Gent v Aarhus result

Full-time · Gent 1–0 Aarhus

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 15 Oct 2026 17:45 BST · Planet Group Arena

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gent · Aarhus

The model’s pre-match pick

Gent 1–0 Aarhus — Gent won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.23 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Gent beat Aarhus 1–0 at Planet Group Arena in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 15 October. Gent are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Gent: Bi Goore (87’, assisted by Tiago Araújo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bi Goore’s goal on 87 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Gent 2.24, Aarhus 0.23, from 22 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Gent: Mathias Delorge-Knieper (73’) and Tibe De Vlieger (86’); Aarhus: J. Bogere (58’) and Markus Solbakken (76’).

What it changes

Gent have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tiago Araújo (Gent) 6.2, Michel-Ange Balikwisha (Gent) 5.0 and Bi Goore (Gent) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Gent or Aarhus (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Gent next travel to SC Braga on 22 October 2026.

Aarhus next travel to FC Copenhagen on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gent: SC Braga v Gent, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Aarhus: FC Copenhagen v Aarhus, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Gent 1–0 Aarhus · UEFA Europa Conference League
Venue: Planet Group Arena · Gent
Referee: B. Sariev
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Gent 4W 1D 0L · Aarhus 2W 2D 1L

Gent 1–0 Aarhus (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.88

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.25 / 4.71

Corners

against 4.38 / 3.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.75 / 3.86

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 5.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2 / 1.57

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.71 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Gent for / against	Line	Aarhus for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.71 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	11.13 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.43 for · 14.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.86 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.57 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.57 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: B. Sariev.

Gent

Gent — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Paskotši n 8	69.9	2.1 6/3	0.2 1/0	—
Ibrahima Cisse n 8	26.3	2.1 4/1	0.4 1/0	—
T. De Vlieger n 8	62.6	2 4/4	2 8/2	Kristian Arnstad
M. Ngom n 8	82.1	1.8 5/5	0.5 3/1	—
A. Omgba n 8	24.5	1.8 4/0	0.5 1/0	—

Gent — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Y. Vergara Ortega n 8	77.6	2.5 7/5	1.4 5/4
B. Goore n 8	36.1	2.5 5/2	1.2 2/1
M. Dean n 8	54.3	2.3 5/4	1.2 4/2
L. Bénes n 8	57.5	2.2 4/3	1.4 3/2
Ibrahima Cisse n 8	26.3	1.7 4/0	1.7 4/0

Gent — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ibrahima Cisse n 8	26.3	1.3 3/0	0 0/0
T. De Vlieger n 8	62.6	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
L. Bénes n 8	57.5	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
J. Y. Vergara Ortega n 8	77.6	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
Tiago Araújo n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0

Gent — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Balikwisha n 8	53.4	3.6 5/5
T. De Vlieger n 8	62.6	3.2 5/4
Kyrell Wilson n 8	40.4	2.8 6/2
M. Delorge-Knieper n 8	68.4	2.5 8/4
A. Kadri n 8	43.5	2.3 4/4

Gent — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Roef n 8	90	2.9 6/5

Aarhus

Aarhus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Kristian Arnstad n 8	82	2.2 5/4	1.9 7/3	T. De Vlieger
M. Anderson n 8	67.1	2.2 6/5	2.7 6/4	—
J. Andersen n 8	41.1	2.2 3/2	1.4 3/1	—
S. Tchamche n 8	26.6	2.1 5/0	1.7 3/1	—
Luka Callø n 8	40.9	1.9 4/2	0.3 1/0	—

Aarhus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bogere n 8	42	3.8 8/5	2.4 7/2
J. Serra n 8	51.9	3 5/5	1.1 4/1
Frederik Emmery n 8	73.3	2.2 7/4	0.8 5/0
S. Jorgensen n 8	62.6	2 5/3	1.1 4/2
R. Carstensen n 8	56	1.6 6/2	0.6 3/0

Aarhus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Serra n 8	51.9	0.9 3/1	0 0/0
C. McCowatt n 8	56.9	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
Frederik Emmery n 8	73.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
F. Tingager n 8	63.3	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
S. Jorgensen n 8	62.6	0 0/0	0.4 2/0

Aarhus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Knudsen n 8	81	2.8 8/6
D. L. Gretarsson n 8	82.8	2.4 6/6
Tobias Mølgaard n 8	55.6	2.4 6/3
E. Kahl n 8	67.3	1.8 5/2
M. Anderson n 8	67.1	1.7 4/3

Aarhus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Hansen n 8	83.4	3.9 6/4
M. Hedenstad n 8	90.6	2.7 6/5

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Gent		Aarhus
52%	Possession	48%
2.24	Expected goals (xG)	0.23
22	Shots	4
4	Shots on target	1
13	Shots off target	2
5	Blocked shots	1
14	Shots inside the box	3
11	Corners	2
1	Offsides	0
10	Fouls	15
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	3
526	Passes	498
87%	Pass accuracy	86%

Gent player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Roef	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
C. Burgess	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	7.7
M. Paskotši	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
T. De Vlieger	90	0	0	2	0	2	1	Y	7.3
M. Balikwisha	90	0	0	2	1	3	3	0	7.6
Tiago Araújo	90	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	8.6
M. Sonko	90	0	0	2	1	2	1	0	6.2
Ibrahima Cisse	90	0	0	4	0	0	1	0	5.9
M. Delorge-Knieper	77	0	0	1	0	3	1	Y	8.7
Matties Volckaert	66	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
S. Van der Heyden	45	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	7.5
Mamadou Diallo sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
B. Goore sub	24	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.6
Leonardo Lopes sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Aarhus player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Hedenstad	90	0	0	0	1	0	8.5
C. Rosler	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
J. Andersen	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
C. McCowatt	90	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
S. Tchamche	90	2	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Bogere	90	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
E. Kahl	77	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
M. Solbakken	77	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9
Kristian Arnstad	62	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
D. L. Gretarsson	45	1	1	0	1	0	7
M. Anderson	21	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Frederik Emmery sub	69	0	0	1	2	0	7.6
Tobias Mølgaard sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
M. Knudsen sub	28	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
F. Tingager sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Jønsson sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Gent v Aarhus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

GentWWDWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

AarhusDLWDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Gent#13 pos3 pts1 pl+1 GD

Aarhus#29 pos0 pts1 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Gent scored1

Aarhus scored0

Gent conceded0

Aarhus conceded1

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Gent v Aarhus?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Gent v Aarhus was Home or Away (best price 1.23 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Gent and Aarhus?: Recent form — Gent 4W 1D 0L; Aarhus 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 18 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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