PanevėžysFK Tobol Kostanay

Panevėžys v FK Tobol Kostanay result

Full-time · Panevėžys 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Aukstaitijos Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Panevėžys 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay — this UEFA Europa Conference League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Panevėžys and FK Tobol Kostanay drew 1–1 at Aukstaitijos Stadium in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 23 July. Panevėžys are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. FK Tobol Kostanay are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Panevėžys led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Panevėžys: S. Keita (45’); FK Tobol Kostanay: N. Cavnić (84’, assisted by A. Tagybergen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with N. Cavnić’s goal on 84 minutes.

What it changes

Panevėžys sit 37th on one point from one game with a goal difference of 0 (2026/27 so far).

FK Tobol Kostanay sit 37th on one point from one game with a goal difference of 0 (2026/27 so far).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Panevėžys or FK Tobol Kostanay (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Panevėžys 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Venue: Aukstaitijos Stadium · Panevezys
  • Referee: U. Aslam
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Panevėžys 0W 1D 4L · FK Tobol Kostanay 1W 0D 4L

Panevėžys 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Panevėžys v FK Tobol Kostanay — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PanevėžysLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
FK Tobol KostanayLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Goals per game
Panevėžys scored0.4
FK Tobol Kostanay scored0.8
Panevėžys conceded2.2
FK Tobol Kostanay conceded2.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Panevėžys v FK Tobol Kostanay?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Panevėžys v FK Tobol Kostanay was Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Panevėžys and FK Tobol Kostanay?
Recent form — Panevėžys 0W 1D 4L; FK Tobol Kostanay 1W 0D 4L.

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