KuPS v Vardar Skopje result

Full-time · KuPS 2–3 Vardar Skopje

UEFA Champions League · Tue, 14 Jul 2026 16:00 BST · Vare Areena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

KuPS 2–3 Vardar Skopje — Vardar Skopje won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

Best price: 2.40 at Unibet

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Vardar Skopje won 3–2 at Vare Areena in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 14 July.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Vardar Skopje: A. Omeragic (59’, assisted by Boban Nikolov), Goran Zakaric (90’ pen) and I. Puleio (102’, assisted by Goran Zakaric); KuPS: Bob Armah (100’, assisted by Clinton Antwi) and Piotr Parzyszek (105’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Omeragic’s goal on 59 minutes.

Discipline

M. MacDermid showed eight yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — KuPS: Akseli Puukko (24’), Valentín Gasc (44’), Piotr Parzyszek (90+6’) and Saku Savolainen (90+11’); Vardar Skopje: G. Rodrigues (44’), Ediz Spahiu (87’), Nenad Mishkovski (113’) and F. Cvetkovski (120+2’).

What it changes

KuPS sit sixth on three points from two games with a goal difference of +1 (2026/27 so far).

Vardar Skopje sit 12th on three points from two games with a goal difference of -1 (2026/27 so far).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).

Next up

KuPS next travel to SC Braga on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for KuPS: SC Braga v KuPS, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: KuPS 2–3 Vardar Skopje · UEFA Champions League
Venue: Vare Areena · Kuopio
Referee: M. MacDermid
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): KuPS 1 · draws 0 · Vardar Skopje 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: KuPS 1W 2D 2L · Vardar Skopje 2W 1D 2L

KuPS 2–3 Vardar Skopje (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

3.43 / 4.67

Corners

against 6.43 / 4.33 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 3 matches

1.71 / 4.67

Shots on target

against 5.57 / 4.67 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 3 matches

0.86 / 1.33

Cards

against 1.86 / 1.33 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 3 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	KuPS for / against	Line	Vardar Skopje for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.43 for · 6.43 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.67 for · 4.33 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	8.14 for · 17 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	11.67 for · 11.33 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	1.71 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.67 for · 4.67 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.29 for · 8.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.67 for · 10 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	0.86 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.33 for · 1.33 against n 3 Last 5

KuPS

KuPS Goalkeeper

KuPS — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Kreidl n 8	90	4 6/5

KuPS Defensive

KuPS — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Engvall	1	6868 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90

KuPS — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
V. Gasc n 3	90	2 2/2	0.7 2/0	B. Nikolov
P. Pennanen n 8	73.4	1.1 4/3	0.6 4/0	B. Nikolov
C. Antwi n 8	73.4	0.9 4/2	0.5 3/0	D. Velkovski
J. Kreidl n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
B. Armah n 7	67.4	1 4/1	1.3 3/2	—
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KuPS — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
V. Gasc n 3	90	2 2/2
P. Pennanen n 8	73.4	1.2 5/2
C. Antwi n 8	73.4	0.8 5/0
B. Armah n 7	67.4	1.3 5/2
G. Engvall n 3	82.7	0.7 2/0
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KuPS Attacking

KuPS — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists
B. Magassa	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90
C. Antwi	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90
B. Armah	1	8686 min	11 /90	00 /90

KuPS — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Pennanen n 8	73.4	1.1 3/2	0.5 2/1
C. Antwi n 8	73.4	0.6 3/1	0.3 1/1
V. Gasc n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
J. Kreidl n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Armah n 7	67.4	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
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KuPS — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Antwi n 8	73.4	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
J. Kreidl n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Gasc n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Pennanen n 8	73.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Armah n 7	67.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Vardar Skopje

Vardar Skopje Goalkeeper

Vardar Skopje — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vardar Skopje before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Taleski n 3	90	1.7 1/1

Vardar Skopje Defensive

Vardar Skopje — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Yellow cards
M. Matic	1	9090 min	11 /90
B. Nikolov	1	9090 min	11 /90
D. Danev	1	2828 min	13.2 /90

Vardar Skopje — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vardar Skopje before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Nikolov n 7	80.1	1.1 4/2	1.4 3/3	P. Pennanen
G. Jankulov n 3	80	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0	—
D. Taleski n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
M. Matic n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
D. Velkovski n 3	68.7	0 0/0	0 0/0	C. Antwi
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Vardar Skopje — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vardar Skopje before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Jankulov n 3	80	1.1 2/1
M. Matic n 3	90	0.7 2/0
B. Nikolov n 7	80.1	0 0/0
D. Velkovski n 3	68.7	0 0/0
A. Omeragic n 3	80.3	0.7 2/0
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Vardar Skopje Attacking

Vardar Skopje — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vardar Skopje before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Nikolov n 7	80.1	1.6 4/3	0.5 2/1
G. Jankulov n 3	80	0.4 1/0	0 0/0
D. Taleski n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Matic n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Velkovski n 3	68.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Vardar Skopje — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vardar Skopje before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Nikolov n 7	80.1	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
D. Taleski n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Matic n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Jankulov n 3	80	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Velkovski n 3	68.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
KuPS		Vardar Skopje
55%	Possession	45%
14	Shots	11
4	Shots on target	5
10	Shots off target	6
0	Blocked shots	0
12	Corners	6
4	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind KuPS v Vardar Skopje — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

KuPSDDLLW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game

Vardar SkopjeWDWLL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

KuPS 1 · 0 draws · Vardar Skopje 0 · 2 goals/game

2026-07-07 Vardar Skopje 0–2 KuPS

Goals per game

KuPS scored0.8

Vardar Skopje scored1.4

KuPS conceded1

Vardar Skopje conceded2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for KuPS v Vardar Skopje?: TACTIX’s free model pick for KuPS v Vardar Skopje was Under 2.5 goals (best price 2.40 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between KuPS and Vardar Skopje?: In their last 1 meetings, KuPS won 1, Vardar Skopje won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of KuPS and Vardar Skopje?: Recent form — KuPS 1W 2D 2L; Vardar Skopje 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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