Aarhus v Sabah FA result

Full-time · Aarhus 2–1 Sabah FA

UEFA Champions League · · Cepheus Park Randers

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Aarhus 2–1 Sabah FA — Aarhus won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1466 landed (95% range 65.6–70.4%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Aarhus beat Sabah FA 2–1 at Cepheus Park Randers in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 5 August. Aarhus have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Sabah FA have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Aarhus led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Aarhus: J. Bogere (31’; 63’, assisted by Magnus Knudsen); Sabah FA: Veljko Simić (66’, assisted by Umarali Rahmonaliyev).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Bogere’s goal on 31 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Aarhus 0.00, Sabah FA 0.00, from 10 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Rade Obrenovič, Slovenia showed four yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Aarhus: G. Links (73’) and Magnus Knudsen (74’); Sabah FA: Veljko Simić (37’) and Joy-Lance Mickels (39’).

What it changes

Aarhus are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Bogere (Aarhus) 9.5, Umarali Rahmonaliyev (Sabah FA) 9.0 and Magnus Knudsen (Aarhus) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Sabah FA, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (998 of 1466).

Next up

Aarhus next travel to Brondby on 1 November 2026.

Sabah FA next travel to Viking on 4 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aarhus: Brondby v Aarhus, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for Sabah FA: Viking v Sabah FA, Wednesday 4 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Aarhus 2–1 Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League
  • Venue: Cepheus Park Randers · Randers
  • Referee: Rade Obrenovič, Slovenia
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Aarhus 2W 2D 1L · Sabah FA 4W 0D 1L

Aarhus 2–1 Sabah FA (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AarhusSabah FA
44%Possession56%
10Shots15
3Shots on target4
3Shots off target10
4Blocked shots1
4Shots inside the box5
6Corners5
0Offsides1
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves1
352Passes439
80%Pass accuracy85%

Aarhus Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Hedenstad9000000006.5
E. Kahl9000001306.7
M. Knudsen90010012Y7.3
T. Bech9000212106.6
J. Bogere9020321008.7
Kristian Arnstad9000000006.3
C. Rosler8100000006.9
M. Anderson8100000407
Frederik Emmery7100100206.3
J. Jønsson4500000106.9
F. Tingager2900000106.9
J. Andersen sub6100000006.2
R. Carstensen sub4500001206.7
G. Links sub19000000Y6.6
Christian Storch sub900000006.6
J. Serra sub900000006.7

Sabah FA Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Stas Pokatilov9000000106.9
A. Zedadka9000000006.3
S. Solvet9000101106
R. Daşdəmirov9000000206.5
Tymoteusz Puchacz9000201006
U. Rahmonaliyev9001313406.9
I. Lepinjica9000101106.3
V. Simić89101101Y6.9
J. Mickels89002120Y6.7
A. Isaev7900311207
K. Parris6500102306.9
P. Mbina sub2500000006.7
X. Severina sub1100000006.7
A. Xaybulayev sub10000010–
Y. Lachaab sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aarhus v Sabah FA — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AarhusWLDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Sabah FALWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
AarhusNot in this league table
Sabah FA#25 pos3 pts3 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Aarhus scored2.6
Sabah FA scored1
Aarhus conceded1.8
Sabah FA conceded2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Aarhus v Sabah FA?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aarhus v Sabah FA was Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Aarhus and Sabah FA?
Recent form — Aarhus 2W 2D 1L; Sabah FA 4W 0D 1L.

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