Beitar JerusalemAEK Larnaca

Beitar Jerusalem v AEK Larnaca result

Full-time · Beitar Jerusalem 2–3 AEK Larnaca

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Stadionul Ilie Oană

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Beitar Jerusalem 2–3 AEK Larnaca — AEK Larnaca won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

AEK Larnaca won 3–2 at Stadionul Ilie Oană in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 30 July.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — AEK Larnaca: H. Milicevic (26’ pen, 52’) and R. Bajic (90’); Beitar Jerusalem: Omer Atzili (45’ pen; 87’, assisted by Nana Antwi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Bajic’s goal on 90 minutes.

What it changes

Beitar Jerusalem have scored six goals, the 48th-most (shared) of the 165 clubs (this season so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Beitar Jerusalem have conceded six goals, the 75th-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs.

AEK Larnaca have scored three goals, the 48th-most (shared) of the 165 clubs (the most recent table TACTIX holds, after 2 games, ranked per game). AEK Larnaca have conceded three goals, the 75th-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Beitar Jerusalem or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Beitar Jerusalem 2–3 AEK Larnaca · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Venue: Stadionul Ilie Oană · Ploiesti
  • Referee: F. Verissimo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Beitar Jerusalem 1 · draws 0 · AEK Larnaca 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Beitar Jerusalem 4W 0D 1L · AEK Larnaca 1W 2D 2L

Beitar Jerusalem 2–3 AEK Larnaca (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Beitar Jerusalem v AEK Larnaca — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Beitar JerusalemWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
AEK LarnacaDWDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Beitar Jerusalem 1 · 0 draws · AEK Larnaca 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2026-07-23 AEK Larnaca 0–1 Beitar Jerusalem
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position from an earlier season — not updated during the season.
Beitar JerusalemNot in this league table
AEK Larnaca#8 pos12 pts6 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Beitar Jerusalem scored2.2
AEK Larnaca scored1.17
Beitar Jerusalem conceded1.4
AEK Larnaca conceded0.17

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Beitar Jerusalem v AEK Larnaca?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Beitar Jerusalem v AEK Larnaca was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Beitar Jerusalem and AEK Larnaca?
In their last 1 meetings, Beitar Jerusalem won 1, AEK Larnaca won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Beitar Jerusalem and AEK Larnaca?
Recent form — Beitar Jerusalem 4W 0D 1L; AEK Larnaca 1W 2D 2L.

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