Manchester United v AS Roma prediction

UEFA Champions League · Tue, 03 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · Old Trafford

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 14:18 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Manchester United v AS Roma, UEFA Champions League on Tue, 03 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Manchester United host AS Roma in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 3 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Manchester United are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions. AS Roma are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. AS Roma have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Manchester United have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.71.

Nine of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, AS Roma have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 0.86.

Manchester United (21st) and AS Roma (15th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AS Roma the stronger side, 126 rating points above Manchester United (AS Roma 1724, Manchester United 1599, after at least 23 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 6 May 2021, finished AS Roma 3–2 Manchester United.

Team news

Predicted Manchester United XI (4-2-3-1): S. Lammens, D. Dalot, H. Maguire, L. Yoro, L. Martínez, A. Santos, B. Fernandes, Y. Tielemans, C. Baleba, A. Diallo, B. Mbeumo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bruno Fernandes (4.0 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and one assist) and Youri Tielemans (3.7 per match over 12 appearances, three assists) have been Manchester United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bruno Fernandes averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1923 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Youri Tielemans averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1875 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted AS Roma XI (3-4-2-1): P. Gollini, E. Ndicka, G. Mancini, Hermoso, N. Pisilli, M. de Roon, B. Cristante, N. Molina, Wesley, E. Lulli, M. Soulé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Donyell Malen (6.4 per match over 11 appearances, 10 goals and three assists) and M. Soulé (4.6 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been AS Roma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AS Roma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Donyell Malen averages 3.8 shots per 90 over 1159 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. M. Soulé averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 815 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · UEFA Champions League · Old Trafford
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Manchester United 1 · draws 0 · AS Roma 1 · 6.5 goals/game
Recent form: Manchester United 0W 1D 4L · AS Roma 3W 1D 1L

Manchester United v AS Roma (UEFA Champions League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 2.5

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.63 / 6.25

Corners

against 3.38 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 5.63

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.13 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Manchester United for / against	Line	AS Roma for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	2.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.63 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.25 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.63 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17.5 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.5 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Manchester United

Manchester United Goalkeeper

Manchester United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Lammens	12	901080 min	363 /90	141.2 /90	00 /90
K. Darlow	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Manchester United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Lammens n 8	90	3.4 6/5

Manchester United Defensive

Manchester United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Diogo Dalot	11	83909 min	212.1 /90	151.5 /90	20.2 /90	565.5 /90	111.1 /90	20.2 /90
H. Maguire	10	90900 min	131.3 /90	171.7 /90	40.4 /90	585.8 /90	80.8 /90	40.4 /90
Lisandro Martínez	10	76763 min	91.1 /90	70.8 /90	60.7 /90	242.8 /90	111.3 /90	10.1 /90
Leny Yoro	8	75599 min	162.4 /90	162.4 /90	10.2 /90	243.6 /90	71.1 /90	00 /90
N. Mazraoui	6	69412 min	102.2 /90	20.4 /90	30.7 /90	204.4 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
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Manchester United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Mbeumo n 8	81.3	1 4/2	1 6/1	—
S. Lammens n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Bruno Fernandes n 8	76.8	0.7 3/2	1 3/3	—
Y. Tielemans n 8	73.9	0.9 5/1	2.1 7/4	—
Diogo Dalot n 8	82.6	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0	—
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Manchester United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 8	81.3	0.8 5/1
Bruno Fernandes n 8	76.8	1.5 7/2
Y. Tielemans n 8	73.9	2.6 7/4
Diogo Dalot n 8	82.6	2.5 8/5
H. Maguire n 8	90	1.5 6/3
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Manchester United Attacking

