TwentePafos

Twente v Pafos result

Full-time · Twente 3–1 Pafos

UEFA Europa Conference League · · De Grolsch Veste

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Twente · Pafos

The model’s pre-match pick

Twente 3–1 Pafos — Twente won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.27 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Twente beat Pafos 3–1 at De Grolsch Veste in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November. Twente have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. Pafos have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Twente came from behind: Pafos led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Pafos: Lele (39’); Twente: Ruud Nijstad (62’, assisted by Daouda Weidmann), Sondre Ørjasæter (76’, assisted by Y. Taha) and Daouda Weidmann (82’, assisted by Thomas van den Belt). Lele (64’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sondre Ørjasæter’s goal on 76 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Twente 2.99, Pafos 0.91, from 23 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Twente: Ruud Nijstad (34’); Pafos: Lele (40’) and Lele (64’).

What it changes

Twente have scored 21 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 165 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Twente have conceded seven goals, the 29th-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs.

Pafos have scored eight goals, the 47th-most of the 165 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Pafos have conceded 10 goals, the 58th-most (shared) of the 165 clubs.

Twente have won their last four matches in all competitions. Pafos are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daouda Weidmann (Twente) 10.2, Sondre Ørjasæter (Twente) 8.5 and Y. Taha (Twente) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Twente to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Twente next host Ajax on 8 November 2026.

Pafos next host FC Midtjylland on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Twente: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Pafos: Pafos v FC Midtjylland, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Twente 3–1 Pafos · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Venue: De Grolsch Veste · Enschede
  • Referee: Michal Očenáš, Slovakia
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Twente 4W 0D 1L · Pafos 1W 3D 1L

Twente 3–1 Pafos (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 4
over 8 matches
7 / 4
Corners
against 2.63 / 6.8 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
7.63 / 3.4
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 3.8 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.13 / 2
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.8 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameTwente for / againstLinePafos for / against
Goals scored
2.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
4our book
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
7 for · 2.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 6.8 against n 5
Shots
21.63 for · 9.38 against n 8
19.5standard
7.8 for · 8.8 against n 5
Shots on target
7.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.4 for · 3.8 against n 5
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 14 against n 4
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.8 against n 5

Twente

Twente Goalkeeper

Twente — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Unnerstall990810 min232.6 /9070.8 /9000 /90
J. Drommel890720 min202.5 /9081 /9000 /90
Twente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Unnerstall n 890
2.98/4
J. Drommel n 890
2.55/3

Twente Defensive

Twente — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. van Rooij17831415 min312 /90171.1 /9040.3 /90563.6 /90171.1 /9010.1 /90
R. Pröpper16791257 min161.1 /90130.9 /9070.5 /90705 /90171.2 /9030.2 /90
R. Nijstad15871305 min171.2 /90110.8 /9070.5 /90382.6 /9060.4 /9010.1 /90
A. Adelgaard13861114 min292.3 /90211.7 /9020.2 /90614.9 /90221.8 /9020.2 /90
M. Bruns879630 min101.4 /9060.9 /9071 /90304.3 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Twente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Zerrouki n 888.4
1.46/3
0.64/1
João Correia
B. van Rooij n 882.3
1.15/2
0.75/0
David Luiz
W. Weghorst n 882.8
1.15/2
1.87/3
—
R. Pröpper n 881.9
1.16/2
16/1
David Luiz
D. Rots n 864.4
1.75/2
1.24/2
—
See more players · Pro
Twente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Zerrouki n 888.4
1.95/3
B. van Rooij n 882.3
1.86/4
W. Weghorst n 882.8
0.75/0
R. Pröpper n 881.9
1.48/2
D. Rots n 864.4
14/1
See more players · Pro

Twente Attacking

Twente — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Weghorst16831329 min90.6 /9040.3 /90432.9 /90251.7 /90281.9 /9060.4 /90
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink534172 min10.5 /9000 /9052.6 /9021 /9021 /9000 /90
F. Thorvaldsen533167 min00 /9000 /9073.8 /9042.2 /9042.2 /9052.7 /90
Filip Thorvaldsen13030 min00 /9000 /9013 /9000 /9000 /9013 /90
S. Lammers12929 min00 /9000 /9013.1 /9000 /9026.2 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Twente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Zerrouki n 888.4
1.35/3
0.32/0
B. van Rooij n 882.3
0.31/1
0.11/0
W. Weghorst n 882.8
3.58/8
27/4
R. Pröpper n 881.9
1.56/4
0.74/1
D. Rots n 864.4
2.37/3
13/3
See more players · Pro
Twente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Zerrouki n 888.4
0.32/0
00/0
B. van Rooij n 882.3
00/0
0.11/0
W. Weghorst n 882.8
14/1
0.32/0
R. Pröpper n 881.9
0.32/0
00/0
D. Rots n 864.4
0.31/1
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

