Başakşehir v Samsunspor prediction

Süper Lig · Sun, 01 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT · Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 02:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Başakşehir · Samsunspor · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Başakşehir v Samsunspor, Süper Lig on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 475 of 722 times (65.8%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Başakşehir host Samsunspor in the Süper Lig on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Samsunspor have lost their last seven matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Başakşehir’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Başakşehir’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Başakşehir have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 2.38 and conceding 0.75. Başakşehir have scored 12 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Başakşehir have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs.

10 of Samsunspor’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Samsunspor’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Samsunspor have two wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.83. Samsunspor have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Samsunspor have conceded 21 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Başakşehir (12th) and Samsunspor (17th) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Başakşehir the stronger side, 216 rating points above Samsunspor (Başakşehir 1618, Samsunspor 1402, after at least 117 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Başakşehir are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Samsunspor. The most recent meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Başakşehir 3–0 Samsunspor.

Team news

Predicted Başakşehir XI (4-2-3-1): M. Şengezer, E. Bayram, M. Karbownik, O. Ba, S. Kharebashvili, O. Kemen, A. Skov Olsen, U. Güneş, J. Kałuziński, I. Brnić, E. Shomurodov — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Eldor Shomurodov (4.3 per match over 11 appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Christopher Operi (3.4 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Başakşehir’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Başakşehir (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Eldor Shomurodov averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 1432 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Christopher Operi averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 629 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Samsunspor XI (4-3-3): O. Kocuk, G. Guarino, L. Tómasson, J. Mendes, S. Eraković, E. Watt, Y. Kayan, E. Kılınç, M. Bayo, S. Jarju, F. Kaya — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Yüksel (4.7 per match over seven appearances, one goal) and T. Coulibaly (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Samsunspor’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Samsunspor (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Yüksel averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 562 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances. T. Coulibaly averages 1.0 shots per 90 over 271 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT · Süper Lig · Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Başakşehir 4 · draws 1 · Samsunspor 1 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Başakşehir 2W 1D 2L · Samsunspor 0W 0D 5L

Başakşehir v Samsunspor (Süper Lig): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.63

Goals

against 1.75 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3.63 / 4.5

Corners

against 4.5 / 5.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 3.25

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 6.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Başakşehir for / against	Line	Samsunspor for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	0.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.38 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.88 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.25 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.88 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	15.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Başakşehir

Başakşehir Goalkeeper

Başakşehir — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Muhammed Şengezer	9	90814 min	313.4 /90	91 /90	00 /90
Deniz Dilmen	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	84 /90	00 /90

Başakşehir — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Başakşehir before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Muhammed Şengezer n 8	90.5	3.5 7/6
Deniz Dilmen n 6	90	2.2 4/3

Başakşehir Defensive

Başakşehir — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Bayram	11	87960 min	90.8 /90	121.1 /90	100.9 /90	373.5 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90
Ö. Şahiner	9	62557 min	101.6 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	193.1 /90	142.3 /90	10.2 /90
M. Karbownik	8	66530 min	81.4 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	183.1 /90	111.9 /90	10.2 /90
O. Ba	7	69485 min	91.7 /90	81.5 /90	81.5 /90	163 /90	132.4 /90	40.7 /90
C. Operi	6	86517 min	81.4 /90	91.6 /90	10.2 /90	274.7 /90	61 /90	20.3 /90
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Başakşehir — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Başakşehir before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Bayram n 8	85.8	0.4 2/1	0.4 2/1	—
E. Shomurodov n 8	85.6	1.6 7/4	0.5 4/0	—
O. Kemen n 8	83.3	1.8 7/4	1.8 8/3	—
Muhammed Şengezer n 8	90.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
U. Güneş n 8	73.8	1.5 6/3	1.1 4/1	—
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Başakşehir — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Başakşehir before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Bayram n 8	85.8	0.9 4/2
E. Shomurodov n 8	85.6	0.8 3/2
O. Kemen n 8	83.3	1.1 5/2
U. Güneş n 8	73.8	1.1 5/1
A. Skov Olsen n 8	72.6	0.2 1/0
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Başakşehir Attacking

