Egnatia Rrogozhinë v FC Midtjylland result

Full-time · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 FC Midtjylland

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 15 Oct 2026 17:45 BST · Arena Kombetare

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Egnatia Rrogozhinë · FC Midtjylland

The model’s pre-match pick

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 FC Midtjylland — this UEFA Europa Conference League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.25 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Egnatia Rrogozhinë and FC Midtjylland drew 1–1 at Arena Kombetare in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 15 October. FC Midtjylland have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Egnatia Rrogozhinë: I. Gruda (26’, assisted by A. Kryeziu); FC Midtjylland: Cho Gue-Sung (33’, assisted by Rasmus Kristensen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cho Gue-Sung’s goal on 33 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: FC Midtjylland out-shot Egnatia Rrogozhinë 13 to 12 and created the better chances, 1.37 xG to 0.59 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

S. Ebner showed one yellow card — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Ibrahim Diabaté (86’).

What it changes

Egnatia Rrogozhinë are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. FC Midtjylland are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Andrey Yago (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) 6.9, A. Kryeziu (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) 6.2 and Julius Emefile (FC Midtjylland) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Egnatia Rrogozhinë or FC Midtjylland (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Egnatia Rrogozhinë next travel to Aarhus on 22 October 2026.

FC Midtjylland next travel to Viborg on 19 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for FC Midtjylland: Viborg v FC Midtjylland, Monday 19 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 FC Midtjylland · UEFA Europa Conference League
Venue: Arena Kombetare · Tirana
Referee: S. Ebner
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1W 2D 2L · FC Midtjylland 3W 2D 0L

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 FC Midtjylland (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 2.88

Goals

against 1.5 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.67 / 5

Corners

against 4.33 / 4.29 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 3 matches

2.33 / 5.14

Shots on target

against 1.67 / 3.71 · 0 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 3 matches

1.67 / 1.43

Cards

against 1.67 / 2.29 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 3 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Egnatia Rrogozhinë for / against	Line	FC Midtjylland for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.67 for · 4.33 against n 3 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5	19.5standard	13.57 for · 14.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	2.33 for · 1.67 against n 3 Last 5	8.5standard	5.14 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	6.33 for · 9.33 against n 3 Last 5	21.5standard	12.57 for · 15.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.67 for · 1.67 against n 3 Last 5	3.5standard	1.43 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: S. Ebner.

FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Julius Emefile n 4	21	4.3 2/1	2.1 2/0	—
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye n 5	33.8	3.7 4/2	3.2 4/2	—
F. Etim n 8	65	2.6 8/5	2.9 6/5	—
D. Osorio n 8	63.6	2.1 5/4	2.5 6/4	—
K. WÃ¤tjen n 8	53.9	1.9 6/3	0.2 1/0	—

FC Midtjylland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Etim n 8	65	4 7/6	2.3 5/5
D. Osorio n 8	63.6	2.7 5/4	1.1 4/2
S. Iheanacho n 8	55.3	2.4 5/3	0.6 3/0
Franculino n 8	51.9	2.2 6/1	1.5 3/1
Cho Gue-Sung n 8	55.3	1.4 5/2	0.6 2/1

FC Midtjylland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Etim n 8	65	0.7 4/0	0.5 3/0
S. Iheanacho n 8	55.3	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
Franculino n 8	51.9	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
D. Osorio n 8	63.6	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
D. Castillo n 8	62.9	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0

FC Midtjylland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye n 5	33.8	3.7 5/2
Julius Emefile n 4	21	3.2 1/1
K. WÃ¤tjen n 8	53.9	2.5 6/3
R. Kristensen n 8	85.1	2.4 6/6
D. Osorio n 8	63.6	2.3 7/3

FC Midtjylland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Olafsson n 8	90	2.8 7/5
N. Bakker n 8	88.9	2.4 3/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë		FC Midtjylland
52%	Possession	48%
0.59	Expected goals (xG)	1.37
12	Shots	13
5	Shots on target	5
5	Shots off target	6
2	Blocked shots	2
6	Shots inside the box	9
2	Corners	6
1	Offsides	3
12	Fouls	14
1	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	4
399	Passes	345
82%	Pass accuracy	79%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Dajsinani	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
E. Sota	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.7
E. Bitri	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	8.7
Andrey Yago	90	0	0	0	0	1	6	0	6.9
A. Kryeziu	90	0	1	1	0	2	3	0	7
A. Aleksi	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.2
K. Loukili	81	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	6.9
I. Gruda	81	1	0	2	2	2	0	0	7.5
D. Adjessa	72	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.9
Guillem Jaime	66	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.6
A. Albanese	66	0	0	4	3	0	1	0	6.6
G. Smajli sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Ibrahim Diabaté sub	24	0	0	1	0	1	0	Y	6.9
J. Montenegro sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
N. Ajetovikj sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Fernando Medeiros sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7

FC Midtjylland player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
N. Bakker	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
R. Kristensen	90	0	1	0	0	1	1	7.3
O. Diao	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	7.2
M. Bech Sorensen	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	7.3
P. Billing	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	6.9
Julius Emefile	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	7.5
D. Castillo	77	0	0	0	0	0	2	7
M. Rajović	56	0	0	3	2	0	0	6.7
D. Martinez	45	0	0	2	0	2	1	7.2
Hong Hyun-Seok	45	0	0	0	0	2	2	6.3
Cho Gue-Sung	45	1	0	2	1	0	1	7.2
K. WÃ¤tjen sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
S. Iheanacho sub	45	0	0	2	1	0	0	6.3
F. Etim sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
S. Johannesen sub	34	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
M. Uhre sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Egnatia Rrogozhinë v FC Midtjylland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Egnatia RrogozhinëDLWDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

FC MidtjyllandDWWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 3.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Egnatia Rrogozhinë#20 pos1 pts1 pl0 GD

FC Midtjylland#16 pos1 pts1 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Egnatia Rrogozhinë scored1

FC Midtjylland scored1

Egnatia Rrogozhinë conceded1

FC Midtjylland conceded1

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Egnatia Rrogozhinë v FC Midtjylland?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Egnatia Rrogozhinë v FC Midtjylland was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Egnatia Rrogozhinë and FC Midtjylland?: Recent form — Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1W 2D 2L; FC Midtjylland 3W 2D 0L.

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