Manchester United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Matheus Cunha	10	75745 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	172.1 /90	91.1 /90	121.4 /90	50.6 /90
J. Zirkzee	6	24146 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	53.1 /90	31.8 /90	31.8 /90	63.7 /90
Benjamin Šeško	5	39196 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	41.8 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90	20.9 /90
B. Mbeumo	13	831082 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	231.9 /90	141.2 /90	201.7 /90	110.9 /90
Bruno Fernandes	12	81974 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	232.1 /90	90.8 /90	282.6 /90	40.4 /90
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Manchester United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 8	81.3	1.8 7/4	1.1 6/2
S. Lammens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bruno Fernandes n 8	76.8	1.9 8/3	0.4 3/0
Y. Tielemans n 8	73.9	1.1 4/1	0.2 1/0
Diogo Dalot n 8	82.6	0.7 3/2	0 0/0
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Manchester United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 8	81.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
S. Lammens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bruno Fernandes n 8	76.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Tielemans n 8	73.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Diogo Dalot n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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AS Roma

AS Roma Goalkeeper

AS Roma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Svilar	6	90540 min	172.8 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90
P. Gollini	6	90540 min	203.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90

AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Gollini n 7	90	2.9 4/4
M. Svilar n 8	90	2.8 7/5

AS Roma Defensive

AS Roma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Hermoso	11	74812 min	161.8 /90	252.8 /90	50.6 /90	424.7 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90
G. Mancini	10	79785 min	171.9 /90	101.1 /90	10.1 /90	364.1 /90	141.6 /90	10.1 /90
E. Ndicka	9	81727 min	50.6 /90	141.7 /90	30.4 /90	374.6 /90	162 /90	10.1 /90
L. Balerdi	9	52464 min	173.3 /90	152.9 /90	30.6 /90	356.8 /90	91.7 /90	10.2 /90
D. Ghilardi	4	58232 min	93.5 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	238.9 /90	51.9 /90	10.4 /90
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AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Soulé n 8	70.5	0.2 1/0	1.1 6/1	—
Hermoso n 8	70.5	1.1 4/2	1 5/1	—
D. Malen n 8	69.3	0.8 4/1	0.6 4/0	—
Wesley n 8	80.5	1.3 7/2	1.3 6/3	—
G. Mancini n 8	75.6	1.6 6/4	0.3 2/0	—
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AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Soulé n 8	70.5	0.8 3/2
Hermoso n 8	70.5	1.1 5/1
D. Malen n 8	69.3	0.2 1/0
Wesley n 8	80.5	1.8 6/3
G. Mancini n 8	75.6	1.9 6/3
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AS Roma Attacking

AS Roma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Soulé	12	64770 min	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	252.9 /90	131.5 /90	212.5 /90	242.8 /90
D. Malen	11	68752 min	101.2 /90	30.4 /90	384.5 /90	182.2 /90	192.3 /90	192.3 /90
P. Dybala	8	79631 min	00 /90	40.6 /90	223.1 /90	81.1 /90	273.9 /90	50.7 /90
S. Castro	8	39314 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	164.6 /90	20.6 /90	41.1 /90	30.9 /90
Wesley	10	79794 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90	232.6 /90	60.7 /90
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AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Soulé n 8	70.5	2.2 7/3	1 5/1
Hermoso n 8	70.5	1 4/1	0.3 2/0
D. Malen n 8	69.3	4.4 8/7	1.8 6/3
Wesley n 8	80.5	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
G. Mancini n 8	75.6	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0
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AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Soulé n 8	70.5	0.2 1/0	0.3 1/1
Hermoso n 8	70.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
D. Malen n 8	69.3	0.8 4/1	0.5 3/0
Wesley n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
G. Mancini n 8	75.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester United v AS Roma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Manchester UnitedLDLLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

AS RomaLWWDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Manchester United 1 · 0 draws · AS Roma 1 · 6.5 goals/game

2021-05-06 AS Roma 3–2 Manchester United
2021-04-29 Manchester United 6–2 AS Roma

League standing · 2026/27

Manchester United#21 pos3 pts3 pl-1 GD

AS Roma#15 pos4 pts3 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Manchester United scored1.67

AS Roma scored2.67

Manchester United conceded2

AS Roma conceded1.67

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Manchester United v AS Roma?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester United v AS Roma is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United and AS Roma?: In their last 2 meetings, Manchester United won 1, AS Roma won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 6.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester United and AS Roma?: Recent form — Manchester United 0W 1D 4L; AS Roma 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 14:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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