Başakşehir v Kasımpaşa result

Full-time · Başakşehir 1–1 Kasımpaşa

Süper Lig · · Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Başakşehir · Kasımpaşa · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Başakşehir 1–1 Kasımpaşa — this Süper Lig match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.19 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.9% of 1635 landed (95% range 73.8–77.9%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 942 of 1,266 times (74.4%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa drew 1–1 at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium in the Süper Lig on Sunday 30 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Kasımpaşa created the better chances, 1.69 xG to 0.76 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Başakşehir led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Başakşehir: Eldor Shomurodov (18’, assisted by Umut Bozok); Kasımpaşa: F. Diabaté (81’, assisted by A. Benedyczak).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Diabaté’s goal on 81 minutes.

Discipline

Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye showed four yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Başakşehir: Jerome Opoku (3’), Olivier Kemen (13’) and Hamza Güreler (90’); Kasımpaşa: Cláudio Winck (55’).

What it changes

Başakşehir move up from eighth to seventh (three league matches played). Başakşehir have scored 12 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Başakşehir have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs.

Kasımpaşa move down from second to fifth (three league matches played). Kasımpaşa have scored 13 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Kasımpaşa have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Kasımpaşa are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Kasımpaşa have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Diabaté (Kasımpaşa) 5.4, Emin Bayram (Başakşehir) 5.3 and Eldor Shomurodov (Başakşehir) 4.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Başakşehir are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Kasımpaşa, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Başakşehir or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.9% of the time in the last 90 days (1241 of 1635).

Next up

Başakşehir next host Samsunspor on 1 November 2026.

Kasımpaşa next host Çorluspor 1947 on 29 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Başakşehir: Başakşehir v Samsunspor, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for Kasımpaşa: Kasımpaşa v Çorluspor 1947, Thursday 29 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Başakşehir 1–1 Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig
  • Venue: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium · Istanbul
  • Referee: Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Başakşehir 5 · draws 1 · Kasımpaşa 0 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Başakşehir 2W 1D 2L · Kasımpaşa 2W 2D 1L

Başakşehir 1–1 Kasımpaşa (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.13
Corners
against 4 / 5.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 3
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 3.13
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBaşakşehir for / againstLineKasımpaşa for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
3.13 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
15.25 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
7.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
13.5 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye.

Başakşehir

Başakşehir Goalkeeper

Başakşehir — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Muhammed Şengezer491364 min194.7 /9051.2 /9000 /90
Başakşehir — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Başakşehir before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Muhammed Şengezer n 890.5
47/6

Başakşehir Defensive

Başakşehir — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Bayram491364 min20.5 /9051.2 /9041 /90143.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Ö. Şahiner467267 min62 /9020.7 /9000 /90103.4 /90103.4 /9010.3 /90
C. Operi391274 min51.6 /9031 /9010.3 /90144.6 /9031 /9000 /90
J. Opoku370209 min10.4 /9020.9 /9020.9 /90125.2 /9020.9 /9000 /90
O. Ba278155 min63.5 /9063.5 /9010.6 /9084.6 /9031.7 /9021.2 /90
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Başakşehir — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Başakşehir before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Bayram n 491
0.52/0
13/1
A. Arous
Muhammed Şengezer n 890.5
00/0
00/0
—
E. Shomurodov n 881.9
0.54/0
0.43/0
—
Ö. Şahiner n 871.6
2.46/3
0.53/0
A. Arous
B. Yıldırım n 857.3
2.67/5
1.87/2
—
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Başakşehir — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Başakşehir before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Bayram n 491
0.52/0
E. Shomurodov n 881.9
1.15/3
Ö. Şahiner n 871.6
1.76/3
B. Yıldırım n 857.3
0.83/1
A. Fayzullaev n 854.4
3.15/5
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Başakşehir Attacking

Başakşehir — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Yıldırım460238 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9000 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
D. Selke428113 min00 /9000 /9021.6 /9000 /9021.6 /9000 /90
Nuno da Costa21938 min00 /9000 /9012.4 /9000 /9000 /9012.4 /90
E. Shomurodov478311 min20.6 /9000 /9082.3 /9051.4 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
A. Fayzullaev450199 min00 /9010.5 /9062.7 /9031.4 /9052.3 /9052.3 /90
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Başakşehir — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Başakşehir before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Bayram n 491
0.51/1
0.21/0
Muhammed Şengezer n 890.5
00/0
00/0
E. Shomurodov n 881.9
2.28/5
1.47/3
Ö. Şahiner n 871.6
0.31/1
0.21/0
B. Yıldırım n 857.3
1.65/3
0.41/1
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Başakşehir — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Başakşehir before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Bayram n 491
0.21/0
00/0
Muhammed Şengezer n 890.5
00/0
00/0
E. Shomurodov n 881.9
0.85/1
0.11/0
Ö. Şahiner n 871.6
00/0
00/0
B. Yıldırım n 857.3
0.21/0
00/0
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Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa Goalkeeper

