Anderlecht v Red Bull Salzburg prediction

UEFA Europa League · · Lotto Park

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TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Anderlecht v Red Bull Salzburg, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Anderlecht host Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

10 of Anderlecht’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in four of Anderlecht’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Anderlecht have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 1.83 and conceding 0.67.

10 of Red Bull Salzburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Red Bull Salzburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Red Bull Salzburg have four wins, five draws and no defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.89 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 0.89.

Red Bull Salzburg are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Anderlecht (22nd) and Red Bull Salzburg (21st) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Anderlecht the stronger side, 189 rating points above Red Bull Salzburg (Anderlecht 1767, Red Bull Salzburg 1578, after at least 29 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Anderlecht XI (4-4-2): C. Coosemans, L. Pétrot, K. Barry, O. Reabciuk, G. Biancone, M. Winkler, T. Aasgaard, M. Stroeykens, L. Ambros, M. Cvetković, T. Bentayeb — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ali Maamar (4.7 per match over 10 appearances, three assists) and Giulian Biancone (4.2 per match over eight appearances) have been Anderlecht’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Anderlecht (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ali Maamar averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 875 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Giulian Biancone averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 667 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Red Bull Salzburg XI (4-2-3-1): C. Zawieschitzky, D. Schmid, K. Boma, V. Zabransky, T. Drexler, A. Barry, B. Mazurek, J. Lindstrøm, S. Kitano, D. Redzic, H. Tabaković — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jesper Lindstrøm (5.6 per match over six appearances, two goals and two assists) and Bartosz Mazurek (4.6 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Red Bull Salzburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Red Bull Salzburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jesper Lindstrøm averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 377 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. Bartosz Mazurek averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 881 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Lotto Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Anderlecht 2W 0D 3L · Red Bull Salzburg 2W 2D 1L

Anderlecht v Red Bull Salzburg (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5 / 4.13
Corners
against 4.57 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.86 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 5.14 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.71 / 2 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAnderlecht for / againstLineRed Bull Salzburg for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.57 against n 7
9.5standard
4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
14.14 for · 11.14 against n 7
19.5standard
15.25 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
5.86 for · 5.14 against n 7
8.5standard
5.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
15 for · 12.57 against n 7
21.5standard
11.88 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
2.43 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2 against n 8

Anderlecht

Anderlecht Goalkeeper

Anderlecht — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Coosemans12901080 min373.1 /90121 /9000 /90
Anderlecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Anderlecht before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Coosemans n 890
3.87/5

Anderlecht Defensive

Anderlecht — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Pétrot12861035 min161.4 /90151.3 /9050.4 /90534.6 /90131.1 /9020.2 /90
A. Maamar1086855 min202.1 /90131.4 /9010.1 /90464.8 /90151.6 /9000 /90
L. Augustinsson979714 min60.8 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90202.5 /9070.9 /9000 /90
G. Biancone883667 min212.8 /90121.6 /9010.1 /90668.9 /9091.2 /9040.5 /90
K. Barry490360 min61.5 /9071.8 /9020.5 /90133.3 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
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Anderlecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Anderlecht before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Coosemans n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
L. Pétrot n 884.4
1.67/4
0.42/1
—
Mihajlo Cvetković n 861.6
1.55/2
2.77/5
—
A. Maamar n 884.4
1.77/4
0.96/1
—
Lukas Ambros n 862
1.35/2
1.84/3
—
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Anderlecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Anderlecht before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Pétrot n 884.4
1.15/3
Mihajlo Cvetković n 861.6
0.73/1
A. Maamar n 884.4
28/4
Lukas Ambros n 862
1.65/4
Danylo Sikan n 858.4
1.24/2
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Anderlecht Attacking

