FC AstanaDinamo Tirana

FC Astana v Dinamo Tirana result

Full-time · FC Astana 1–4 Dinamo Tirana

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Astana Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Astana 1–4 Dinamo Tirana — Dinamo Tirana won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.02 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Dinamo Tirana won 4–1 at Astana Arena in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 16 July.

The goals

Dinamo Tirana came from behind: FC Astana led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — FC Astana: Bauyrzhan Islamkhan (23’ pen); Dinamo Tirana: Bruno Dita (50’ pen), Hekuran Berisha (62’, assisted by Isi Manellari), Lorenco Vila (93’, assisted by U. Ismaili) and M. Koma (120’). Kipras Kazukolovas (49’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Hekuran Berisha’s goal on 62 minutes.

What it changes

FC Astana sit 20th on three points from two games with a goal difference of -2 (2026/27 so far).

Dinamo Tirana sit ninth on three points from two games with a goal difference of +2 (2026/27 so far).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: FC Astana 1–4 Dinamo Tirana · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Venue: Astana Arena · Astana
  • Referee: O. Johnson
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): FC Astana 1 · draws 0 · Dinamo Tirana 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Astana 2W 1D 2L · Dinamo Tirana 1W 1D 3L

FC Astana 1–4 Dinamo Tirana (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Astana v Dinamo Tirana — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC AstanaDWLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Dinamo TiranaLWLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
FC Astana 1 · 0 draws · Dinamo Tirana 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2026-07-09 Dinamo Tirana 0–1 FC Astana
Goals per game
FC Astana scored1
Dinamo Tirana scored1
FC Astana conceded1.2
Dinamo Tirana conceded1.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Astana v Dinamo Tirana?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Astana v Dinamo Tirana was Under 2.5 goals (best price 2.02 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Astana and Dinamo Tirana?
In their last 1 meetings, FC Astana won 1, Dinamo Tirana won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Astana and Dinamo Tirana?
Recent form — FC Astana 2W 1D 2L; Dinamo Tirana 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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