Kasımpaşa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Gianniotis290180 min63 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Kasımpaşa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Gianniotis n 890
2.96/5

Kasımpaşa Defensive

Kasımpaşa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Arous290180 min00 /9010.5 /9021 /9042 /9010.5 /9000 /90
J. Jessen290180 min63 /9010.5 /9000 /9084 /9021 /9010.5 /90
Matei Ilie290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9042 /9031.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
Cláudio Winck288175 min21 /9052.6 /9000 /9063.1 /9042.1 /9000 /90
A. Karapo13131 min25.8 /9012.9 /9000 /90411.6 /9000 /9012.9 /90
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Kasımpaşa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Arous n 890
0.32/0
0.54/0
Ö. Şahiner
A. Gianniotis n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Cláudio Winck n 889.3
1.88/4
1.66/3
—
A. Benedyczak n 887.4
2.28/5
1.35/3
—
A. Baldursson n 886.8
2.38/5
0.84/2
—
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Kasımpaşa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Arous n 890
1.55/4
Cláudio Winck n 889.3
2.38/5
A. Benedyczak n 887.4
0.42/1
A. Baldursson n 886.8
2.57/5
F. Diabaté n 881.4
0.63/1
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Kasımpaşa Attacking

Kasımpaşa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Benedyczak287174 min21 /9000 /9073.6 /9042.1 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Kol14545 min00 /9000 /9024 /9000 /9024 /9048 /90
A. Baldursson279157 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.6 /90
G. Yalçın271141 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.3 /90
F. Diabaté268135 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9000 /9021.3 /9000 /90
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Kasımpaşa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Gianniotis n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Arous n 890
00/0
00/0
Cláudio Winck n 889.3
14/3
0.11/0
A. Benedyczak n 887.4
2.88/7
1.86/5
A. Baldursson n 886.8
0.31/1
0.11/0
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Kasımpaşa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Gianniotis n 890
0.11/0
00/0
A. Arous n 890
00/0
00/0
Cláudio Winck n 889.3
00/0
0.11/0
A. Benedyczak n 887.4
0.96/1
00/0
A. Baldursson n 886.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
64%Possession36%
0.76Expected goals (xG)1.69
12Shots12
2Shots on target3
7Shots off target6
3Blocked shots3
4Shots inside the box5
5Corners3
2Offsides3
11Fouls13
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves1
640Passes362
88%Pass accuracy77%

Başakşehir Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Muhammed Şengezer9000000006.9
Ö. Şahiner9000000106.3
E. Bayram9000000107.3
J. Opoku90000000Y6.5
C. Operi9000101006.3
U. Güneş9000001107.7
E. Shomurodov9010312007
A. Skov Olsen7400212007
U. Bozok7301101006.9
O. Kemen64000003Y7.2
A. Fayzullaev4500100006.7
Y. Sarı sub4500100006.5
O. Ergün sub2600000206.5
D. Selke sub1700000006.6
Hamza Güreler sub16000001Y6.3

Kasımpaşa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Gianniotis9000000005.9
A. Arous9000000206.6
Matei Ilie9000000206.6
Cláudio Winck90000022Y7.3
K. Demirbay9000111107.2
A. Benedyczak9001402106.3
A. Baldursson9000000006.7
A. Karapo8700100106.9
Elson Mendes7100101006
A. T. Dagbasi4500000006.2
G. Yalçın4500001106.7
F. Diabaté sub4510110107.3
A. Kol sub4500110006.3
M. Rafferty sub1900001006.9
E. Boz sub30000010–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Başakşehir v Kasımpaşa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BaşakşehirWDLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
KasımpaşaDLWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Başakşehir 5 · 1 draw · Kasımpaşa 0 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-24 Başakşehir 4–0 Kasımpaşa
  • 2025-11-29 Kasımpaşa 1–3 Başakşehir
  • 2025-05-18 Kasımpaşa 2–3 Başakşehir
  • 2024-12-23 Başakşehir 2–2 Kasımpaşa
  • 2024-05-05 Başakşehir 4–1 Kasımpaşa
  • 2024-01-09 Kasımpaşa 0–3 Başakşehir
League standing · 2026/27
Başakşehir#12 pos11 pts9 pl-2 GD
Kasımpaşa#6 pos16 pts9 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Başakşehir scored1.33
Kasımpaşa scored1.44
Başakşehir conceded1.56
Kasımpaşa conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Başakşehir v Kasımpaşa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Başakşehir v Kasımpaşa was Home or Draw (best price 1.19 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa?
In their last 6 meetings, Başakşehir won 5, Kasımpaşa won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa?
Recent form — Başakşehir 2W 1D 2L; Kasımpaşa 2W 2D 1L.

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