Kasımpaşa v Samsunspor result

Full-time · Kasımpaşa 4–1 Samsunspor

Süper Lig · · Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kasımpaşa · Samsunspor · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Kasımpaşa 4–1 Samsunspor — Kasımpaşa won this Süper Lig match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away shots total over 9.5.

Free pick
Away shots total over 9.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Kasımpaşa beat Samsunspor 4–1 at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium in the Süper Lig on Sunday 18 October. Samsunspor have lost their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Kasımpaşa led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Kasımpaşa: Cláudio Winck (26’, assisted by A. Kol), A. Arous (31’, assisted by A. Benedyczak; 64’, assisted by J. Rak-Sakyi) and A. Benedyczak (78’, assisted by K. Demirbay); Samsunspor: T. Coulibaly (45’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cláudio Winck’s goal on 26 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Kasımpaşa 2.41, Samsunspor 1.07, from 23 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

F. Tokail showed three yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Kasımpaşa: Elson Mendes (79’); Samsunspor: Afonso Sousa (55’) and E. Watt (89’).

What it changes

Kasımpaşa move up from ninth to seventh (eight league matches played). Kasımpaşa have scored 13 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Kasımpaşa have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Samsunspor move down from 16th to 17th (eight league matches played). Samsunspor have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Samsunspor have conceded 21 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 8, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Arous (Kasımpaşa) 11.8, K. Demirbay (Kasımpaşa) 7.2 and A. Benedyczak (Kasımpaşa) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Samsunspor shots total over 9.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Kasımpaşa next host Çorluspor 1947 on 29 October 2026.

Samsunspor next travel to Başakşehir on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kasımpaşa: Kasımpaşa v Çorluspor 1947, Thursday 29 October — the preview. Next for Samsunspor: Başakşehir v Samsunspor, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Kasımpaşa 4–1 Samsunspor · Süper Lig
  • Venue: Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium · Istanbul
  • Referee: F. Tokail
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kasımpaşa 2 · draws 1 · Samsunspor 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kasımpaşa 1W 3D 1L · Samsunspor 0W 0D 5L

Kasımpaşa 4–1 Samsunspor (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.13
Goals
against 1 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4
Corners
against 7.25 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameKasımpaşa for / againstLineSamsunspor for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 7.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
10.63 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.5 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: F. Tokail.

Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa Goalkeeper

Kasımpaşa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Gianniotis790630 min263.7 /9081.1 /9000 /90
Kasımpaşa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Gianniotis n 890
3.97/5

Kasımpaşa Defensive

Kasımpaşa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Matei Ilie790629 min101.4 /9050.7 /9071 /90253.6 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90
Cláudio Winck789625 min152.2 /9091.3 /9020.3 /90446.3 /9091.3 /9030.4 /90
A. Karapo658350 min153.9 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90328.2 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90
A. Arous490360 min41 /9030.8 /9030.8 /90123 /9030.8 /9000 /90
J. Jessen474296 min82.4 /9041.2 /9000 /90123.6 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90
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Kasımpaşa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Gianniotis n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
Matei Ilie n 789.9
1.13/3
0.32/0
J. Mendes
Cláudio Winck n 889.3
1.57/3
2.16/6
L. Tómasson
A. Benedyczak n 887.9
1.26/2
0.53/1
—
Elson Mendes n 768.1
2.34/3
2.85/2
E. Kılınç
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Kasımpaşa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Matei Ilie n 789.9
1.45/3
Cláudio Winck n 889.3
2.68/4
A. Benedyczak n 887.9
0.11/0
Elson Mendes n 768.1
1.34/2
G. Yalçın n 764.6
1.65/2
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Kasımpaşa Attacking

Kasımpaşa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Benedyczak788614 min40.6 /9010.1 /90192.8 /9091.3 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
J. Rak-Sakyi24793 min11 /9000 /9021.9 /9011 /9000 /9011 /90
T. Diarra22652 min00 /9000 /9011.7 /9011.7 /9000 /9000 /90
Elson Mendes768477 min00 /9010.2 /9030.6 /9010.2 /9081.5 /9010.2 /90
G. Yalçın765452 min20.4 /9000 /9081.6 /9020.4 /9051 /9061.2 /90
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Kasımpaşa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Gianniotis n 890
00/0
00/0
Matei Ilie n 789.9
00/0
00/0
Cláudio Winck n 889.3
1.66/4
0.43/0
A. Benedyczak n 887.9
2.88/8
1.57/3
Elson Mendes n 768.1
0.62/1
0.21/0
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Kasımpaşa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kasımpaşa before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Gianniotis n 890
00/0
00/0
Matei Ilie n 789.9
00/0
00/0
Cláudio Winck n 889.3
00/0
0.32/0
A. Benedyczak n 887.9
0.65/0
0.11/0
Elson Mendes n 768.1
00/0
0.21/0
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Samsunspor

