Lincoln Red Imps FC v Larne result

Full-time · Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 Larne

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 20 Aug 2026 17:00 BST · Victoria Stadium

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 Larne — Larne won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.82 at Unibet

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Larne won 2–0 at Victoria Stadium in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 20 August. Lincoln Red Imps FC are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Larne: Paul O'Neill (84’, assisted by James Simpson) and Kevin O'Hara (90’, assisted by Paul O'Neill). Yussef Flalhi Idrissi (27’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Paul O'Neill’s goal on 84 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0.00, Larne 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Lincoln Red Imps FC: Manuel Toledano (20’) and Graeme Torrilla (72’); Larne: Sean Graham (27’), Matthew Lusty (43’), Montel Gibson (57’) and Jordan McEneff (73’).

What it changes

Lincoln Red Imps FC have scored no goals, the 15th-fewest (shared) of the 137 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 1 game, ranked per game). Lincoln Red Imps FC have conceded two goals, the 48th-most (shared) of the 137 clubs.

Larne have scored two goals, the 24th-most (shared) of the 137 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 1 game, ranked per game). Larne have conceded no goals, the fewest (shared) of the 137 clubs.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Lincoln Red Imps FC next travel to Egnatia Rrogozhinë on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lincoln Red Imps FC: Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Lincoln Red Imps FC, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 Larne · UEFA Europa Conference League
Venue: Victoria Stadium · Gibraltar
Referee: K. Tohver
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Lincoln Red Imps FC 1 · draws 0 · Larne 1 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0W 3D 2L · Larne 1W 1D 3L

Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 Larne (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.5

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3 / 1.67

Corners

against 5 / 3 · 0 of the last 1 over 9.5

over 3 matches

2.33 / 1.33

Shots on target

against 6 / 5.67 · 0 of the last 1 over 8.5

over 3 matches

3 / 1.8

Cards

against 1.67 / 2.8 · 1 of the last 1 over 3.5

over 3 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Lincoln Red Imps FC for / against	Line	Larne for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	0.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3 for · 5 against n 3 Last 5	9.5standard	1.67 for · 3 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	4.33 for · 16.67 against n 3 Last 5	19.5standard	4.33 for · 10.67 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	2.33 for · 6 against n 3 Last 5	8.5standard	1.33 for · 5.67 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	3 for · 1.67 against n 3 Last 5	3.5standard	1.8 for · 2.8 against n 5 Last 5

Referee: K. Tohver.

Lincoln Red Imps FC

Lincoln Red Imps FC Goalkeeper

Lincoln Red Imps FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln Red Imps FC before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Jaylan Hankins n 6	90	3.8 5/4

Lincoln Red Imps FC Defensive

Lincoln Red Imps FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Yellow cards
Joe	1	9090 min	11 /90
Manuel Toledano	1	9090 min	11 /90
Ayman El Ghobashy	1	8585 min	11.1 /90

Lincoln Red Imps FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln Red Imps FC before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Joe n 4	72.5	0.9 2/1	0 0/0	S. Graham
Christian Rutjens n 5	84.2	0.6 2/1	0.9 2/1	T. Cosgrove
B. Lopes n 8	89.9	0.5 3/1	0.5 3/1	T. Cosgrove
Jaylan Hankins n 6	90	0.2 1/0	0 0/0	—
Ayman El Ghobashy n 3	41.3	5.1 2/2	2.2 1/1	—

Lincoln Red Imps FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln Red Imps FC before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Lopes n 8	89.9	0.8 4/1
Joe n 4	72.5	0.3 1/0
Christian Rutjens n 5	84.2	0.2 1/0
Ayman El Ghobashy n 3	41.3	0 0/0

Lincoln Red Imps FC Attacking

Lincoln Red Imps FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Álvarez	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Christian Rutjens	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Lincoln Red Imps FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln Red Imps FC before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Christian Rutjens n 5	84.2	0.6 2/1	0.4 2/0
B. Lopes n 8	89.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Jaylan Hankins n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Joe n 4	72.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ayman El Ghobashy n 3	41.3	0 0/0	0 0/0

Lincoln Red Imps FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln Red Imps FC before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Christian Rutjens n 5	84.2	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
Joe n 4	72.5	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
B. Lopes n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Jaylan Hankins n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ayman El Ghobashy n 3	41.3	0 0/0	0 0/0

Larne

Larne Goalkeeper

Larne — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Larne before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Ferguson n 7	90	3.3 6/5

Larne Defensive

Larne — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. McKendry	1	5858 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90

Larne — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Larne before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Gallagher n 6	88.5	1.4 4/3	0.3 2/0	—
T. Cosgrove n 6	80	0.6 2/1	1.5 3/2	B. Lopes
R. Ferguson n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
S. Graham n 5	86.4	1.3 2/2	1.3 3/3	Joe
M. Lusty n 4	51.5	1.3 2/1	0.4 1/0	—
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Larne — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Larne before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Cosgrove n 6	80	1.9 4/3
C. Gallagher n 6	88.5	1.4 5/2
S. Graham n 5	86.4	2.9 4/3
M. Lusty n 4	51.5	1.7 3/1
J. McEneff n 7	48	2.1 4/2

Larne Attacking

Larne — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists
R. Doherty	1	7676 min	00 /90	11.2 /90
D. Bent	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90
M. Ridley	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90

Larne — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Larne before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Gallagher n 6	88.5	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
T. Cosgrove n 6	80	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
R. Ferguson n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Lusty n 4	51.5	0.9 2/0	0.9 2/0
S. Graham n 5	86.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Larne — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Larne before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Gallagher n 6	88.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
T. Cosgrove n 6	80	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
R. Ferguson n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Graham n 5	86.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
M. Lusty n 4	51.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Lincoln Red Imps FC		Larne
42%	Possession	58%
3	Shots on target	6
2	Shots off target	2
1	Blocked shots	3
3	Corners	9
0	Offsides	3
10	Fouls	16
2	Yellow cards	4
1	Red cards	0

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lincoln Red Imps FC v Larne — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Lincoln Red Imps FCDLDDL

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

LarneWLLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Lincoln Red Imps FC 1 · 0 draws · Larne 1 · 3.5 goals/game

2024-08-29 Larne 3–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC
2024-08-22 Lincoln Red Imps FC 2–1 Larne

League standing · 2026/27

Lincoln Red Imps FC#22 pos3 pts3 pl-3 GD

LarneNot in this league table

Goals per game

Lincoln Red Imps FC scored1

Larne scored0.6

Lincoln Red Imps FC conceded2

Larne conceded2.4

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lincoln Red Imps FC v Larne?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Lincoln Red Imps FC v Larne was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.82 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Lincoln Red Imps FC and Larne?: In their last 2 meetings, Lincoln Red Imps FC won 1, Larne won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lincoln Red Imps FC and Larne?: Recent form — Lincoln Red Imps FC 0W 3D 2L; Larne 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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