Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP prediction

UEFA Champions League · Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT · Stamford Bridge

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 14:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Shakhtar Donetsk · Sporting CP

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP, UEFA Champions League on Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.26 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Shakhtar Donetsk host Sporting CP in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 3 November (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Shakhtar Donetsk or Sporting CP (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Sporting CP have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Shakhtar Donetsk’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Shakhtar Donetsk’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Shakhtar Donetsk have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 0.75.

11 of Sporting CP’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Sporting CP’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Sporting CP have four wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.33 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 0.67.

Shakhtar Donetsk (17th) and Sporting CP (12th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sporting CP the stronger side, 300 rating points above Shakhtar Donetsk (Sporting CP 1964, Shakhtar Donetsk 1664, after at least 47 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Shakhtar Donetsk XI (4-1-4-1): D. Riznyk, M. Matvienko, P. Henrique, V. Bondar, V. Tobias, Y. Nazaryna, A. Santana, N. Palmares, M. Gomes, D. Kryskiv, K. Elias — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dmytro Riznyk (3.1 per match over eight appearances) and G. Mendoza (2.9 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Shakhtar Donetsk’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Shakhtar Donetsk (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dmytro Riznyk averages 1.2 saves per 90 over 810 minutes, with two or more saves in three of the last nine appearances. G. Mendoza averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 457 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Sporting CP XI (4-3-3): Kaique, G. Inácio, I. Fresneda, M. Araújo, E. Quaresma, S. Altimira, I. Doumbia, N. Irankunda, L. Suárez, G. Catamo, F. Ioannidis — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Suárez (5.6 per match over 13 appearances, 12 goals and one assist) and Sergi Altimira (4.7 per match over 13 appearances, one goal) have been Sporting CP’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sporting CP (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Suárez averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 1528 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Sergi Altimira averages 0.2 key passes per 90 over 1162 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT · UEFA Champions League · Stamford Bridge
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Shakhtar Donetsk 3W 1D 1L · Sporting CP 3W 0D 2L

Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP (UEFA Champions League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2

Goals

against 0.5 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

3.71 / 4.5

Corners

against 2.29 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.38 / 5

Shots on target

against 1.63 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.25 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Shakhtar Donetsk for / against	Line	Sporting CP for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.71 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.29 for · 6.43 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	15.13 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.2 for · 8 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	11.75 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk Goalkeeper

Shakhtar Donetsk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Dmytro Riznyk	8	90720 min	70.9 /90	–	00 /90

Shakhtar Donetsk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shakhtar Donetsk before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Dmytro Riznyk n 8	90	0.9 2/1

Shakhtar Donetsk Defensive

Shakhtar Donetsk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Mykola Matvienko	8	81644 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	00 /90	10.1 /90
Pedro Henrique	7	88613 min	41.3 /90	103.3 /90	10.3 /90	113.7 /90	31 /90	10.1 /90
Vinícius Tobias	6	90540 min	72.3 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90	124 /90	41.3 /90	20.3 /90
Valerii Bondar	6	89532 min	20.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	93 /90	31 /90	10.2 /90
Newerton Palmares	7	57398 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.7 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Shakhtar Donetsk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shakhtar Donetsk before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Dmytro Riznyk n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Mykola Matvienko n 8	80.5	0 1/0	0.3 4/2	—
Pedro Henrique n 8	87.9	0.8 5/2	1.5 4/3	—
Newerton Palmares n 8	61	1.4 3/1	0 1/0	—
Vinícius Tobias n 8	82.1	1.4 6/3	1.6 5/3	—
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Shakhtar Donetsk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shakhtar Donetsk before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Mykola Matvienko n 8	80.5	0.3 3/1
Pedro Henrique n 8	87.9	1.3 5/1
Newerton Palmares n 8	61	0 2/0
Vinícius Tobias n 8	82.1	1.6 3/2
Valerii Bondar n 8	89	0.6 5/1
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Shakhtar Donetsk Attacking

