KuPS v Gent prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Tammelan Stadion

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for KuPS v Gent, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 1441 landed (95% range 66–70.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

KuPS host Gent in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Gent, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Four of KuPS’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in six of KuPS’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, KuPS have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.71.

Seven of Gent’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Gent’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Gent have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.29.

KuPS (34th) and Gent (17th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gent the stronger side, 193 rating points above KuPS (Gent 1599, KuPS 1406, after at least 32 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted KuPS XI (4-2-3-1): J. Kreidl, A. Lötjönen, A. Puukko, N. Kujasalo, B. Magassa, J. Eskesen, T. Jyry, S. Touray, P. Pennanen, G. Engvall, P. Parzyszek — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Johannes Kreidl (3.3 per match over three appearances) and Tommi Jyry (1.8 per match over three appearances) have been KuPS’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for KuPS (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Johannes Kreidl averages 4.7 saves per 90 over 270 minutes.

Predicted Gent XI (4-3-3): D. Roef, C. Burgess, S. Van der Heyden, M. Paskotši, M. Ngom, T. De Vlieger, M. Delorge-Knieper, T. Araújo, I. Cisse, M. Sonko, M. Balikwisha — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Araújo (5.0 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and seven assists) and Tibe De Vlieger (4.3 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Gent’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Gent (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Araújo averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1079 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Tibe De Vlieger averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 771 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Tammelan Stadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: KuPS 1W 1D 3L · Gent 3W 1D 1L

KuPS v Gent (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 2
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.17 / 4.86
Corners
against 4.67 / 4.86 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.33 / 4.71
Shots on target
against 6.33 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2 / 1.71
Cards
against 1.67 / 1.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameKuPS for / againstLineGent for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5our book
2 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.17 for · 4.67 against n 6
9.5standard
4.86 for · 4.86 against n 7
Shots
5.67 for · 9 against n 6
19.5standard
12.57 for · 14 against n 7
Shots on target
3.33 for · 6.33 against n 6
8.5standard
4.71 for · 4.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
15.2 for · 12.4 against n 5
21.5standard
10.14 for · 11.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2 for · 1.67 against n 6
3.5standard
1.71 for · 1.71 against n 7

KuPS

KuPS Goalkeeper

KuPS — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Kreidl390270 min144.7 /9062 /9000 /90
KuPS — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Kreidl n 890
5.37/6

KuPS Defensive

KuPS — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Akseli Puukko379236 min31.1 /9010.4 /9000 /9041.5 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Armah360179 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9021 /9000 /90
A. Lötjönen290180 min52.5 /9000 /9042 /9084 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
B. Magassa290180 min31.5 /9021 /9021 /9084 /9010.5 /9000 /90
K. Adams290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9063 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
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KuPS — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kreidl n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Akseli Puukko n 481.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
—
T. Jyry n 367.3
0.92/0
1.32/1
—
P. Parzyszek n 877
0.72/1
0.95/1
—
B. Armah n 865
14/2
1.44/2
—
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KuPS — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Akseli Puukko n 481.5
1.12/1
T. Jyry n 367.3
1.32/1
P. Parzyszek n 877
0.32/0
B. Armah n 865
1.46/2
P. Pennanen n 865.1
1.65/3
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KuPS Attacking

KuPS — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Parzyszek364192 min00 /9000 /9052.3 /9020.9 /9010.5 /9000 /90
G. Engvall353160 min10.6 /9000 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9010.6 /9021.1 /90
J. Moreno334103 min00 /9000 /9021.7 /9010.9 /9000 /9010.9 /90
T. Jyry367202 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
P. Pennanen359178 min10.5 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9021 /9000 /90
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KuPS — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kreidl n 890
00/0
00/0
Akseli Puukko n 481.5
00/0
00/0
T. Jyry n 367.3
0.41/0
00/0
P. Parzyszek n 877
1.95/3
0.74/1
B. Armah n 865
0.53/0
0.21/0
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KuPS — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Kreidl n 890
00/0
00/0
Akseli Puukko n 481.5
00/0
00/0
T. Jyry n 367.3
00/0
00/0
P. Parzyszek n 877
0.32/0
00/0
B. Armah n 865
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Gent

Gent Goalkeeper

Gent — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Roef12901080 min373.1 /9080.7 /9000 /90
Gent — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gent before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Roef n 890
3.25/5

Gent Defensive

Gent — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Burgess12861035 min161.4 /90131.1 /9060.5 /90514.4 /9040.3 /9010.1 /90
S. Van der Heyden12861027 min100.9 /90131.1 /9090.8 /90403.5 /9070.6 /9030.3 /90
M. Ngom882657 min162.2 /90131.8 /9050.7 /90334.5 /90131.8 /9000 /90
M. Paskotši677460 min112.2 /9061.2 /9040.8 /90254.9 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90
Mamadou Diallo14545 min12 /9024 /9000 /9012 /9024 /9000 /90
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Gent — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gent before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Roef n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
Tiago Araújo n 889.9
0.54/0
0.54/0
—
C. Burgess n 890
0.43/0
0.42/1
—
S. Van der Heyden n 884.4
0.74/1
0.75/0
—
M. Sonko n 881.6
0.11/0
0.74/1
—
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Gent — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gent before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tiago Araújo n 889.9
1.96/5
C. Burgess n 890
1.66/3
S. Van der Heyden n 884.4
0.73/2
M. Sonko n 881.6
1.86/3
M. Delorge-Knieper n 873.3
2.68/4
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Gent Attacking

Gent — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Sonko1280961 min30.3 /9010.1 /90171.6 /90131.2 /9070.7 /90111 /90
J. Y. Vergara Ortega878621 min40.6 /9000 /90172.5 /90101.4 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90
M. Balikwisha769484 min10.2 /9000 /9030.6 /9020.4 /9071.3 /9030.6 /90
Ibrahima Cisse669412 min40.9 /9000 /90102.2 /9040.9 /9030.7 /9030.7 /90
El Hadji Seck523116 min10.8 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9000 /9043.1 /90
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Gent — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gent before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Roef n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Araújo n 889.9
1.35/4
0.53/1
C. Burgess n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
S. Van der Heyden n 884.4
0.54/0
0.11/0
M. Sonko n 881.6
1.77/5
1.26/3
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Gent — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gent before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Roef n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Araújo n 889.9
0.11/0
0.63/1
C. Burgess n 890
0.11/0
00/0
S. Van der Heyden n 884.4
00/0
00/0
M. Sonko n 881.6
0.32/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind KuPS v Gent — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
KuPSLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
GentWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
KuPS#34 pos0 pts2 pl-4 GD
Gent#17 pos3 pts2 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
KuPS scored1
Gent scored0.5
KuPS conceded3
Gent conceded1

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win KuPS v Gent?
TACTIX’s free model pick for KuPS v Gent is Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of KuPS and Gent?
Recent form — KuPS 1W 1D 3L; Gent 3W 1D 1L.

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