Anderlecht — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mihajlo Cvetković1163693 min20.3 /9000 /90121.6 /9060.8 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
Danylo Sikan1059589 min10.2 /9000 /90243.7 /9081.2 /9040.6 /9030.5 /90
T. Bentayeb751357 min30.8 /9010.3 /90102.5 /9071.8 /9041 /9041 /90
O. Antman658345 min00 /9010.3 /9030.8 /9020.5 /9061.6 /9041 /90
Jayden Onia Seke23570 min11.3 /9000 /9033.9 /9011.3 /9033.9 /9000 /90
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Anderlecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Anderlecht before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Coosemans n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Pétrot n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Mihajlo Cvetković n 861.6
1.54/3
0.93/1
A. Maamar n 884.4
0.43/0
0.43/0
Lukas Ambros n 862
0.73/1
0.52/1
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Anderlecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Anderlecht before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Coosemans n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Pétrot n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
Mihajlo Cvetković n 861.6
0.42/0
00/0
A. Maamar n 884.4
00/0
0.32/0
Lukas Ambros n 862
00/0
00/0
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Red Bull Salzburg

Red Bull Salzburg Goalkeeper

Red Bull Salzburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Christian Zawieschitzky12901080 min252.1 /9020.2 /9010.1 /90
C. Früchtl19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Red Bull Salzburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Red Bull Salzburg before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Christian Zawieschitzky n 890
2.35/4

Red Bull Salzburg Defensive

Red Bull Salzburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Boma12891070 min100.8 /90342.9 /9040.3 /90534.5 /9090.8 /9010.1 /90
D. Schmid12841012 min121.1 /90141.2 /9020.2 /90353.1 /9060.5 /9010.1 /90
Valentin Zabransky984753 min101.2 /9091.1 /9070.8 /90323.8 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
N. Veratschnig884673 min131.7 /9070.9 /9000 /90344.5 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
T. Drexler781564 min152.4 /9040.6 /9050.8 /90203.2 /9040.6 /9010.2 /90
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Red Bull Salzburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Red Bull Salzburg before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Barry n 884.3
1.97/6
0.94/2
—
B. Mazurek n 872.3
1.65/2
3.48/8
—
Christian Zawieschitzky n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
K. Boma n 890
17/1
0.64/1
—
D. Schmid n 890
0.64/1
16/2
—
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Red Bull Salzburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Red Bull Salzburg before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Barry n 884.3
2.57/5
B. Mazurek n 872.3
3.16/4
K. Boma n 890
0.64/1
D. Schmid n 890
1.36/2
H. Tabaković n 879
0.11/0
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Red Bull Salzburg Attacking

Red Bull Salzburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Tabaković1271856 min80.8 /9000 /90262.7 /90141.5 /90101.1 /9040.4 /90
K. Konaté849390 min40.9 /9000 /90204.6 /9092.1 /9081.8 /9030.7 /90
Gaoussou Diakite541206 min00 /9000 /9083.5 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9041.7 /90
A. Barry13811058 min00 /9020.2 /90100.9 /9000 /9090.8 /90121 /90
B. Mazurek1368881 min10.1 /9030.3 /90171.7 /9050.5 /9090.9 /90212.1 /90
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Red Bull Salzburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Red Bull Salzburg before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Barry n 884.3
0.93/2
00/0
B. Mazurek n 872.3
1.96/3
0.53/0
Christian Zawieschitzky n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Boma n 890
0.64/1
0.43/0
D. Schmid n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Red Bull Salzburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Red Bull Salzburg before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Barry n 884.3
00/0
00/0
B. Mazurek n 872.3
00/0
0.21/0
Christian Zawieschitzky n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Boma n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Schmid n 890
00/0
0.11/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Anderlecht v Red Bull Salzburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AnderlechtWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Red Bull SalzburgDLWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Anderlecht#22 pos3 pts3 pl+1 GD
Red Bull Salzburg#21 pos4 pts3 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Anderlecht scored1.33
Red Bull Salzburg scored1
Anderlecht conceded1
Red Bull Salzburg conceded2

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Anderlecht v Red Bull Salzburg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Anderlecht v Red Bull Salzburg is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Anderlecht and Red Bull Salzburg?
Recent form — Anderlecht 2W 0D 3L; Red Bull Salzburg 2W 2D 1L.

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