Fatih Karagümrük v Gençlerbirliği S.K. result

Full-time · Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Süper Lig · Sun, 03 May 2026 18:00 BST · Ataturk Olimpiyat

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fatih Karagümrük · Gençlerbirliği S.K.

The model’s pre-match pick

Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Fatih Karagümrük won this Süper Lig match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 53.6% of 153 landed (95% range 45.7–61.3%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Fatih Karagümrük beat Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–0 at Ataturk Olimpiyat in the Süper Lig on Sunday 3 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Gençlerbirliği S.K. out-shot Fatih Karagümrük 13 to 6 and created the better chances, 2.14 xG to 0.81 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

Fatih Karagümrük led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Fatih Karagümrük: T. Çukur (17’, assisted by I. Lichnovsky).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Çukur’s goal on 17 minutes.

Discipline

O. Cakir showed four yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fatih Karagümrük: I. Lichnovsky (45+4’) and T. Çukur (70’); Gençlerbirliği S.K.: D. Goutas (45+6’) and A. Dursun (49’).

What it changes

Fatih Karagümrük have scored 31 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Fatih Karagümrük have conceded 54 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. have scored 36 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Gençlerbirliği S.K. have conceded 47 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, I. Grbić (Fatih Karagümrük) 6.3, Ricardo Esgaio (Fatih Karagümrük) 6.3 and T. Çukur (Fatih Karagümrük) 3.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Gençlerbirliği S.K. next host Karaköprü Belediyespor on 29 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gençlerbirliği S.K.: Gençlerbirliği S.K. v Karaköprü Belediyespor, Thursday 29 October — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Süper Lig
Venue: Ataturk Olimpiyat · Istanbul
Referee: O. Cakir
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Fatih Karagümrük 2 · draws 0 · Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1 · 4.33 goals/game
Recent form: Fatih Karagümrük 1W 1D 3L · Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2W 0D 3L

Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.5

Goals

against 1 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.86 / 3

Corners

against 5.57 / 6.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.86 / 2.13

Shots on target

against 5 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1 / 1.88

Cards

against 2.38 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.15 yellows

Referee · O. Cakir

28.23 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 13 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Fatih Karagümrük for / against	Line	Gençlerbirliği S.K. for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	0.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.86 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.57 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	8.25 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.86 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	2.13 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13 for · 14.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.25 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: O. Cakir — 4.15 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 28.23 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Fatih Karagümrük

Fatih Karagümrük Goalkeeper

Fatih Karagümrük — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
I. Grbić	31	902790 min	1153.7 /90	521.7 /90	10 /90

Fatih Karagümrük — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Grbić n 8	90	3.9 7/7

Fatih Karagümrük Defensive

Fatih Karagümrük — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Ricardo Esgaio	22	871906 min	502.4 /90	170.8 /90	40.2 /90	924.3 /90	391.8 /90	30.1 /90
A. Çankaya	17	901530 min	311.8 /90	261.5 /90	60.4 /90	1126.6 /90	221.3 /90	30.2 /90
J. Balkovec	17	891513 min	191.1 /90	140.8 /90	90.5 /90	593.5 /90	161 /90	70.4 /90
Ç. Kurukalıp	15	681024 min	201.8 /90	191.7 /90	40.4 /90	615.4 /90	141.2 /90	10.1 /90
I. Lichnovsky	11	90990 min	121.1 /90	151.4 /90	40.4 /90	383.5 /90	70.6 /90	20.2 /90
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Fatih Karagümrük — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Grbić n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
Serginho n 8	71.3	1.9 5/4	3 7/5	—
B. Özcan n 8	68.3	0.8 3/1	1 4/2	—
T. Çukur n 8	41.8	3.5 6/3	0.8 2/1	—
Ricardo Esgaio n 8	90	2.5 8/7	0.5 3/1	Ž. Žužek
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Fatih Karagümrük — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Serginho n 8	71.3	1.1 5/2
B. Özcan n 8	68.3	1.2 3/3
T. Çukur n 8	41.8	1.1 1/1
Ricardo Esgaio n 8	90	3.5 8/7
M. Kranevitter n 8	64	1.4 6/2
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Fatih Karagümrük Attacking

Fatih Karagümrük — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Çukur	24	561353 min	10.1 /90	30.2 /90	201.3 /90	90.6 /90	221.5 /90	50.3 /90
S. Larsson	20	721433 min	10.1 /90	30.2 /90	150.9 /90	100.6 /90	352.2 /90	251.6 /90
D. Fofana	13	76983 min	60.5 /90	00 /90	141.3 /90	80.7 /90	90.8 /90	232.1 /90
A. Gray	9	57512 min	00 /90	00 /90	50.9 /90	20.4 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90
Tarık Buğra Kalpaklı	7	38267 min	00 /90	00 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	20.7 /90
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Fatih Karagümrük — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Grbić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Serginho n 8	71.3	1.9 6/5	1.1 5/2
B. Özcan n 8	68.3	1 4/2	0.3 2/0
T. Çukur n 8	41.8	0.8 3/0	0.5 2/0
Ricardo Esgaio n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Fatih Karagümrük — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fatih Karagümrük before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Grbić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Serginho n 8	71.3	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
B. Özcan n 8	68.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Çukur n 8	41.8	0 0/0	0.5 2/0
Ricardo Esgaio n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. Goalkeeper

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ricardo Velho	20	901800 min	693.5 /90	281.4 /90	00 /90
E. Erentürk	8	90720 min	303.8 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gençlerbirliği S.K. before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ricardo Velho n 8	90	3.6 5/5
E. Erentürk n 8	90	3.8 8/6