Başakşehir — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Yıldırım	9	46417 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
Y. Sarı	8	51404 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	92 /90	20.4 /90	112.5 /90	30.7 /90
D. Selke	6	33199 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90	10.5 /90	52.3 /90	00 /90
U. Bozok	4	51205 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	62.6 /90	20.9 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
Nuno da Costa	2	1938 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.4 /90
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Başakşehir — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Başakşehir before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Bayram n 8	85.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
E. Shomurodov n 8	85.6	2 8/5	0.9 6/1
O. Kemen n 8	83.3	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
Muhammed Şengezer n 8	90.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
U. Güneş n 8	73.8	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
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Başakşehir — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Başakşehir before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Bayram n 8	85.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Shomurodov n 8	85.6	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
O. Kemen n 8	83.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Muhammed Şengezer n 8	90.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
U. Güneş n 8	73.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Samsunspor

Samsunspor Goalkeeper

Samsunspor — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Okan Kocuk	8	90720 min	334.1 /90	162 /90	00 /90
B. Bayazıt	1	9090 min	44 /90	22 /90	00 /90

Samsunspor — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Okan Kocuk n 8	90	4.1 7/7

Samsunspor Defensive

Samsunspor — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Tómasson	9	90810 min	131.4 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90	242.7 /90	161.8 /90	10.1 /90
J. Mendes	9	88792 min	131.5 /90	121.4 /90	20.2 /90	333.8 /90	111.3 /90	00 /90
G. Guarino	7	89625 min	111.6 /90	81.2 /90	81.2 /90	334.8 /90	71 /90	00 /90
Y. Çift	5	63314 min	51.4 /90	51.4 /90	10.3 /90	205.7 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90
S. Eraković	4	73290 min	51.6 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	175.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
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Samsunspor — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Tómasson n 8	90	1.9 7/4	0.1 1/0	—
J. Mendes n 8	87.8	1.4 6/4	0.5 3/1	—
Okan Kocuk n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
E. Kılınç n 8	84.4	1.3 4/4	0.9 4/3	—
G. Guarino n 7	89.3	1 3/2	0.6 4/0	—
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Samsunspor — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Tómasson n 8	90	1.3 6/3
J. Mendes n 8	87.8	1.4 8/3
E. Kılınç n 8	84.4	0.4 3/0
G. Guarino n 7	89.3	1.6 6/5
C. Yüksel n 8	81.5	2.8 7/5
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Samsunspor Attacking

Samsunspor — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Saikuba Jarju	6	75452 min	00 /90	20.4 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90	51 /90	51 /90
M. Bayo	5	76382 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.4 /90	30.7 /90	40.9 /90	71.6 /90
T. Coulibaly	4	68271 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	41.3 /90	31 /90
Fatih Kaya	4	43170 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	52.6 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
E. Tavşan	2	2040 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.3 /90	00 /90	12.3 /90	12.3 /90
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Samsunspor — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Tómasson n 8	90	1.1 5/3	0.5 3/1
J. Mendes n 8	87.8	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
Okan Kocuk n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Kılınç n 8	84.4	1.2 5/3	0.4 3/0
G. Guarino n 7	89.3	0.9 5/1	0.1 1/0
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Samsunspor — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Tómasson n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Mendes n 8	87.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Okan Kocuk n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Kılınç n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
G. Guarino n 7	89.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Başakşehir v Samsunspor — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BaşakşehirLWDWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

SamsunsporLLLLL

Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.6 scored / 3 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Başakşehir 4 · 1 draw · Samsunspor 1 · 2 goals/game

2026-05-09 Başakşehir 3–0 Samsunspor
2025-12-14 Samsunspor 0–2 Başakşehir
2025-02-01 Başakşehir 4–0 Samsunspor
2024-09-18 Samsunspor 2–0 Başakşehir
2024-03-03 Başakşehir 1–0 Samsunspor
2023-10-22 Samsunspor 0–0 Başakşehir

League standing · 2026/27

Başakşehir#12 pos11 pts9 pl-2 GD

Samsunspor#17 pos4 pts9 pl-13 GD

Goals per game

Başakşehir scored1.33

Samsunspor scored0.89

Başakşehir conceded1.56

Samsunspor conceded2.33

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Başakşehir v Samsunspor?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Başakşehir v Samsunspor is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Başakşehir and Samsunspor?: In their last 6 meetings, Başakşehir won 4, Samsunspor won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Başakşehir and Samsunspor?: Recent form — Başakşehir 2W 1D 2L; Samsunspor 0W 0D 5L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 02:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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