Shakhtar Donetsk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Traore	5	48239 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.1 /90	00 /90	24.3 /90	00 /90
Kauã Elias	4	75298 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Luca Meirelles	3	53160 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Newerton Palmares	7	57398 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	32.6 /90	10.9 /90	21.7 /90	10.9 /90
Alisson Santana	6	79474 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90	20.7 /90	93.1 /90
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Shakhtar Donetsk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shakhtar Donetsk before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Dmytro Riznyk n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mykola Matvienko n 8	80.5	0.7 3/2	0.3 1/0
Pedro Henrique n 8	87.9	0.8 3/2	0 0/0
Newerton Palmares n 8	61	2.8 5/3	0.5 2/0
Vinícius Tobias n 8	82.1	0.5 4/0	0.2 1/0
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Shakhtar Donetsk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shakhtar Donetsk before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Dmytro Riznyk n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mykola Matvienko n 8	80.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Pedro Henrique n 8	87.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Newerton Palmares n 8	61	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Vinícius Tobias n 8	82.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Sporting CP

Sporting CP Goalkeeper

Sporting CP — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Rui Silva	9	90810 min	192.1 /90	70.8 /90	00 /90
Kaique	4	90360 min	123 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Sporting CP — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Rui Silva n 8	90	2.1 6/3
Kaique n 4	90	3 3/2

Sporting CP Defensive

Sporting CP — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Gonçalo Inácio	12	901080 min	151.3 /90	131.1 /90	20.2 /90	413.4 /90	80.7 /90	20.2 /90
M. Araújo	12	841010 min	181.6 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	615.4 /90	131.2 /90	40.4 /90
Iván Fresneda	10	90895 min	202 /90	80.8 /90	00 /90	383.8 /90	161.6 /90	10.1 /90
Eduardo Quaresma	9	75672 min	192.5 /90	60.8 /90	30.4 /90	445.9 /90	70.9 /90	20.3 /90
Z. Debast	5	80399 min	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	153.4 /90	51.1 /90	00 /90
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Sporting CP — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Sergi Altimira n 8	89.4	0.9 6/1	1.3 6/4	—
Issa Doumbia n 8	76	0.9 4/2	0.4 2/1	—
L. Suárez n 8	79	1.6 6/3	1 6/1	—
Geny Catamo n 8	68.8	0.7 3/1	2.3 6/4	—
Gonçalo Inácio n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.6 4/1	—
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Sporting CP — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Sergi Altimira n 8	89.4	2.4 8/6
Issa Doumbia n 8	76	1 5/2
L. Suárez n 8	79	1 5/2
Geny Catamo n 8	68.8	1 3/1
Gonçalo Inácio n 8	90	1.5 7/4
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Sporting CP Attacking

Sporting CP — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Suárez	13	70913 min	121.2 /90	10.1 /90	363.5 /90	181.8 /90	80.8 /90	141.4 /90
N. Irankunda	9	55495 min	00 /90	20.4 /90	101.8 /90	20.4 /90	183.3 /90	122.2 /90
Luis Guilherme	9	44392 min	00 /90	00 /90	71.6 /90	40.9 /90	112.5 /90	71.6 /90
F. Ioannidis	8	40317 min	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	144 /90	51.4 /90	61.7 /90	41.1 /90
J. Derry	2	1632 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	25.6 /90
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Sporting CP — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Sergi Altimira n 8	89.4	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
Issa Doumbia n 8	76	1 6/1	0.1 1/0
L. Suárez n 8	79	4.4 8/6	1.9 8/4
Geny Catamo n 8	68.8	2.1 7/5	1 3/2
Gonçalo Inácio n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
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Sporting CP — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Sergi Altimira n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Issa Doumbia n 8	76	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
L. Suárez n 8	79	1.1 7/1	0 0/0
Geny Catamo n 8	68.8	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
Gonçalo Inácio n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Shakhtar DonetskWWWLD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Sporting CPWWLLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Shakhtar Donetsk#17 pos4 pts3 pl+1 GD

Sporting CP#12 pos6 pts3 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Shakhtar Donetsk scored1.33

Sporting CP scored2.33

Shakhtar Donetsk conceded1

Sporting CP conceded1.33

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP is Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP?: Recent form — Shakhtar Donetsk 3W 1D 1L; Sporting CP 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 14:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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