AarhusAC Horsens

Aarhus v AC Horsens prediction

Superliga · · Vejlby Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Aarhus v AC Horsens, Superliga on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 2.38 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 1454 landed (95% range 65.9–70.6%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Aarhus host AC Horsens in the Superliga (Denmark) on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or AC Horsens, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Eight of Aarhus’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Aarhus’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Aarhus have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.29. Aarhus have scored 17 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games). Aarhus have conceded 21 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

10 of AC Horsens’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of AC Horsens’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, AC Horsens have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.56. AC Horsens have scored 23 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games). AC Horsens have conceded 21 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Aarhus (eighth) and AC Horsens (seventh) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Aarhus the stronger side, 41 rating points above AC Horsens (Aarhus 1624, AC Horsens 1583, after at least 179 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 20 September 2026, finished AC Horsens 2–2 Aarhus.

Team news

Predicted Aarhus XI (3-4-2-1): J. Hansen, T. Mølgaard, F. Tingager, C. Rosler, K. Arnstad, M. Knudsen, C. McCowatt, T. Bech, F. Emmery, J. Andersen, J. Bogere — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kristian Arnstad (4.0 per match over 20 appearances, five goals and two assists) and G. Links (3.7 per match over nine appearances) have been Aarhus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aarhus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kristian Arnstad averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1747 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. G. Links averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 541 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last nine appearances.

Predicted AC Horsens XI (4-2-3-1): M. Delac, V. Palsson, I. Milicevic, M. Kupijbida, A. Saine, K. Lusavec, J. Madsen, Y. Ouorou, A. Moro, A. Herdonsson, K. Ehibhatiomhan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Saine (4.0 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and one assist) and K. Ehibhatiomhan (3.5 per match over 11 appearances, four goals) have been AC Horsens’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AC Horsens (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Saine averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1085 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. K. Ehibhatiomhan averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 841 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Superliga · Vejlby Stadion
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Aarhus 4 · draws 1 · AC Horsens 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aarhus 2W 2D 1L · AC Horsens 1W 2D 2L

Aarhus v AC Horsens (Superliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.14 / 3.33
Corners
against 7.43 / 6 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
2.86 / 4.83
Shots on target
against 5.86 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.71 / 2.17
Cards
against 2.29 / 1.83 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAarhus for / againstLineAC Horsens for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.14 for · 7.43 against n 7
9.5standard
3.33 for · 6 against n 6
Shots
11.14 for · 17.86 against n 7
19.5standard
14.67 for · 15.5 against n 6
Shots on target
2.86 for · 5.86 against n 7
8.5standard
4.83 for · 5.5 against n 6
Fouls committed
10.71 for · 14.14 against n 7
21.5standard
17.33 for · 8.33 against n 6
Cards shown
1.71 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2.17 for · 1.83 against n 6

Aarhus

Aarhus Goalkeeper

Aarhus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Hedenstad12871049 min403.4 /90232 /9000 /90
J. Hansen883667 min243.2 /9050.7 /9000 /90
Aarhus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Hedenstad n 889.9
3.36/5
J. Hansen n 883.4
3.26/4

Aarhus Defensive

Aarhus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Andersen1659946 min171.6 /90111 /9050.5 /90434.1 /90191.8 /9010.1 /90
E. Kahl15741113 min231.9 /90181.5 /90110.9 /90604.9 /90110.9 /9020.2 /90
C. Rosler1083831 min60.6 /9060.6 /9080.9 /90242.6 /9080.9 /9020.2 /90
Tobias Mølgaard980723 min101.2 /90101.2 /9060.7 /90364.5 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90
F. Tingager871569 min71.1 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90436.8 /9040.6 /9000 /90
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Aarhus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kristian Arnstad n 886.4
1.46/4
2.27/6
—
Frederik Emmery n 862.9
0.52/1
2.16/4
—
M. Knudsen n 880.3
15/2
1.34/2
—
T. Bech n 865.3
0.94/1
1.66/3
—
J. Andersen n 856.1
1.44/1
1.24/2
—
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Aarhus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kristian Arnstad n 886.4
1.78/4
Frederik Emmery n 862.9
0.73/1
M. Knudsen n 880.3
2.47/5
T. Bech n 865.3
0.92/2
J. Andersen n 856.1
1.85/3
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Aarhus Attacking