Gençlerbirliği S.K. Defensive

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Goutas	31	882727 min	371.2 /90	341.1 /90	260.9 /90	1364.5 /90	150.5 /90	40.1 /90
Thalisson Kelven	30	872619 min	461.6 /90	361.2 /90	170.6 /90	1154 /90	321.1 /90	70.2 /90
Ž. Žužek	30	832482 min	351.3 /90	481.7 /90	301.1 /90	1043.8 /90	271 /90	40.1 /90
Pedro Pereira	27	902430 min	521.9 /90	250.9 /90	110.4 /90	1033.8 /90	431.6 /90	110.4 /90
M. Hanousek	17	741252 min	221.6 /90	100.7 /90	20.1 /90	322.3 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90
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Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gençlerbirliği S.K. before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Goutas n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0	—
Thalisson Kelven n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.6 4/1	—
Ž. Žužek n 8	89.9	1.3 6/2	0.5 2/1	Ricardo Esgaio
G. Gürpüz n 8	60	0.9 2/1	0.8 3/1	—
Pedro Pereira n 8	90	1.1 7/2	0.3 2/0	—
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Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gençlerbirliği S.K. before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Goutas n 8	90	0.8 4/1
Thalisson Kelven n 8	90	1 6/2
Ž. Žužek n 8	89.9	1.1 6/2
G. Gürpüz n 8	60	0.9 3/1
Pedro Pereira n 8	90	2.3 7/7
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Gençlerbirliği S.K. Attacking

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Niang	23	741708 min	40.2 /90	20.1 /90	361.9 /90	130.7 /90	90.5 /90	110.6 /90
A. Traoré	14	65913 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	121.2 /90	20.2 /90	121.2 /90	101 /90
C. Çanak	8	39310 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	30.9 /90	92.6 /90
G. Gürpüz	28	691926 min	00 /90	50.2 /90	140.7 /90	30.1 /90	361.7 /90	411.9 /90
M. Mimaroğlu	27	661770 min	50.3 /90	20.1 /90	281.4 /90	160.8 /90	291.5 /90	231.2 /90
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Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gençlerbirliği S.K. before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Goutas n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Thalisson Kelven n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
Ž. Žužek n 8	89.9	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
G. Gürpüz n 8	60	0.9 5/0	0.2 1/0
Pedro Pereira n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
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Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gençlerbirliği S.K. before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Goutas n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Thalisson Kelven n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ž. Žužek n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Gürpüz n 8	60	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pedro Pereira n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Fatih Karagümrük		Gençlerbirliği S.K.
37%	Possession	63%
0.81	Expected goals (xG)	2.14
6	Shots	13
2	Shots on target	4
3	Shots off target	9
1	Blocked shots	0
6	Shots inside the box	11
1	Corners	6
1	Offsides	1
13	Fouls	9
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	1
339	Passes	563
73%	Pass accuracy	86%

Fatih Karagümrük Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
I. Grbić	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
Ricardo Esgaio	90	0	0	0	0	0	6	0	7.5
D. Biraschi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
I. Lichnovsky	90	0	1	0	0	1	2	Y	7.9
F. Mladenović	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
M. Kranevitter	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
S. Babicka	89	0	0	1	0	2	2	0	7.2
T. Çukur	84	1	0	1	1	1	0	Y	7.2
B. Özcan	59	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.9
Traore Ahmed	45	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
Baris Kalayci	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Serginho sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.9
S. Larsson sub	45	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.7
B. Elmaz sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
A. Çınar sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Ç. Kurukalıp sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Gençlerbirliği S.K. Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Ricardo Velho	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
F. Üzüm	90	1	0	0	3	0	6.3
D. Goutas	90	3	1	0	0	Y	6.9
Ž. Žužek	90	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
Ousmane Diabate	90	1	0	0	3	0	7.2
S. Koïta	90	2	0	2	1	0	6.3
A. Dursun	82	0	0	2	0	Y	6.6
F. Tongya	82	2	1	1	3	0	6.7
A. Traoré	78	1	1	2	0	0	6.7
M. Mimaroğlu	78	1	1	2	0	0	6.2
S. Onur	69	2	0	0	1	0	6.6
C. Çanak sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
G. Gürpüz sub	12	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
M. Niang sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Pedro Pereira sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
O. Ülgün sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fatih Karagümrük v Gençlerbirliği S.K. — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Fatih KaragümrükLWLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Gençlerbirliği S.K.LLLWW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Fatih Karagümrük 2 · 0 draws · Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1 · 4.33 goals/game

2025-12-07 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 3–0 Fatih Karagümrük
2021-05-08 Fatih Karagümrük 5–1 Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2021-01-15 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–3 Fatih Karagümrük

League standing · 2025/26

Fatih Karagümrük#18 pos30 pts34 pl-23 GD

Gençlerbirliği S.K.#14 pos34 pts34 pl-11 GD

Goals per game

Fatih Karagümrük scored0.91

Gençlerbirliği S.K. scored1.06

Fatih Karagümrük conceded1.59

Gençlerbirliği S.K. conceded1.38

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fatih Karagümrük v Gençlerbirliği S.K.?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Fatih Karagümrük v Gençlerbirliği S.K. was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Fatih Karagümrük and Gençlerbirliği S.K.?: In their last 3 meetings, Fatih Karagümrük won 2, Gençlerbirliği S.K. won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fatih Karagümrük and Gençlerbirliği S.K.?: Recent form — Fatih Karagümrük 1W 1D 3L; Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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