Ararat-ArmeniaUniversitatea Craiova

Ararat-Armenia v Universitatea Craiova result

Full-time · Ararat-Armenia 1–0 Universitatea Craiova

UEFA Europa League · · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Ararat-Armenia 1–0 Universitatea Craiova — Ararat-Armenia won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Ararat-Armenia beat Universitatea Craiova 1–0 at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 27 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Ararat-Armenia: Sandro Lima (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sandro Lima’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Ararat-Armenia 0.00, Universitatea Craiova 0.00, from 5 shots to 22 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Rumsas showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

Ararat-Armenia have scored two goals, the 22nd-most (shared) of the 52 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 2 games, ranked per game). Ararat-Armenia have conceded one goal, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 52 clubs.

Universitatea Craiova have scored four goals, the 22nd-most (shared) of the 52 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Universitatea Craiova have conceded four goals, the 16th-fewest (shared) of the 52 clubs.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Ararat-Armenia or Universitatea Craiova (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Ararat-Armenia next travel to Red Bull Salzburg on 26 November 2026.

Universitatea Craiova next travel to Brighton on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ararat-Armenia: Red Bull Salzburg v Ararat-Armenia, Thursday 26 November — the preview. Next for Universitatea Craiova: Brighton v Universitatea Craiova, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Ararat-Armenia 1–0 Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Europa League
  • Venue: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium · Yerevan
  • Referee: D. Rumsas
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Ararat-Armenia 0 · draws 1 · Universitatea Craiova 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ararat-Armenia 2W 1D 2L · Universitatea Craiova 1W 3D 1L

Ararat-Armenia 1–0 Universitatea Craiova (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
5 / 4
Corners
against 7.33 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 2 over 9.5
over 3 matches
2.67 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 7.33 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 2 over 8.5
over 3 matches
2 / 2.5
Cards
against 4 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 2 over 3.5
over 4 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameArarat-Armenia for / againstLineUniversitatea Craiova for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.25our book
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 7.33 against n 3
9.5standard
4 for · 4.5 against n 4
Shots
2 for · 5.33 against n 3
19.5standard
4.75 for · 5 against n 4
Shots on target
2.67 for · 7.33 against n 3
8.5standard
4.25 for · 2.25 against n 4
Cards shown
2 for · 4 against n 4
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.25 against n 4

Referee: D. Rumsas.

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia Defensive

Ararat-Armenia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Hugo Oliveira17979 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /90
E. Grigoryan14646 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012 /90
Zidane Banjaqui11818 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015 /90

Ararat-Armenia Attacking

Ararat-Armenia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Sandro Lima17979 min11.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Z. Shaghoyan17171 min11.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Zidane Banjaqui11818 min00 /9015 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Ararat-ArmeniaUniversitatea Craiova
49%Possession51%
5Shots22
2Shots on target7
2Shots off target11
1Blocked shots4
3Shots inside the box15
3Corners7
3Offsides3
8Fouls13
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
7Saves1
474Passes491

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ararat-Armenia v Universitatea Craiova — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Ararat-ArmeniaWLWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Universitatea CraiovaLDDWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Ararat-Armenia 0 · 1 draw · Universitatea Craiova 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-08-20 Universitatea Craiova 1–1 Ararat-Armenia
League standing · 2026/27
Ararat-Armenia#36 pos0 pts4 pl-10 GD
Universitatea CraiovaNot in this league table
Goals per game
Ararat-Armenia scored1
Universitatea Craiova scored1.2
Ararat-Armenia conceded3.5
Universitatea Craiova conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ararat-Armenia v Universitatea Craiova?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ararat-Armenia v Universitatea Craiova was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova?
In their last 1 meetings, Ararat-Armenia won 0, Universitatea Craiova won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova?
Recent form — Ararat-Armenia 2W 1D 2L; Universitatea Craiova 1W 3D 1L.

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