Aarhus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Bech17681153 min10.1 /9010.1 /90161.2 /9050.4 /90201.6 /9060.5 /90
J. Bogere1654862 min40.4 /9010.1 /90181.9 /90111.1 /90121.3 /90111.1 /90
S. Jorgensen1171776 min00 /9030.3 /90161.9 /9060.7 /90172 /9070.8 /90
J. Serra1151557 min50.8 /9000 /90162.6 /9071.1 /90101.6 /9040.6 /90
S. Tchamche648287 min00 /9000 /9041.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
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Aarhus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kristian Arnstad n 886.4
1.25/3
0.11/0
Frederik Emmery n 862.9
2.36/3
0.93/2
M. Knudsen n 880.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Bech n 865.3
1.44/3
0.53/0
J. Andersen n 856.1
0.21/0
00/0
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Aarhus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kristian Arnstad n 886.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Frederik Emmery n 862.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Knudsen n 880.3
0.11/0
00/0
T. Bech n 865.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Andersen n 856.1
00/0
0.21/0
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AC Horsens

AC Horsens Goalkeeper

AC Horsens — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Delac13901175 min463.5 /90141.1 /9010.1 /90
AC Horsens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Horsens before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Delac n 890
3.56/6

AC Horsens Defensive

AC Horsens — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. Palsson13891153 min211.6 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90594.6 /9030.2 /9000 /90
A. Saine12901085 min262.2 /9090.7 /9050.4 /90645.3 /90211.7 /9040.3 /90
M. Kupijbida1189974 min131.2 /9090.8 /9090.8 /90333 /90131.2 /9010.1 /90
O. Kolskogen984756 min141.7 /9091.1 /9070.8 /90212.5 /9091.1 /9020.2 /90
I. Milicevic772506 min122.1 /9061.1 /9030.5 /90254.4 /9040.7 /9000 /90
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AC Horsens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Horsens before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Delac n 890
00/0
00/0
—
V. Palsson n 887.4
0.31/1
0.11/0
—
A. Saine n 890
1.98/4
1.37/2
—
J. Madsen n 878.4
2.27/5
15/2
—
K. Lusavec n 877.5
2.37/6
1.34/3
—
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AC Horsens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Horsens before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Palsson n 887.4
1.56/4
A. Saine n 890
15/1
J. Madsen n 878.4
0.63/1
K. Lusavec n 877.5
1.77/4
A. Moro n 862.1
1.43/2
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AC Horsens Attacking

AC Horsens — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Ehibhatiomhan1176841 min40.4 /9000 /90232.5 /90121.3 /9070.7 /90121.3 /90
A. Justinussen1065651 min20.3 /9000 /90121.7 /9050.7 /9071 /9050.7 /90
J. Batigi32575 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /9000 /9022.4 /90
K. Bimpong12424 min00 /9000 /9013.8 /9013.8 /9013.8 /9013.8 /90
J. Madsen1283991 min20.2 /9010.1 /90151.4 /9060.5 /90141.3 /9020.2 /90
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AC Horsens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Horsens before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Delac n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Palsson n 887.4
16/2
0.42/1
A. Saine n 890
0.84/1
0.53/1
J. Madsen n 878.4
1.36/3
0.42/1
K. Lusavec n 877.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
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AC Horsens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Horsens before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Delac n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Palsson n 887.4
00/0
0.32/0
A. Saine n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
J. Madsen n 878.4
0.31/1
00/0
K. Lusavec n 877.5
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aarhus v AC Horsens — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AarhusDWWLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
AC HorsensDDWLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Aarhus 4 · 1 draw · AC Horsens 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-09-20 AC Horsens 2–2 Aarhus
  • 2023-03-03 Aarhus 2–0 AC Horsens
  • 2022-08-26 AC Horsens 2–1 Aarhus
  • 2020-12-16 Aarhus 1–0 AC Horsens
  • 2020-12-13 AC Horsens 1–2 Aarhus
  • 2020-10-18 Aarhus 3–0 AC Horsens
League standing · 2026/27
Aarhus#8 pos12 pts13 pl-4 GD
AC Horsens#7 pos16 pts13 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Aarhus scored1.31
AC Horsens scored1.77
Aarhus conceded1.62
AC Horsens conceded1.62

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 242 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Aarhus v AC Horsens?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aarhus v AC Horsens is Draw or Away (best price 2.38 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Aarhus and AC Horsens?
In their last 6 meetings, Aarhus won 4, AC Horsens won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aarhus and AC Horsens?
Recent form — Aarhus 2W 2D 1L; AC Horsens 1W 2D 2L.

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