AZ Alkmaar v Juventus prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · AFAS Stadion

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 21:18 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for AZ Alkmaar v Juventus, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

AZ Alkmaar host Juventus in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Eight of AZ Alkmaar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of AZ Alkmaar’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, AZ Alkmaar have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.43.

Six of Juventus’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Juventus’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Juventus have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.13.

AZ Alkmaar (10th) and Juventus (seventh) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Juventus the stronger side, 125 rating points above AZ Alkmaar (Juventus 1878, AZ Alkmaar 1753, after at least 11 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted AZ Alkmaar XI (4-2-3-1): J. De Busser, L. Schouten, M. Chávez, E. Dijkstra, W. Goes, P. Koopmeiners, D. Kwakman, V. Byskov, R. Daal, C. Stengs, M. Meerdink — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ro-Zangelo Daal (5.4 per match over 14 appearances, five goals and one assist) and Peer Koopmeiners (4.2 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been AZ Alkmaar’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AZ Alkmaar (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ro-Zangelo Daal averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1078 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Peer Koopmeiners averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1219 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Juventus XI (3-4-2-1): G. Vicario, Bremer, J. Lucumí, F. Gatti, W. McKennie, D. Luiz, P. Sarr, A. Cambiaso, T. Koopmeiners, K. Alajbegović, R. Kolo Muani — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Manuel Locatelli (4.7 per match over three appearances, one assist) and Z. Çelik (3.7 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Juventus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Juventus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Manuel Locatelli averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 270 minutes. Z. Çelik averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 1351 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · UEFA Europa League · AFAS Stadion
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: AZ Alkmaar 2W 1D 2L · Juventus 2W 1D 2L

AZ Alkmaar v Juventus (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.88 / 5.5

Corners

against 5 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.63 / 5

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 2.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 0.88

Cards

against 2.13 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	AZ Alkmaar for / against	Line	Juventus for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.38 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.63 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.63 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.5 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.88 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar Goalkeeper

AZ Alkmaar — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Jari De Busser	12	901080 min	292.4 /90	50.4 /90	00 /90

AZ Alkmaar — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Jari De Busser n 8	90	3 7/6

AZ Alkmaar Defensive

AZ Alkmaar — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Schouten	11	89983 min	252.3 /90	100.9 /90	60.5 /90	615.6 /90	141.3 /90	20.2 /90
W. Goes	10	87874 min	212.2 /90	212.2 /90	30.3 /90	474.8 /90	111.1 /90	20.2 /90
E. Dijkstra	10	82823 min	151.6 /90	70.8 /90	00 /90	313.4 /90	40.4 /90	10.1 /90
M. Chávez	10	80801 min	252.8 /90	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	455.1 /90	131.5 /90	10.1 /90
M. de Wit	5	51255 min	93.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90	155.3 /90	62.1 /90	00 /90
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AZ Alkmaar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jari De Busser n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
P. Koopmeiners n 8	90	2.1 7/5	0.4 3/0	—
R. Daal n 8	74.4	0.9 5/1	2.3 7/5	—
L. Schouten n 8	89.1	1.3 6/3	0.4 3/0	—
Mexx Meerdink n 8	78.6	2.3 6/5	1.6 7/4	—
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AZ Alkmaar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Koopmeiners n 8	90	2.5 7/5
R. Daal n 8	74.4	2.1 7/4
L. Schouten n 8	89.1	2.7 8/6
Mexx Meerdink n 8	78.6	0.3 2/0
W. Goes n 8	86.8	2.2 7/5
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AZ Alkmaar Attacking

AZ Alkmaar — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Mexx Meerdink	11	78862 min	50.5 /90	10.1 /90	262.7 /90	141.5 /90	40.4 /90	70.7 /90
A. Oufkir	7	50350 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.5 /90	20.5 /90	71.8 /90	112.8 /90
B. Kovacs	3	56168 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.1 /90	10.5 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90
J. Hornkamp	2	3264 min	22.8 /90	00 /90	57 /90	57 /90	34.2 /90	00 /90
T. Parrott	1	3333 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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AZ Alkmaar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jari De Busser n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Koopmeiners n 8	90	1 5/2	0.6 4/1
R. Daal n 8	74.4	1.7 7/4	0.8 5/0
L. Schouten n 8	89.1	0.6 5/0	0.1 1/0
Mexx Meerdink n 8	78.6	2.6 8/5	1.4 7/3
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AZ Alkmaar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jari De Busser n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Koopmeiners n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
R. Daal n 8	74.4	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
L. Schouten n 8	89.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Mexx Meerdink n 8	78.6	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
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Juventus

Juventus Goalkeeper

Juventus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Guglielmo Vicario	11	90989 min	181.6 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
K. Grabara	1	9090 min	33 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Juventus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Guglielmo Vicario n 8	90	1.6 3/3

Juventus Defensive

Juventus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Pierre Kalulu	12	861035 min	292.5 /90	121 /90	20.2 /90	453.9 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90
Bremer	12	79950 min	151.4 /90	141.3 /90	50.5 /90	514.8 /90	111 /90	00 /90
J. Lucumí	10	77770 min	101.2 /90	151.8 /90	10.1 /90	192.2 /90	30.4 /90	30.4 /90
Z. Çelik	9	78700 min	192.4 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90	314 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
F. Gatti	5	71355 min	30.8 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	102.5 /90	102.5 /90	10.3 /90
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Juventus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Pierre Kalulu n 8	84.4	0.7 5/0	0.1 1/0	—
Bremer n 8	73.8	0.8 3/1	0.3 2/0	—
R. Kolo Muani n 8	69	1.5 6/2	1.5 6/3	—
Guglielmo Vicario n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Douglas Luiz n 8	80.3	1.4 5/3	1.8 7/4	—
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Juventus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 8	84.4	2.8 7/6
Bremer n 8	73.8	1.4 6/2
R. Kolo Muani n 8	69	0.3 2/0
Douglas Luiz n 8	80.3	1.5 7/3
J. Lucumí n 8	75.6	1 6/1
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Juventus Attacking

Juventus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Kolo Muani	12	76912 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	161.6 /90	60.6 /90	90.9 /90	131.3 /90
N. Woltemade	8	63503 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	223.9 /90	71.3 /90	101.8 /90	50.9 /90
E. Zhegrova	6	31183 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	115.4 /90	83.9 /90	136.4 /90	94.4 /90
J. Boga	5	31157 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	31.7 /90	52.9 /90
Jonathan David	1	5757 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90
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Juventus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Bremer n 8	73.8	1.1 5/2	0.2 1/0
R. Kolo Muani n 8	69	1.8 7/4	0.7 4/0
Guglielmo Vicario n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Douglas Luiz n 8	80.3	1 7/0	0.4 3/0
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Juventus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bremer n 8	73.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
R. Kolo Muani n 8	69	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
Guglielmo Vicario n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Douglas Luiz n 8	80.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AZ Alkmaar v Juventus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AZ AlkmaarLWDWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

JuventusWLDWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

AZ Alkmaar#10 pos6 pts3 pl+4 GD

Juventus#7 pos7 pts3 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

AZ Alkmaar scored2

Juventus scored3

AZ Alkmaar conceded0.67

Juventus conceded1

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win AZ Alkmaar v Juventus?: TACTIX’s free model pick for AZ Alkmaar v Juventus is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of AZ Alkmaar and Juventus?: Recent form — AZ Alkmaar 2W 1D 2L; Juventus 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 21:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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