Pafos

Pafos Goalkeeper

Pafos — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Majecki290180 min63 /9042 /9000 /90

Pafos Defensive

Pafos — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Ioannou290180 min42 /9000 /9010.5 /9073.5 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Mmaee290180 min31.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9063 /9021 /9000 /90
Bruno Felipe268135 min42.7 /9021.3 /9000 /9074.7 /9021.3 /9000 /90
David Luiz264127 min42.8 /9021.4 /9021.4 /9075 /9010.7 /9000 /90
V. Dragomir290180 min31.5 /9042 /9000 /9084 /9010.5 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Pafos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pafos before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Dragomir n 887
0.65/0
1.68/4
—
Bruno Felipe n 884.3
2.47/5
0.73/2
—
I. Sunjic n 884.4
1.26/2
0.42/1
—
David Luiz n 879.5
0.74/1
14/2
R. Pröpper
João Correia n 868.9
27/3
1.34/2
R. Zerrouki
See more players · Pro
Pafos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pafos before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Dragomir n 887
15/2
Bruno Felipe n 884.3
3.17/6
I. Sunjic n 884.4
0.96/1
David Luiz n 879.5
1.85/3
João Correia n 868.9
1.15/2
See more players · Pro

Pafos Attacking

Pafos — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Biel290180 min21 /9000 /9063 /9042 /9010.5 /9000 /90
João Correia253106 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /9021.7 /9000 /90
Lele24794 min00 /9000 /9032.9 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Anderson Silva24386 min00 /9011 /9055.2 /9033.1 /9022.1 /9022.1 /90
V. Dragomir290180 min00 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9042 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Pafos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pafos before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Dragomir n 887
1.27/2
16/2
Bruno Felipe n 884.3
0.54/0
0.43/0
I. Sunjic n 884.4
0.31/1
00/0
David Luiz n 879.5
1.14/2
0.73/1
João Correia n 868.9
15/1
0.73/1
See more players · Pro
Pafos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pafos before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Dragomir n 887
0.11/0
00/0
Bruno Felipe n 884.3
0.11/0
00/0
I. Sunjic n 884.4
00/0
00/0
David Luiz n 879.5
0.11/0
00/0
João Correia n 868.9
0.21/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
TwentePafos
77%Possession23%
2.99Expected goals (xG)0.91
23Shots6
12Shots on target4
4Shots off target2
7Blocked shots0
16Shots inside the box3
11Corners0
1Offsides2
12Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
3Saves10
658Passes206
91%Pass accuracy71%

Twente Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Drommel8500000006.7
B. van Rooij8500002407.9
R. Pröpper8500000307.3
R. Nijstad85101101Y7.3
A. Adelgaard8500102307.2
R. Zerrouki8500221407.9
D. Weidmann8511441008.6
S. Ørjasæter8510432007.7
W. Weghorst8500211106.3
Y. Taha8101213007
D. Rots7700002006.9
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink sub800000106.7
T. van den Belt sub40100100–

Pafos Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Majecki8500000008.2
Bruno Felipe8500001106.3
S. Mmaee8500001107.3
David Luiz8500000007
N. Ioannou8500000106.2
I. Sunjic8500000106.9
K. Sema8500000206.3
Alexandre Miguel Soares Carvalho Brito8100110206.9
V. Dragomir8100000206.7
João Correia6900100006.2
Lele64104310RY6.9
Anderson Silva sub1600000006.3
Guga sub40000000–
Domingos Quina sub40000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Twente v Pafos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TwenteWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
PafosDDWLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Twente#3 pos9 pts3 pl+6 GD
Pafos#30 pos1 pts3 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Twente scored2.67
Pafos scored1
Twente conceded0.67
Pafos conceded2.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Twente v Pafos?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Twente v Pafos was Home win (best price 1.27 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Twente and Pafos?
Recent form — Twente 4W 0D 1L; Pafos 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+