Bodo/Glimt v Lille prediction

UEFA Champions League · · Aspmyra Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Bodo/Glimt v Lille, UEFA Champions League on Tue, 03 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.45 at Betvictor
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bodo/Glimt host Lille in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 3 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Bodo/Glimt’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of Bodo/Glimt’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Bodo/Glimt have seven wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.63 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.25.

Five of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Lille have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00.

Bodo/Glimt (28th) and Lille (35th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bodo/Glimt the stronger side, 245 rating points above Lille (Bodo/Glimt 1817, Lille 1572, after at least 31 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Bodo/Glimt XI (4-3-3): N. Haikin, F. Sjøvold, O. Bjørtuft, F. Bjørkan, J. Gundersen, P. Berg, S. Fet, J. Hauge, O. Blomberg, A. Helmersen, O. Brynhildsen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kasper Høgh (5.1 per match over 12 appearances, seven goals and four assists) and Jens Hauge (4.6 per match over 28 appearances, eight goals and seven assists) have been Bodo/Glimt’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bodo/Glimt (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kasper Høgh averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1869 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Jens Hauge averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1991 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lille XI (4-3-3): B. Özer, N. Ngoy, A. Ribeiro, R. Perraud, M. Goffi, N. Bentaleb, N. Mukau, B. André, H. Haraldsson, S. Diaoune, E. Mbappé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Soriba Diaoune (4.4 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) and Tiago Santos (4.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals) have been Lille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Santos averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 562 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League · Aspmyra Stadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Bodo/Glimt 3W 0D 2L · Lille 1W 2D 2L

Bodo/Glimt v Lille (UEFA Champions League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4
Corners
against 3 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.5 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBodo/Glimt for / againstLineLille for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.25our book
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 3 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
18.88 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 11.88 against n 8
Shots on target
6.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.38 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 15.38 against n 8
Cards shown
0.5 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt Goalkeeper

Bodo/Glimt — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Nikita Haikin28882475 min702.5 /90150.5 /9000 /90
Julian Lund375225 min31.2 /9020.8 /9000 /90
Bodo/Glimt — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bodo/Glimt before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nikita Haikin n 884.4
3.77/6
Julian Lund n 884.4
1.64/1

Bodo/Glimt Defensive

Bodo/Glimt — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Fredrik Sjøvold30872599 min622.1 /90321.1 /90110.4 /90963.3 /90180.6 /9010 /90
Odin Luras Bjørtuft29872536 min351.2 /90240.9 /90110.4 /901264.5 /90281 /9010 /90
Fredrik André Bjørkan27651765 min361.8 /90130.7 /9070.4 /90824.2 /90170.9 /9000 /90
Haitam Aleesami19771459 min171 /90150.9 /9040.2 /90654 /90120.7 /9000 /90
Isak Dybvik Määttä18591057 min191.6 /9080.7 /9010.1 /90484.1 /9040.3 /9000 /90
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Bodo/Glimt — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bodo/Glimt before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fredrik Sjøvold n 886.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
Ole Didrik Blomberg n 875.9
15/1
1.36/3
—
Odin Luras Bjørtuft n 886
1.35/3
0.43/0
—
Sondre Auklend n 873.5
1.14/2
2.68/6
—
Nikita Haikin n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
—
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Bodo/Glimt — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bodo/Glimt before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Fredrik Sjøvold n 886.4
1.86/3
Ole Didrik Blomberg n 875.9
0.64/0
Odin Luras Bjørtuft n 886
1.45/3
Sondre Auklend n 873.5
47/6
Patrick Berg n 889
2.76/5
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Bodo/Glimt Attacking

Bodo/Glimt — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ole Didrik Blomberg30772319 min60.2 /9070.3 /90331.3 /90200.8 /90592.3 /90240.9 /90
Andreas Helmersen20661328 min140.9 /9010.1 /90573.9 /90271.8 /90120.8 /9040.3 /90
O. Brynhildsen1462868 min20.2 /9000 /90272.8 /90141.5 /9090.9 /9040.4 /90
Kasper Høgh1278938 min70.7 /9040.4 /90302.9 /90171.6 /90141.3 /9080.8 /90
Daniel Bassi726183 min00 /9010.5 /9021 /9000 /9052.5 /9010.5 /90
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Bodo/Glimt — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bodo/Glimt before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Fredrik Sjøvold n 886.4
1.26/3
0.32/0
Ole Didrik Blomberg n 875.9
1.97/2
0.95/1
Odin Luras Bjørtuft n 886
0.95/2
0.11/0
Sondre Auklend n 873.5
0.94/2
0.64/0
Nikita Haikin n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Bodo/Glimt — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bodo/Glimt before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fredrik Sjøvold n 886.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Ole Didrik Blomberg n 875.9
0.11/0
0.32/0
Odin Luras Bjørtuft n 886
00/0
00/0
Sondre Auklend n 873.5
00/0
0.32/0
Nikita Haikin n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Lille

Lille Goalkeeper

Lille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Özer1190990 min353.2 /9070.6 /9000 /90
Orlando Gill19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Özer n 890
2.86/4

Lille Defensive

Lille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alexsandro Ribeiro1190990 min181.6 /90141.3 /90100.9 /90504.5 /9050.5 /9000 /90
N. Ngoy1190990 min90.8 /90121.1 /9040.4 /90353.2 /9070.6 /9000 /90
R. Perraud1177852 min192 /9070.7 /9030.3 /90424.4 /9070.7 /9030.3 /90
Tiago Santos780562 min132.1 /9050.8 /9000 /90386.1 /9071.1 /9000 /90
M. Goffi670422 min112.3 /9081.7 /9000 /90214.5 /9051.1 /9020.4 /90
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Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Haraldsson n 874.6
0.84/1
2.17/5
—
N. Bentaleb n 874.9
1.76/2
0.52/1
—
N. Ngoy n 890
0.53/1
0.64/1
—
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 890
0.43/0
0.95/2
—
B. Özer n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
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Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 874.6
0.63/1
N. Bentaleb n 874.9
1.25/2
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 890
1.66/5
N. Ngoy n 890
0.84/1
R. Perraud n 880.1
26/5
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Lille Attacking

Lille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Bakwa1055546 min20.3 /9010.2 /90122 /9040.7 /90101.6 /9061 /90
O. Giroud950446 min30.6 /9020.4 /9091.8 /9051 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
A. Ueda664382 min30.7 /9000 /90112.6 /9081.9 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
G. Perrin635208 min00 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9000 /9010.4 /9020.9 /90
O. Sahraoui527133 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9042.7 /9032 /90
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Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 874.6
0.52/1
0.21/0
N. Bentaleb n 874.9
1.27/1
0.53/0
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 890
0.83/2
0.11/0
N. Ngoy n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
B. Özer n 890
00/0
00/0
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Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 874.6
00/0
0.21/0
N. Bentaleb n 874.9
00/0
00/0
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
B. Özer n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Ngoy n 890
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bodo/Glimt v Lille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bodo/GlimtWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
LilleLDLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Bodo/Glimt#28 pos3 pts3 pl-5 GD
Lille#35 pos0 pts3 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Bodo/Glimt scored1.33
Lille scored1.33
Bodo/Glimt conceded3
Lille conceded3.33

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Bodo/Glimt v Lille?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bodo/Glimt v Lille is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.45 at Betvictor).
What is the recent form of Bodo/Glimt and Lille?
Recent form — Bodo/Glimt 3W 0D 2L; Lille 1W 2D 2L.

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