FK Zalgiris VilniusHNK Hajduk Split

FK Zalgiris Vilnius v HNK Hajduk Split result

Full-time · FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–5 HNK Hajduk Split

UEFA Europa Conference League · · LFF stadionas

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–5 HNK Hajduk Split — HNK Hajduk Split won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.85 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

HNK Hajduk Split won 5–2 at LFF stadionas in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 6 August.

The goals

HNK Hajduk Split led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — HNK Hajduk Split: Michele Šego (5’ pen, 44’), Adrion Pajaziti (55’, assisted by Marin Šotiček), Dali (72’, assisted by A. Sutalo) and Rokas Pukštas (75’); FK Zalgiris Vilnius: N. Petkovic (34’, assisted by S. Bilenkyi) and M. Capan (85’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Michele Šego’s goal on 44 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0.00, HNK Hajduk Split 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Nagtegaal showed four yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — FK Zalgiris Vilnius: Y. Kendysh (4’), P. Bosancic (25’) and D. Sesplaukis (78’); HNK Hajduk Split: Rokas Pukštas (51’).

What it changes

FK Zalgiris Vilnius have scored 14 goals, the 14th-most of the 126 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). FK Zalgiris Vilnius have conceded 12 goals, the 22nd-most of the 126 clubs.

HNK Hajduk Split have scored five goals, the most (shared) of the 126 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 1 game, ranked per game). HNK Hajduk Split have conceded two goals, the 45th-most (shared) of the 126 clubs.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

HNK Hajduk Split next travel to NK Osijek on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for HNK Hajduk Split: NK Osijek v HNK Hajduk Split, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–5 HNK Hajduk Split · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Venue: LFF stadionas · Vilnius
  • Referee: M. Nagtegaal
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3W 0D 2L · HNK Hajduk Split 2W 0D 3L

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–5 HNK Hajduk Split (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FK Zalgiris VilniusHNK Hajduk Split
48%Possession52%
5Shots on target8
1Shots off target10
4Blocked shots3
2Corners5
2Offsides4
14Fouls20
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FK Zalgiris Vilnius v HNK Hajduk Split — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FK Zalgiris VilniusLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
HNK Hajduk SplitWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
FK Zalgiris VilniusNot in this league table
HNK Hajduk Split#13 pos6 pts3 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
FK Zalgiris Vilnius scored2.4
HNK Hajduk Split scored1
FK Zalgiris Vilnius conceded1.8
HNK Hajduk Split conceded0.67

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FK Zalgiris Vilnius v HNK Hajduk Split?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FK Zalgiris Vilnius v HNK Hajduk Split was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.85 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of FK Zalgiris Vilnius and HNK Hajduk Split?
Recent form — FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3W 0D 2L; HNK Hajduk Split 2W 0D 3L.

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