Twente v FC Thun result

Full-time · Twente 1–0 FC Thun

UEFA Europa Conference League · · De Grolsch Veste

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Twente · FC Thun

The model’s pre-match pick

Twente 1–0 FC Thun — Twente won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.23 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.1% of 215 landed (95% range 72.1–83.1%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Twente beat FC Thun 1–0 at De Grolsch Veste in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 15 October. Twente are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Twente: Ramiz Zerrouki (65’, assisted by Daouda Weidmann). Patrik Kristal (60’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ramiz Zerrouki’s goal on 65 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Twente 2.32, FC Thun 0.20, from 22 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Twente: Aske Adelgaard (43’); FC Thun: Fabio Fehr (31’).

What it changes

Twente have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ramiz Zerrouki (Twente) 11.4, Daouda Weidmann (Twente) 7.5 and Mattias Kait (FC Thun) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Twente to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78.1% of the time in the last 90 days (168 of 215).

Next up

Twente next travel to Lincoln Red Imps FC on 22 October 2026.

FC Thun next host HNK Hajduk Split on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Twente: Lincoln Red Imps FC v Twente, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for FC Thun: FC Thun v HNK Hajduk Split, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Twente 1–0 FC Thun · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Venue: De Grolsch Veste · Enschede
  • Referee: G. Nuza
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Twente 3W 2D 0L · FC Thun 1W 0D 4L

Twente 1–0 FC Thun (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 1.75
Goals
against 1 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 4
over 8 matches
7.38 / 5.88
Corners
against 3.38 / 5 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.63 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 4.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.75
Cards
against 2.25 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameTwente for / againstLineFC Thun for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
4our book
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
7.38 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
21 for · 10.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.88 for · 15.38 against n 8
Shots on target
7.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
18.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: G. Nuza.

Twente
Twente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Guilherme Martinho Peixoto n 418.3
6.24/1
1.21/0
—
M. Kjølø n 834.1
2.35/1
1.34/0
—
D. Rots n 861.9
2.26/3
0.74/0
B. Labeau
W. Weghorst n 887
1.97/5
2.16/4
—
B. van Rooij n 893.1
1.77/4
0.43/0
—
Twente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Thorvaldsen n 831.8
3.96/3
2.54/2
Filip Thorvaldsen n 847.1
3.67/4
2.46/3
S. Lammers n 858.1
2.97/2
1.53/2
W. Weghorst n 887
2.77/7
2.17/5
Y. Taha n 888.3
2.48/6
16/2
Twente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Weghorst n 887
0.65/0
0.43/0
M. Pjaca n 847.9
0.73/0
0.21/0
Y. Taha n 888.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
Filip Thorvaldsen n 847.1
0.51/1
0.21/0
S. Lammers n 858.1
0.21/0
0.41/1
Twente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. van den Belt n 819.3
2.93/1
M. Kjølø n 834.1
2.64/3
A. Adelgaard n 877.4
2.37/4
D. Rots n 861.9
2.26/3
Y. Taha n 888.3
1.86/4
Twente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Drommel n 890
3.56/5
L. Unnerstall n 893.8
2.37/3
FC Thun
FC Thun — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Kristal n 852.6
3.46/6
2.15/3
—
N. Reichmuth n 872.3
38/6
1.14/3
—
Simon Lengen n 448.3
2.83/2
00/0
—
B. Labeau n 874.9
2.46/4
1.87/4
D. Rots
M. Burki n 870.6
2.18/4
0.84/1
—
FC Thun — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Reichmuth n 872.3
2.87/3
0.94/1
R. Braschi n 529.8
2.43/1
0.61/0
Nico Maier n 839.6
2.34/3
0.31/0
F. Fehr n 867.3
2.26/3
0.53/0
F. Dursun n 854.1
2.15/3
0.63/0
FC Thun — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Dursun n 854.1
0.42/0
0.83/1
D. Derbaci n 555.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
B. Labeau n 874.9
0.52/1
00/0
Fabio Saiz n 873.4
0.31/1
0.21/0
N. Reichmuth n 872.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
FC Thun — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Louis Passavant  n 37.7
3.91/0
F. Fehr n 867.3
3.77/6
Nico Maier n 839.6
3.46/3
N. Zoukit n 861
3.36/5
R. Braschi n 529.8
33/2
FC Thun — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Steffen n 890.8
2.46/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
TwenteFC Thun
73%Possession27%
2.32Expected goals (xG)0.20
22Shots6
5Shots on target0
11Shots off target3
6Blocked shots3
13Shots inside the box1
6Corners1
6Fouls19
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
0Saves4
672Passes250
87%Pass accuracy69%

Twente player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Drommel9000000006.7
B. van Rooij9000001408
R. Pröpper9000000207.2
R. Nijstad9000100307.7
A. Adelgaard90000001Y7.7
R. Zerrouki9010412708.5
W. Weghorst9000213106.5
D. Weidmann8401212207.5
S. Ørjasæter7800216007.3
D. Rots6700101107.7
Y. Taha6700313007
K. Hlynsson sub2300001006.9
M. Pjaca sub2300002006.7
F. Thorvaldsen sub1200100106.5
T. van den Belt sub1100001006.9

FC Thun player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Steffen9000000008.5
F. Fehr90000004Y6.6
N. Burgy9000000207.3
J. Roth9000001106.5
M. Kait9000001207.5
O. Mambwa8200000206.2
B. Labeau8100001105.9
N. Reichmuth6700000406.7
F. Dursun6600000105.9
P. Kristal60002011R5.9
J. Bamert4500000007
N. Zoukit sub4500000106.6
Nico Maier sub2400000006.3
Louis Passavant  sub2300000207.3
R. Braschi sub900100006.5
Tom Strannegård sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Twente v FC Thun — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TwenteDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
FC ThunLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Twente#14 pos3 pts1 pl+1 GD
FC Thun#30 pos0 pts1 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Twente scored1
FC Thun scored0
Twente conceded0
FC Thun conceded1

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Twente v FC Thun?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Twente v FC Thun was Home win (best price 1.23 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Twente and FC Thun?
Recent form — Twente 3W 2D 0L; FC Thun 1W 0D 4L.

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