1 Lausanne
  • 2025-11-30 Lausanne 2–1 FC Thun
  • 2025-08-03 FC Thun 2–1 Lausanne
  • 2018-05-13 Lausanne 0–2 FC Thun
  • 2018-03-18 FC Thun 0–0 Lausanne
League standing · 2026/27
Lausanne#12 pos6 pts11 pl-10 GD
FC Thun#9 pos10 pts11 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Lausanne scored0.64
FC Thun scored1.73
Lausanne conceded1.55
FC Thun conceded2.73

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Lausanne v FC Thun?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lausanne v FC Thun is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Lausanne and FC Thun?
In their last 6 meetings, Lausanne won 1, FC Thun won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lausanne and FC Thun?
Recent form — Lausanne 0W 0D 5L; FC Thun 1W 0D 4L.

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