Aarhus v Brondby result

Full-time · Aarhus 1–1 Brondby

Superliga · · Vejlby Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aarhus · Brondby · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Aarhus 1–1 Brondby — this Superliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Aarhus and Brondby drew 1–1 at Vejlby Stadion in the Superliga (Denmark) on Saturday 25 July. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Aarhus, from fewer shots (13 to 14), created the better chances, 1.62 xG to 0.91 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Brondby: B. Slisz (52’, assisted by Luis Binks); Aarhus: K. Arnstad (84’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with K. Arnstad’s goal on 84 minutes.

Discipline

M. Krogh showed six yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Aarhus: Eric Kahl (85’); Brondby: M. Kohlert (19’), B. Slisz (26’), F. Bundgaard (56’), M. Divkovic (67’) and Luis Binks (83’).

What it changes

Aarhus are second (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Brondby are second (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Aarhus have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, G. Links (Aarhus) 8.8, Kristian Arnstad (Aarhus) 8.5 and Magnus Knudsen (Aarhus) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Aarhus or Brondby (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Aarhus next host Egnatia Rrogozhinë on 22 October 2026.

Brondby next travel to Randers FC on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aarhus: Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Brondby: Randers FC v Brondby, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Aarhus 1–1 Brondby · Superliga
  • Venue: Vejlby Stadion · Aarhus
  • Referee: M. Krogh
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Aarhus 2 · draws 2 · Brondby 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aarhus 3W 1D 1L · Brondby 1W 1D 3L

Aarhus 1–1 Brondby (Superliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.5
Corners
against 3.5 / 5.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.63 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.75 yellows
Referee · M. Krogh
1.58 home / 2.17 away
over 12 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAarhus for / againstLineBrondby for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
14.38 for · 14.25 against n 8
19.5standard
15.5 for · 11.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 15.13 against n 8
21.5standard
15.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 3.38 against n 8

Referee: M. Krogh — 3.75 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 27.17 fouls over 12 matches (1.58 to the home side, 2.17 to the away side).

Aarhus
Aarhus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kevin Yakob n 852.3
2.46/3
1.55/2
—
M. Anderson n 855.3
2.27/3
3.36/5
—
Nicolai Poulsen n 847.8
1.94/3
0.73/0
—
J. Andersen n 840.9
1.94/3
2.25/3
—
J. Bogere n 617
1.82/0
1.82/0
—
Aarhus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bogere n 617
3.52/1
00/0
M. Anderson n 855.3
2.65/4
24/4
P. Mortensen n 852.1
1.96/2
0.94/0
Kristian Arnstad n 888.5
1.56/5
16/2
Kevin Yakob n 852.3
1.56/1
0.63/0
Aarhus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Kristjansson n 816.1
1.41/1
00/0
Frederik Emmery n 852.9
0.21/0
0.93/1
M. Anderson n 855.3
0.63/0
0.21/0
S. Jorgensen n 836.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
J. Serra n 844.3
0.51/1
00/0
Aarhus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Links n 885.4
3.78/8
M. Knudsen n 887.6
3.38/7
J. Andersen n 840.9
35/2
E. Kahl n 889.1
2.16/6
Nicolai Poulsen n 847.8
2.15/2
Aarhus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Hansen n 883.4
3.96/4
M. Hedenstad n 885
3.86/5
Brondby
Brondby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Dennis n 831.3
58/2
3.23/3
—
Mathias Jensen n 849
3.28/4
1.13/1
—
D. Wass n 864.6
2.17/3
14/1
—
R. Canut n 657.5
2.15/2
0.31/0
—
B. Godfrey n 884.5
25/4
0.11/0
—
Brondby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Dennis n 831.3
3.66/3
1.44/0
J. Ambaek n 878.5
2.38/4
0.93/2
Mayckel Lahdo n 836
2.25/2
1.33/1
S. Fukuda n 856
26/3
14/1
N. Vallys n 884.6
1.76/4
0.94/2
Brondby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mayckel Lahdo n 836
0.31/0
0.62/0
S. Fukuda n 856
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Frokjaer-Jensen n 874.9
0.21/0
0.31/1
F. Bundgaard n 848.3
00/0
0.52/0
N. Vallys n 884.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
Brondby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Canut n 657.5
3.16/5
S. Fukuda n 856
2.86/5
B. Tahirovic n 846.6
2.45/4
O. Sow n 833
2.44/2
B. Slisz n 893.8
2.38/7
Brondby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Pentz n 893.8
3.57/6

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AarhusBrondby
54%Possession46%
1.62Expected goals (xG)0.91
13Shots14
3Shots on target2
7Shots off target7
3Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box10
10Corners6
1Offsides1
12Fouls23
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
1Saves2
388Passes335
81%Pass accuracy81%

Aarhus player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Hansen9000000006.6
F. Tingager9000100007.6
E. Kahl90000002Y7.7
M. Knudsen9000000707.2
Kristian Arnstad9010112207.5
T. Bech9000100006.9
G. Links8800213607.9
J. Andersen7600000306.7
Frederik Emmery7600111207
S. Jorgensen6100100107.3
M. Anderson6100200006.7
J. Jønsson sub2900000206.9
J. Bogere sub2900000006.5
J. Jensen-Abbew sub1400001006.9
R. Carstensen sub1400100007.2
T. Kristjansson sub20000000–

Brondby player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Sonne Schmid9000000007.3
O. Villadsen9000101406.9
J. Vanlerberghe9000000207.2
Luis Binks90010011Y6.2
B. Slisz90101110Y7.2
M. Younis9000311206.3
M. Frokjaer-Jensen8100102006.2
F. Bundgaard73000020Y6.5
M. Ejdum6500000006.3
P. Mortensen6500200006.7
M. Kohlert45000000Y6.5
M. Divkovic sub45000021Y6.7
Mathias Jensen sub2500000206.7
O. Fenger sub2500100006.7
J. Ambaek sub1700000106.6
D. Wass sub900002006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Aarhus v Brondby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AarhusDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BrondbyLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Aarhus 2 · 2 draws · Brondby 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-10 Brondby 0–2 Aarhus
  • 2026-03-22 Aarhus 0–0 Brondby
  • 2025-10-19 Brondby 3–3 Aarhus
  • 2025-09-21 Aarhus 1–0 Brondby
  • 2025-05-25 Aarhus 2–3 Brondby
  • 2025-04-07 Brondby 2–1 Aarhus
League standing · 2026/27
Aarhus#10 pos9 pts11 pl-3 GD
Brondby#5 pos16 pts11 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Aarhus scored1.36
Brondby scored1.64
Aarhus conceded1.64
Brondby conceded1.73

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Aarhus v Brondby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aarhus v Brondby was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Aarhus and Brondby?
In their last 6 meetings, Aarhus won 2, Brondby won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aarhus and Brondby?
Recent form — Aarhus 3W 1D 1L; Brondby 1W 1D 3L.

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