Samsunspor Goalkeeper

Samsunspor — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Okan Kocuk790630 min284 /90121.7 /9000 /90
Samsunspor — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Okan Kocuk n 890
4.17/7

Samsunspor Defensive

Samsunspor — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Tómasson790630 min91.3 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90162.3 /90142 /9010.1 /90
J. Mendes788618 min101.5 /9091.3 /9010.1 /90263.8 /9081.2 /9000 /90
G. Guarino590450 min71.4 /9061.2 /9030.6 /90244.8 /9040.8 /9000 /90
T. Borevković375225 min31.2 /9020.8 /9031.2 /90124.8 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
Y. Çift375225 min41.6 /9041.6 /9000 /90135.2 /9031.2 /9000 /90
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Samsunspor — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Kılınç n 890
1.95/5
0.63/2
Elson Mendes
L. Tómasson n 890
1.86/4
0.32/0
Cláudio Winck
Okan Kocuk n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
J. Mendes n 888
1.36/4
0.42/1
Matei Ilie
C. Yüksel n 881.5
1.45/3
2.17/6
—
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Samsunspor — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Tómasson n 890
1.36/3
E. Kılınç n 890
0.63/1
J. Mendes n 888
1.37/3
C. Yüksel n 881.5
2.87/5
Saikuba Jarju n 675.3
0.42/0
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Samsunspor Attacking

Samsunspor — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Saikuba Jarju675452 min00 /9020.4 /9061.2 /9010.2 /9051 /9051 /90
Fatih Kaya443170 min10.5 /9010.5 /9052.6 /9021.1 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
M. Bayo367202 min00 /9000 /9020.9 /9010.4 /9020.9 /9031.3 /90
Marius19090 min11 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9011 /9011 /90
Marius Mouandilmadji19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Samsunspor — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Kılınç n 890
14/3
0.43/0
L. Tómasson n 890
0.95/2
0.31/1
Okan Kocuk n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mendes n 888
0.43/0
0.32/0
C. Yüksel n 881.5
1.25/4
0.64/0
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Samsunspor — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Samsunspor before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Kılınç n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
L. Tómasson n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Okan Kocuk n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mendes n 888
0.11/0
0.11/0
C. Yüksel n 881.5
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
50%Possession50%
2.41Expected goals (xG)1.07
23Shots12
9Shots on target4
7Shots off target6
7Blocked shots2
15Shots inside the box7
9Corners6
0Offsides2
13Fouls20
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves5
400Passes408
84%Pass accuracy82%

Kasımpaşa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Gianniotis9000000006.9
Cláudio Winck9010211107.9
A. Arous9020321208.3
Matei Ilie9000000107.2
A. Baldursson9000001206.3
Elson Mendes90002202Y7.9
A. Karapo8600002507.9
J. Rak-Sakyi8601105107.5
K. Demirbay8301213307.7
A. Kol8201213207.3
A. Benedyczak8211421007.3
H. Hajradinovic sub1100000006.7
Kevin Mouanga sub800000006.6
T. Diarra sub800000006.3
M. Rafferty sub800000006.6
G. Yalçın sub800000006.5

Samsunspor Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Okan Kocuk9000000006.2
J. Mendes9000100105.9
G. Guarino9000110206.2
L. Tómasson9000110105.9
E. Watt90001054Y7.7
M. Bayo9000212106.6
T. Coulibaly8610111407.2
Y. Kayan8600000105.9
Y. Çift7000000106.2
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger7000100106.2
E. Kılınç4500100106.7
Afonso Sousa sub45001001Y6.9
S. Eraković sub2000000006.5
Y. Sekongo sub2000000106.5
E. Tavşan sub800000006.3
Saikuba Jarju sub800000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kasımpaşa v Samsunspor — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
KasımpaşaDDWDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
SamsunsporLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kasımpaşa 2 · 1 draw · Samsunspor 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-30 Kasımpaşa 0–1 Samsunspor
  • 2025-09-17 Samsunspor 0–0 Kasımpaşa
  • 2025-03-29 Samsunspor 0–2 Kasımpaşa
  • 2024-10-26 Kasımpaşa 1–4 Samsunspor
  • 2024-04-27 Kasımpaşa 1–0 Samsunspor
  • 2023-12-09 Samsunspor 4–2 Kasımpaşa
League standing · 2026/27
Kasımpaşa#6 pos16 pts9 pl+4 GD
Samsunspor#17 pos4 pts9 pl-13 GD
Goals per game
Kasımpaşa scored1.44
Samsunspor scored0.89
Kasımpaşa conceded1
Samsunspor conceded2.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Kasımpaşa v Samsunspor?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kasımpaşa v Samsunspor was Away shots total over 9.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor?
In their last 6 meetings, Kasımpaşa won 2, Samsunspor won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor?
Recent form — Kasımpaşa 1W 3D 1L; Samsunspor 0W 0D 5L.

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