Odense v Aarhus result

Full-time · Odense 1–5 Aarhus

Superliga · · Nature Energy Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Odense · Aarhus · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Odense 1–5 Aarhus — Aarhus won this Superliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 624 landed (95% range 62.1–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Aarhus won 5–1 at Nature Energy Park in the Superliga (Denmark) on Monday 18 August.

The goals

Aarhus led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Aarhus: T. Bech (21’, 24’), K. Arnstad (57’, assisted by Frederik Tingager), P. Mortensen (66’) and G. Links (71’, assisted by K. Arnstad); Odense: J. Arp (45’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Bech’s goal on 21 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Odense 2.73, Aarhus 2.65, from 16 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Krogh showed three yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Odense: M. Ejdum (26’), J. Gomez (36’) and J. Arp (68’).

What it changes

Aarhus’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 5, across six matches. Aarhus are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kristian Arnstad (Aarhus) 9.3, T. Bech (Aarhus) 9.1 and J. Arp (Odense) 7.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.9% of the time in the last 90 days (411 of 624).

Next up

Odense next travel to FC Copenhagen on 26 October 2026.

Aarhus next host Egnatia Rrogozhinë on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Odense: FC Copenhagen v Odense, Monday 26 October — the preview. Next for Aarhus: Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Odense 1–5 Aarhus · Superliga
  • Venue: Nature Energy Park · Odense
  • Referee: M. Krogh
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Odense 2 · draws 2 · Aarhus 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Odense 2W 2D 1L · Aarhus 1W 2D 2L

Odense 1–5 Aarhus (Superliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.75
Corners
against 3 / 2.5 · 0 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 4 matches
3.6 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 3.8 / 6 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 4 matches
1.4 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.4 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 4 matches
3.75 yellows
Referee · M. Krogh
1.58 home / 2.17 away
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameOdense for / againstLineAarhus for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3 against n 5
9.5standard
5.75 for · 2.5 against n 4
Shots
11.6 for · 11.4 against n 5
19.5standard
14.75 for · 14.75 against n 4
Shots on target
3.6 for · 3.8 against n 5
8.5standard
3.75 for · 6 against n 4
Fouls committed
9.2 for · 10.2 against n 5
21.5standard
9.75 for · 9 against n 4
Cards shown
1.4 for · 1.4 against n 5
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.75 against n 4

Referee: M. Krogh — 3.75 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 27.17 fouls over 12 matches (1.58 to the home side, 2.17 to the away side).

Odense
Odense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Arp n 837.5
2.75/4
0.93/0
—
A. Manneh n 834.5
2.36/1
0.31/0
—
T. Trybull n 854.9
2.16/3
0.62/1
—
L. Deedson n 848.8
1.85/3
0.52/0
—
J. Gomez n 857.3
1.44/2
0.42/0
—
Odense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Arp n 837.5
2.74/4
1.23/1
M. Fenger n 887.9
2.67/5
1.56/4
L. Kjerrumgaard n 856
24/3
1.44/3
L. Deedson n 848.8
1.85/2
1.65/2
B. Kadrii n 884.5
1.67/4
0.74/1
Odense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Arp n 837.5
0.31/0
0.62/0
L. Kjerrumgaard n 856
0.62/1
00/0
M. Fenger n 887.9
0.53/1
00/0
L. Deedson n 848.8
0.52/0
00/0
R. Falk n 867.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Odense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Madsen n 732.4
4.46/2
T. Trybull n 854.9
3.37/5
M. McCoy n 360
32/2
M. Ejdum n 751.9
35/4
B. Paulsen n 867.4
2.87/4
Odense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Hansen n 884.4
2.96/5
V. Myhra n 890
2.86/5
Aarhus
Aarhus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kristian Arnstad n 877.3
1.97/4
1.24/3
—
J. Serra n 846.6
1.75/2
1.74/3
—
M. Anderson n 882.8
1.58/2
1.46/3
—
R. Carstensen n 866.5
1.56/2
0.73/1
—
Nicolai Poulsen n 858.4
1.56/2
14/1
—
Aarhus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Duelund n 840.9
3.94/3
1.93/2
Frederik Emmery n 812.1
3.73/1
0.91/0
P. Mortensen n 885.4
2.57/7
1.46/3
J. Serra n 846.6
2.45/3
0.51/1
T. Bech n 868.5
2.16/3
1.55/2
Aarhus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kevin Yakob n 865.8
0.53/0
0.31/1
M. Duelund n 840.9
0.61/1
00/0
T. Bech n 868.5
0.53/0
00/0
P. Mortensen n 885.4
0.43/0
00/0
S. Jorgensen n 851.5
0.41/1
00/0
Aarhus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Frederik Emmery n 812.1
4.64/1
Mads Emil Madsen n 890
38/6
M. Duelund n 840.9
34/3
G. Links n 884
2.57/6
R. Carstensen n 866.5
2.46/6
Aarhus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Leopold Wahlstedt n 890
3.56/6
J. Hansen n 890
2.97/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
OdenseAarhus
49%Possession51%
2.73Expected goals (xG)2.65
16Shots15
6Shots on target8
6Shots off target3
4Blocked shots4
12Shots inside the box11
9Corners5
1Offsides4
16Fouls14
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves5
463Passes490
84%Pass accuracy82%

Odense player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Sander9000000006.3
N. Burgy9000200005.9
B. Paulsen9000311006
R. Falk9000005107
A. Sorensen9000001106.2
N. Ganaus9000000006.5
J. Arp86102240Y7.6
J. Grot7300431006.7
J. Gomez63000001Y5.6
L. Owusu6300000006.3
M. Ejdum63000000Y6.3
J. Askou sub2800000306.3
M. McCoy sub2800000106.2
W. Martin sub2800100006.3
Y. Bojang sub1800000006.6
E. Hansborg sub800000006.3

Aarhus player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Hansen9000000008.2
H. Dalsgaard9000000006.2
F. Tingager9001001107.5
Mads Emil Madsen9000000006.3
G. Links9010110308.2
Kristian Arnstad9011112108.6
E. Kahl7900000106.3
P. Mortensen7610321006.7
F. Beijmo7300210506.9
Nicolai Poulsen7300001106.7
T. Bech7220322009.5
R. Carstensen sub1800000006.3
S. Jorgensen sub1800000006.2
Frederik Emmery sub1800000006.3
J. Serra sub1500110006.9
Luka Callø sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Odense v Aarhus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
OdenseDDWLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
AarhusLDLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Odense 2 · 2 draws · Aarhus 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2024-03-03 Aarhus 1–1 Odense
  • 2023-08-20 Odense 1–1 Aarhus
  • 2023-03-19 Aarhus 1–0 Odense
  • 2022-08-07 Odense 1–2 Aarhus
  • 2022-05-01 Odense 1–0 Aarhus
  • 2022-04-24 Aarhus 1–2 Odense
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Odense#8 pos27 pts22 pl-10 GD
Aarhus#1 pos67 pts32 pl+30 GD
Goals per game
Odense scored1.64
Aarhus scored1.94
Odense conceded2.09
Aarhus conceded1

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Odense v Aarhus?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Odense v Aarhus was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Odense and Aarhus?
In their last 6 meetings, Odense won 2, Aarhus won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Odense and Aarhus?
Recent form — Odense 2W 2D 1L; Aarhus 1W 2D 2L.

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